Japan-China Trade in 2010 Exceeds US$300 Billion to Set New Record
"China remains Japan's largest trading partner in terms of imports, exports and total trade."
"
Japan-China Trade in 2010 Exceeds US$300 Billion to Set New Record
Tokyo, Feb 23, 2011 - (JCN Newswire) - According to a report released on February 17th, 2011 by the Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO),
Japan's total trade with China (imports and exports combined) rose 30.0% year-on-year to US$301.9 billion in 2010, exceeding US$300 billion and setting a new (year-on-year) record. Japan's exports to China rose 36.0% to US$149.1 billion, while Japan's imports from China rose 24.7 % to US$152.8 billion. The increase in Japan's exports to China exceeded that of Japan's imports from China for the fifth straight year in 2010. (In 2009, the decrease in Japan's exports was lower than that of imports). Japan's trade with China posted a US$3.7 billion deficit, marking the first time for the figure to fall below the US$10 billion mark since 1994, when the figure was US$8.88 billion.
Overview of Japan-China Trade in 2010
Japan's trade with China posted positive growth (year on year basis) for 12 consecutive months in 2010 and was also up overall versus 2009. The improvement was attributed to an increase in exports to China on the back of the country's high economic growth and a rise in Japan's imports following its own gradual economic recovery.
China remains Japan's largest trading partner in terms of imports, exports and total trade.
This expansion was larger than the increase in Japan's overall trade (28.6%),
giving Japan-China trade a record 20.7% share of Japan's total trade in 2010, a 0.2-point increase on the 2009 figure (20.5%). The share of Japan's exports to China out of overall exports reached 19.4%, also a record. Meanwhile, Japan's share of imports from China declined slightly, to 22.1% of total imports.
Japan's exports to China in 2010
Japan's exports to China reached its highest level ever (in value terms) in 2010, posting positive growth for 14 consecutive months between November 2009 and December 2010. This growth was fueled by rapid expansion of the Chinese economy, which grew 10.3% (real GDP growth rate) in 2010.
The growth in Japan's exports to China was attributed to an increase in exports of the following:
- Parts and materials due to increasing production in China;
- Finished products due to rising consumption in China; and
- Parts and materials for products exported from China to Japan, the US and European countries.
Analysis by item
(1) Fueled by increased infrastructure investment in China due to the government's 4-trillion-yuan (approximately 50 trillion yen) economic stimulus package, which ran until the end of 2010, exports of construction and power generating machinery showed strong growth.
(2) Reflecting a rise in industrial production, exports of semiconductors, motor vehicle parts, metalworking machinery, plastic materials and electrical apparatuses were all up. Exports of cars, video equipment and other finished goods also increased substantially, fueled by China's rising consumption.
(3) Modest gains were seen in exports of organic compounds, which registered single-digit growth, due to expansion of local production of such materials in China and increased Chinese imports from the Middle East region, where a number of chemical plants recently came online. Other modest gains were seen in exports of batteries, attributed to the fall in prices for lithium-ion batteries.
Japan's imports from China in 2010
Japan's imports from China are showing a clear sign of recovery, posting positive growth (year-on-year) for 11 consecutive months between February and December 2010. This was fueled by increased imports of electrical machinery, personal computers and nonferrous metals.
Analysis by item
(1) Imports of audio-visual apparatus such as LCD TVs were up, on the back of extension of Japan's "eco-points" system and the switch in Japan to digital TV broadcasting.
(2) Imports of telecommunications equipment were also up due to the spread of smart phones. Imports of foodstuffs showed double-digit growth, backed by robust business use of food items, reduced concerns over Chinese food safety, an increase in imports of vegetables (due to unseasonable weather in Japan) and rising prices for Chinese agricultural products.
(3) Imports of clothing and accessories showed modest growth due to sluggish domestic demand in Japan and transfer of production bases of apparel items to locations outside of China.
Outlook for 2011
Japan's trade with China in 2011 will likely exceed the record growth seen in 2010, with China expected to continue its rapid expansion. And with Japan's exports to China expected to continue expanding on the back of China's rising domestic demand, there is a possibility that Japan's trade with China will turn into a surplus. There are concerns, however, that the Chinese government, as a measure against inflation, may alter its current "appropriately accommodative" monetary policy to a more "neutral" one, and that growth in 2011 may be overshadowed by the impressive growth seen in 2010.
Exports:
(1) Increased exports of construction machinery and other infrastructure-related goods and parts are expected due to the continued growth in urbanization and infrastructure investment in China's mid-western region, even after the conclusion of China's 4-trillion-yuan economic stimulus package.
(2) As China's consumer market expands, Japan's exports of parts, materials, machinery and high-value added products for production of finished goods in China will likely grow, despite expansion of local production of such items.
(3) China's exports of finished goods to Japan, the US and European economies will likely grow as these export destinations are predicted to continue in their recoveries. For this reason, Japan's exports of high-value added parts and raw materials to China are expected to rise.
(4) The high growth rate seen in 2010 may make growth in 2011 (even if impressive) pale in comparison. And exports of products for which local production is expanding will likely decline.
Imports:
(1) The pace of growth for imports of LCD TVs is expected to slow or even decrease, when compared to the high growth seen in 2010 attributed to Japan "eco-points" program, which is schedule to end in March 2011.
(2) Demand for low-cost food products and other consumer goods from China is expected to increase (although growth of imports will not be as high as that of exports on a value basis).
(3) With the continued shifting of production bases for high value-added products from Japan to China, Japan's imports (on a value basis) are expected to increase in the value-added category, in particular electrical machinery.
* Figures are US dollar conversions of yen-denominated statistics for imports (provisional) and exports (fixed) released by Japan's Ministry of Finance in January 2011. On a yen-basis, Japan's total trade with China rose 22.3% to 26.5 trillion yen in 2010, with exports rising 27.9 % to 13.9 trillion yen, and imports rising 17.2% to 13.4 trillion yen.
About JETRO
The Japan External Trade Organization, or JETRO, is a government-related organization that works to promote mutual trade and investment between Japan and the rest of the world. Originally established in 1958 to promote Japanese exports abroad, JETRO's core focus in the 21st century has shifted toward promoting foreign direct investment into Japan and helping small- to medium-sized Japanese firms maximize their global export potential.
Contact:
JETRO
China and North Asia Division
TEL: +81-3-3582-5181"