Chinese Economics Thread

zgx09t

Junior Member
Registered Member
And if China is successful at doing so, then Chinese genes will more likely be passed down than had it not been successful. In other words, the fittest would have survived. What China intends to do doesn't matter, whether China does what it does due to righteousness or eugenics doesn't matter, the end result is a game of eugenics because that's what all organisms engage in. It's just like how a virus doesn't intend to evolve to become more transmissible, the most transmissible simply die out less often. It's the law of nature, don't fight it.

That's one of the most ridiculous things I've heard since pandemic started, not surprising though coming from a eugenic doctor, a practicing one no less, if one has to believe the claim. FFS, Primum non nocere is now eugenics? What a fuck up world we live in now, trying to save general public lives and maintain people's health is now called eugenics? Did you get your license from University of American Samoa? Like I said, humans are not mere organism, not microbes. We are more than that. But I guess it's well past beyond that point of reasoning for a certifiable eugenics doctor then.
 

Coalescence

Senior Member
Registered Member
As this paper and several other papers have discussed, if transmission is high enough, there's no reason not to think viruses will become more lethal. (BTW, ebola and HIV have evolved more lethal strains over the years)
Here's a recently new more virulent HIV variant found in the Netherlands.
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Also the trend seems to be newer Covid variant getting more transmissible and immunity evading with reinfection becoming more common. Even if Covid doesn't increase in virulence and instead continue to increase in transmissibility, the threat it poses becomes even greater, as there will be more chances for reinfection which would be like rolling a dice to see if you get a disability from long Covid and hospitals possibly being overwhelmed during surges.
 
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tygyg1111

Captain
Registered Member
Here's a recently new more virulent HIV variant found in the Netherlands.
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Also the trend seems to be newer Covid variant getting more transmissible and immunity evading with reinfection becoming more common. Even if Covid doesn't increase in virulence and instead continue to increase in transmissibility, the threat it poses becomes even greater, as there will be more chances for reinfection which would be like rolling a dice to see if you get a disability from long Covid and hospitals possibly being overwhelmed during surges.
Waiting for the crossover between the above Dutch HIV and Monkeypox.
I wonder what it'll be called? Dutch Anglopox? or Anglo-Dutch HIV?
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
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China braced for renewed lockdowns as Omicron subvariant spreads​

Shanghai and Tianjin order mass testing as infectious BA.5 strain threatens economic recovery
Forty-one Chinese cities are under full or partial lockdowns or district-based controls, covering 264mn people in regions that account for about 18.7 per cent of the country’s economic activity, according to an analysis released on Monday by Japanese investment bank Nomura.
That marked a deterioration from the situation a week ago, when curbs were imposed in 31 cities covering 247.5mn people and representing 17.5 per cent of the economy.
Property transactions, tracked across 30 cities last week, were down 43 per cent from a year ago, while subway ridership, another indicator of economic momentum, remained down 40 per cent in Shanghai and nearly 30 per cent in Beijing.
However, China’s daily vaccination rate — which analysts say is critical to hastening a change in its Covid policy — has remained at low levels as resources are diverted to mass testing campaigns.
“Zero-Covid is no longer sustainable — the virus has evolved and become more transmissible,” Kinane added. “Countries need to be pragmatic and change measures to reflect this.”
 

dingyibvs

Senior Member
Fine

Read this then:
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Your assertion that viruses become less virulent over time is not supported by data. You claim evolution is for it to become less virulent but, as we've previously discussed in the previous thread, thats only if transmission is a limiting factor. As this paper and several other papers have discussed, if transmission is high enough, there's no reason not to think viruses will become more lethal. (BTW, ebola and HIV have evolved more lethal strains over the years)

China is a densely populated country, as well as many other urbanized countries. If transmissibility is not controlled, there is no (as yet) model that says it will become less virulent.

(Read this:
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)

In fact, the entire reason for the lockdowns and social distancing and all that is to FORCE the virus to become less virulent by reducing its transmission rate such that virulent strains DO die out before it develops.

