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Strangelove

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From nobody to household name, thanks to CATL.


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A boom city built on electric batteries

Push for green mobility generates increasing opportunities for locals

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Published: Feb 08, 2023 09:07 PM

Two workers from a power supply company check the operation of the energy storage equipment produced by CATL. Photo: VCG

Two workers from a power supply company check the operation of the energy storage equipment produced by CATL. Photo: VCG

Once known as the "golden fault zone" along the southeastern coast of China, Ningde, East China's Fujian Province, has grown from an economic laggard to become a modern and rich city leading the world in lithium-ion battery manufacturing by riding on the boom of China's electric vehicle (EV) industry amid the country's push for greener mobility.

In the eyes of a 50-something local resident in Ningde, the city is a "black horse" that is racing in full swing and will see more potential being released in the longer term.

"For the general public, Ningde was a lesser-known poor city about decade ago, and I needed to spend a long time to explain where I came from when traveling outside the province. At that time, the city's economic output was second to the last in Fujian," the local resident surnamed Li recalled.

But now Ningde is a household name, Li said, thanks to the rapid rise of electric battery titan Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), which was set up in 2011.

Another local resident surnamed Chen, a teacher in the city's largest vocational college, told the Global Times that automobile maintenance has become the "hottest" major among students in Fujian, especially those tailored-made classes for those who sign employment contracts with CATL and the giant automaker SAIC Motor.

"Last year, more than 400 students learning EV graduated, and the employment rate hits 100 percent because automakers here are in dire need of skilled workers," Chen explained, adding that she has already received consulting calls from many students' parents in January, who look to enroll their children in the school's auto-related subject this fall.

Globally leading

A place making strides in social and economic development is usually inseparable from leading companies starting from scratch. For Ningde, the role is undoubtedly played by CATL.

Usually, a lithium-ion battery cell will roll off the assembly line every 1.7 seconds in the Lighthouse factory of CATL, which will be assembled into a battery module every 20 seconds. For every three EVs in the world, one could be equipped with CATL-made batteries.

CATL installed 165.7 gigawatt hours (GWh) of battery cells from January to November in 2022, up 101.8 percent from the same period a year earlier, according to SNE Research. The company's global market share rose from 32.8 percent at the end of 2021 to 37.1 percent last year. It has remained the world's largest vehicle battery maker for six consecutive years.

Propped up by CATL, Ningde introduced other leading players such as state-owned automaker SAIC Motor, which started production of its new vehicle assembly plant in 2019.

Led by these behemoths, Ningde has more than 80 projects over the battery-making industrial chain, and it has forged a comprehensive technology deployment ranging from raw materials, modules and battery management systems to battery recycling, a representative of Ningde's publicity department told the Global Times.

The localization rate of main materials in the battery industry has reached more than 60 percent, enabling Ningde to become the world's largest production base of polymer lithium-ion batteries, the representative said.

In 2022, Ningde's lithium-ion new-energy sector achieved an output value of 275.8 billion yuan ($40.7 billion), a jump of 74.6 percent from 2021, driving an increase of 20.3 percentage points in the industrial added value and becoming the city's first industrial cluster that exceeded 200 billion yuan in revenues.

The city aims to bring its lithium-ion new energy sector to the level of 500 billion yuan by 2025 by accelerating the building-up of a comprehensive supporting facility that will meet domestic demand and also serve global markets.

Thanks to its industrial advantages, Ningde's economic output reached 355.4 billion yuan last year, up 10.7 percent year-on-year, much higher than the national average of 3 percent. The city topped others in Fujian in terms of seven major economic indicators out of 12, according to a local government report in January.

Green endeavor

Behind the success of CATL and the thriving electric battery industry in Ningde is the nation's resolve in pushing forward green growth and achieving the "dual carbon" goals. China aims to reach CO2 emissions peak before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality before 2060.

New-energy vehicles, including pure battery vehicles and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles and fuel-cell vehicles, have become a strategically important emerging industry in China that's believed to play a driving role in fighting climate change.

China has been the world's largest NEV market for seven years in a row. Sales of NEVs continued to soar last year, driven by the rising market demand and sound policy environment. Sales reached 6.89 million units, skyrocketing 93.4 percent on a yearly basis, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM).

NEV production soared 96.9 percent from a year earlier to about 7.06 million units in 2022.

Thanks to the NEV boom, the share of NEVs in China's auto market reached 25.6 percent in 2022, up 12.1 percentage points from 2021.

