TerraN_EmpirE
Tyrant King
I would agree if he had said the Comac ARJ21 Xiangfeng, Although it has given a number of lessons. C919 has yet to show any a fail or a Success. Still it will take more then the C919 to break the Airbus Boeing market.
What makes you believe that?
Sukhoi Superjet
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Unlike China, Russia doesn’t have a huge domestic market to prop its nascent civilian aircraft industry. Which is surprising, if we remember USSR´s huge aircraft industry. According to Wikipedia, in the late 80´s, it had 25% of the civilian and 40% of the military aircraft markets worldwide.
I would agree if he had said the Comac ARJ21 Xiangfeng, Although it has given a number of lessons. C919 has yet to show any a fail or a Success. Still it will take more then the C919 to break the Airbus Boeing market.
The aviation industry is very unusual in that the lowest price isn't the most popular option. Otherwise, airlines would be rushing to buy Boeing 767's over the 787 and the Airbus A330, and they would continue to buy the current generation 737 and A320 over the next generation versions.
For a civil aircraft to be truly successful in terms of sales, it has to offer airlines better or comparable efficiency over other aircraft on the market for the same mission at the time of delivery. Your aircraft has to be more efficient, or close enough that if you have the advantage in terms of availability (you can deliver your aircraft earlier), or can carry more on the same mission. After these considerations are met, then price becomes a factor.
Every new aircraft manufacturer in the past 40 years have accomplished this; they came out with a product that was more efficient and came at the right time on the market to become successful; e.g. Airbus with the A300, followed by the A320, and Embraer with the EMB 120 Brasilia.
The only advantage the C919 had was that it was supposedly more efficient at a earlier time frame than either Boeing or Airbus can get their next generation offerings to market. It's loosing its competitive advantage due to increasing delays, which are delaying the C919 to the point where competitors can get their aircraft to market earlier, and be more efficient to boot.
Eventually the plane will fly and enter service in china, where it has a huge state-owned airlines domestic market, no matter what the delays or plane performance is. However, I bet the plane won’t sell much if anything internationally because of delays/plane performance/reliability, and the fact that this is china´s first civilian plane of this size. People first will want to know if china can build a plane safe enough to be competitive. China needs track record in this field, so that customers can be confident in its planes, something that won’t happen with the first plane (c919)
Im sure that the next generation of COMAC planes will certainly be better, but to expect c919 to be a international commercial success is not realistic IMO.
Even if COMAC doesn't even get one single international order it's still can be a massive success, it's actually built to take the national market not the international market, and with 380 orders in the bag with another 1000-1500 more expected in the next 10-15 years from Chinese market that's a huge success
COMAC whole stratdgy is to eat into Airbus and Boeing profits from inside China, to cut them profit and give the money to Chinese aircraft makers, if they manage to slice 20-25% profit for single asile 150-170 seater then that's great for China
Whole point in ARJ21 and C919 is to stop vast amounts of money filling the pockets of Western aircraft makers, so far they have already cut almost 700 orders from Boeing and Airbus with ARJ-21 and C919 which is very good news
Only after Chinese market is nailed will the international market competition start, Iran air alone has a requirement for 100 C919 sized jets, in 10 years that could be 200 units massive potential there
Also u must under stand no one in the West will allow Chinese plane makers to make it big, so China has to push it alone, that's why C919 engine has been cancelled, nothing new there China will have to work harder to make home grown engine
Success perhaps but not huge or Massive the Goal of An Isolated Economy is rather foolish. As it weakens one position in political and technological standing. The massive growth of the Chinese standing was a result of the opening of the Great Chinese Iron curtain to western investment, Closing it would result in stagnation and degeneration. Export is needed. even if it's to developing nations like Kenya and and other emerging African nations As it stands now the vast majority of Chinese exports are going their now. Africa with it's economic expansion plans and China's investments. I mean a good number of African Airlines are single or double plane Carriers, the largest are still only flying maybe 80 jets of Comac C919 and ARJ class Still they are likely to face stiff competition the regional market is flooded with Emerging types. And with out a international long range carrier they are not going to be biting into Boeing and Airbus. Now if they produce there spoken of C929 a 300 seat liner getting into the 767 330 class that would be getting attention.Even if COMAC doesn't even get one single international order it's still can be a massive success, it's actually built to take the national market not the international market, and with 380 orders in the bag with another 1000-1500 more expected in the next 10-15 years from Chinese market that's a huge success