Also you're using both the word and the concept of eugenics so wrong that I don't even know where to start. Other than that evolutionary change will not happen in our lifetime that we can see. This is not even close to a bottleneck event, and therefore human evolution has absolutely nothing to do with this. In fact you're so wrong in your use of "the laws of nature" that... I dunno. Dunno where to start.
Thanks for the article, I'll have to admit that the the evolution of virulence is more complex than I've understood. Now, I never claimed that a virus will always become less virulent, merely that it would not become more virulent. After reading the article, I do believe that I failed to fully account for the effects of the environment as I had only focused only on the host-pathogen relationship. My statement was too general, and I see now that many potential exceptions exist. I do still find it hard to imagine the exceptions that may apply to COVID, but nature does often exceed my imagination. I don't think China's attempt to change the environment to affect virulence would work though, as the rest of the world isn't doing the same.

As for eugenics, I know what the common understanding of eugenics is, that it's an intentional selection for desirable traits. My assertion is that selection of desirable traits occurs regardless of intention. Or to put it more plainly, every action we take has the same effect of practicing eugenics whether it is intended or not. Whether that will have any practical effect in our lifetime, i.e. whether it'd be a bottleneck event, is another discussion which I have not touched on and do not intend to touch on.
 

xlitter

Junior Member
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China is very large. With the promotion of dynamic zeroing and precise prevention and control, there are few areas actually blocked. Under the premise of early intervention, there may even be only one building, one community, and one street. Now 99% of the areas are in a low-risk mode, and foreign media have exaggerated suspicions. There is a Chinese saying that "I often don't fit in with you because I'm not abnormal enough." Change to the world: "I'm often out of tune with the world because I'm not cold-blooded enough!"
 

dingyibvs

Senior Member
That's one of the most ridiculous things I've heard since pandemic started, not surprising though coming from a eugenic doctor, a practicing one no less, if one has to believe the claim. FFS, Primum non nocere is now eugenics? What a fuck up world we live in now, trying to save general public lives and maintain people's health is now called eugenics? Did you get your license from University of American Samoa? Like I said, humans are not mere organism, not microbes. We are more than that. But I guess it's well past beyond that point of reasoning for a certifiable eugenics doctor then.
Superior traits are selected for survival by nature, the fittest survive, that's the basis of evolution. You're not a creationist, are you? Classical eugenics is merely a misguided attempt by humans who think they can do nature's job better than nature itself, that's probably the eugenics you're thinking of. Try thinking broader. A society that's successful in saving general public's lives and maintaining people's health will survive better than one that doesn't. That society's genes will live on, and the fact that they'll live on is a testament to their superiority. The end result is more superior genes in the human population. Isn't that the goal of eugenics?
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
It's simple. Covid isn't going away. This is an endemic, not a pandemic. Variants are becoming ever-more transmissible, like Omicron. It's a battle you cannot win.

China had a successful initial strategy but that strategy could only have worked if Covid was eradicated. Covid is here to stay. That means that perpetual lockdowns have to be abandoned.

As Darwin said: it's not the strongest, biggest or the fastest who do best, but those most able to adapt to new circumstances. Right now China is failing that test.
China's failing that test? Who's passing? The Western economies that are in stagflation with 500K-1 million deaths? The US would be drunk on laughter if the situation was reversed; they might amend all the stars on the US flag into coronavirus icons to celebrate the virus that allowed them to defeat China! The only country passing that test is one in your imagination that has 9% growth with negligible deaths and the economy is fully opened up. China is the only major country that has minimal deaths/infections while sustaining a more than respectable rate of growth every year.
abandon foolish zero covid policy. China can't sustain this policy for years, covid will never disappear trust me
The foolish policy is from those nations with massive deaths per capita and economy also in trouble, which is basically the US and EU. From the ongoing results, we see that China's policy is still the wisest in the world. But China will not sustain this policy forever, and we don't rely on COVID disappearing but the question is when is the right time to let it go. From the deaths that it caused in Shanghai (and of course in the West, which still sees hundreds of deaths every day), it is clear that the time is not yet.
 
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