For 2023, a robust NEV market could be anticipated with the country's optimized COVID-19 management, which could help spur consumer spending and boost supply chains. The CAAM forecast that China's NEV sales would grow 35 percent year-on-year to 9 million units in 2023.
 

luosifen

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2023-02-08 14:02:50Ecns.cn Editor : Zhao Li
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(ECNS) -- An increasing number of Chinese homebuyers have flocked to banks to prepay their mortgage loans recently and they have to wait three to five months to sign off on a repayment due to the rapid increase of applications.
Both the Agricultural Bank of China and the Bank of China in Beijing told China News Service that getting a prepayment seat could take two to three months.
However, in 2021, many cities across China still saw home buyers lining up to borrow money from banks.
How did the shift happen within just two years?
Analysis shows the phenomenon was triggered by three factors, which also reflect changes in the Chinese property market.
First, returns on wealth management products have declined.
Before Spring Festival, affected by fluctuations in the debt market, the yield of wealth management products declined significantly, and some even saw negative returns.
Wealth management products regarded as having no risks in the past had suffered losses, which changed many people's investment and financing plans.
Data from Zhuge.com, an online house property information platform, indicate that the annual interest rate of many wealth management products has fallen to less than 3 percent, which means the returns of ordinary items are lower than the increased mortgage interests.
As a result, if homebuyers failed to find a better investment product, they turned to spending their deposits on repaying mortgage loans in advance.
At present, the annual interest rate of many homebuyers' stock loans registered 4 percent to 6 percent, while some loan interest rates issued after 2020 topped more than 6 percent. The return on most capital guarantee wealth management products is less than 3 percent.
Secondly, the interest rate of mortgage loans in many cities has been dynamically adjusted.
China announced a dynamic mechanism for first-home mortgage rates in January, and many cities adjusted the lower limit for the rate based on property-price trends.
According to statistics of China Index Academy, in January 2023, there were nearly 20 cities that adjusted the lower limit of mortgage interest rates in China, including Zhengzhou, Tianjin, Fuzhou, Shenyang, Xiamen and other second-tier cities.
As of Jan. 31, among the 103 cities monitored by Beike Research Institute, there were 30 with first home loan interest rates of less than 4.1 percent, of which eight were second-tier cities. There were four cities with first home loan interest rates of 3.7 percent, which is currently the lowest commercial loan interest rate in China.
Li Yujia, chief researcher at the Housing Policy Research Center of the Guangdong Urban & Rural Planning and Design Institute, believes that at this juncture, many people either choose to repay their loans in advance or sell their properties after repayment and then buy a new one at lower interests.
Third, property market expectations have changes.
Li Yujia believes that the flood of prepayment is driven by a shift in property market expectations. In the past, people generally believed that housing prices would rise and asset income be far greater than mortgage costs, while many homebuyers were not sensitive to mortgage interest rates.
At present, as house price expectations reverse and house prices drop, more and more people are paying attention to mortgage loans, property management, depreciation expenses, etc.
Experts have called for appropriately adjusting the interest rate of stock mortgage loans to reduce the burden on buyers and boost consumer confidence.
 

Eventine

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The dependency on China continues...

View attachment 106820
It's not just the US.

South Korea and Japan posted record deficits in 2022, as well.

There is a single common factor in all of them: China.

China has a trade surplus with all three countries, because of its position in the supply chain. More importantly, China is importing less from all of them and exporting either more or the same, due to its own industries being more competitive.

This is the reason for all the recent talks of diversifying/moving manufacturing away from China. The numbers have them terrified.
 

mossen

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Total visas issued in China for US in 2022 was less than 10% of the number for 2019. It will be interesting if the disappearance of ZeroCovid controls will have any effect this year and next. My suspicion is no. We've likely passed a structural break. Chinese emigration has simply gone down on a permanent basis.

It's true that visas for UK/AUS etc are still fairly high, but they haven't been able to replace the US shortfall. Good for China if this trends keeps up.
 

Minm

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Total visas issued in China for US in 2022 was less than 10% of the number for 2019. It will be interesting if the disappearance of ZeroCovid controls will have any effect this year and next. My suspicion is no. We've likely passed a structural break. Chinese emigration has simply gone down on a permanent basis.

It's true that visas for UK/AUS etc are still fairly high, but they haven't been able to replace the US shortfall. Good for China if this trends keeps up.
Non immigrant visas are for tourism. Hopefully Chinese tourists will spend their money in Thailand instead of America in the future
 

mossen

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Non immigrant visas are for tourism.
Non-immigrant visas include everything from students to H1B tech workers. Tourism is just one small part of it.

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(I personally think that the US has an absurd amount of visas and the name of the categories are dumb too. Many people who enter on "non-immigrant visas" do so on the intent to emigrate permanently to the US.)
 
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