Chinese Aviation Industry

Pointblank

Senior Member
from the first 100, 45 were options. Each of the top 3 airlines ordered 5 firm and 15 options. At some point, those will be firmed up or they will sell the 5 top someone else, because you are not going to operate a fleet of 5 aircraft of one type. That would be a logistical problem. I'm assuming that these orders from ICBC and Sichuan are all firm, since they did not state otherwise.

Even the firm orders aren't truly firm; while they are 'orders' in a sense, the buyers apparently have the right to walk away from the contract without paying a penny in cancellation penalties. If you tried that with a more established manufacturer, they would be levying heavy fines for walking away from the contract.

This aircraft will get some good orders even if it's not up to the specs, because domestic airlines will be under pressure to at least buy small amount of it. Outside of that, all of the countries that can't buy boeing/airbus airliners that have been buying Tupolev aircraft will choose between this and MS-21. I'd think C-919 would take away a good number of that order due to political considerations and generous loans. I think COMAC is going this the right way. It's trying to establish as many partnership as possible. Although, it's hard to say how many of these partnerships will bear fruit.
Nobody buys aircraft because they are cheap. They buy the best they can get their hands on, even if it is second hand from a reputable manufacturer.

As for C-919 vs MS-21, most of major Russian airliners have already placed huge orders on MS-21. That's how it got to 200 orders. The Chinese market has potential to put in much larger orders. So, I would not use the current order total to determine future success. Give both aircraft another 3 to 4 years and oversea markets would see where they are at and decided if they are worth buying. Remember, Airbus and Boeing have already entered the picture with new engine options, so C-919/MS-21 have lost out the fuel efficiency advantage that they originally claimed. What C-919 does have is production slots and lower pricing and generous loans.
The Chinese airlines had to be heavily arm twisted to order the C-919, and they only did in small quantities. The Russian airlines did so at their own accord, and are starting to win export orders as well (50 MS-21's were sold to Crecom Burj Resources in Malaysia).

We will see, even if Ryan Air and BA never place any orders on C-919 (which is likely), it will be good for COMAC to go through this process with them to gain experience over what these airliners expect. ARJ-21 was clearly developed just for the Chinese market, but C-919 is supposedly developed for the world market, so it has much higher requirement.

Looking back now, COMAC probably made quite a few mistakes originally in its development process for ARJ-21 which is causing all of the delays now. That's nothing new for a kid in the block developing its first airliner. MRJ has the same problem.
A few mistakes? You call severe issues with certifiably that can affect safety (wing failure before ultimate load requiring redesign, flight control software that needs to be totally re-written, etc) a few minor mistakes?

The MRJ is actually doing very well in terms of development, as everything is right now set for delivery in 2014. Mitsubishi has the industrial capability and a solid history building airplanes or large sub-components of airplanes, backed up by Boeing's partnership.
 

tphuang

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
Even the firm orders aren't truly firm; while they are 'orders' in a sense, the buyers apparently have the right to walk away from the contract without paying a penny in cancellation penalties. If you tried that with a more established manufacturer, they would be levying heavy fines for walking away from the contract.
There is a lot of pressure on these companies. Even if they are a lot more commercially driven than in the past, they will have to put in orders once C-919 comes out. You are seeing that with all of the orders out right now.
Nobody buys aircraft because they are cheap. They buy the best they can get their hands on, even if it is second hand from a reputable manufacturer.
Please take a lot at the export reach of MA-60 just purely due to the political influence of Chinese government and generous loans. Let's just say I would never fly on it, but somehow they are selling it. There are a lot of countries that can't purchase Boeing and Airbus, this is well known. They will have to pick between China and Russia.
The Chinese airlines had to be heavily arm twisted to order the C-919, and they only did in small quantities. The Russian airlines did so at their own accord, and are starting to win export orders as well (50 MS-21's were sold to Crecom Burj Resources in Malaysia).
The Russians are not facing any political pressures? lol. If anything, the Russians are far less commercially driven and forced to buy their indigenous products. Have you ever listened to what Putin has been telling the domestic airlines? Just look at Tu-204 and Tu-154 serving in Russia. If it was just based on quality of the plane, who would be buying those aircraft unless they want to kill customers.
A few mistakes? You call severe issues with certifiably that can affect safety (wing failure before ultimate load requiring redesign, flight control software that needs to be totally re-written, etc) a few minor mistakes?

The MRJ is actually doing very well in terms of development, as everything is right now set for delivery in 2014. Mitsubishi has the industrial capability and a solid history building airplanes or large sub-components of airplanes, backed up by Boeing's partnership.
AVIC-1 has been doing a lot of sub-components for airliners too. Have you looked at how much of the Bombardier planes are been produced in China recently? And wasn't MRJ originally supposed to come out in 2012? Let's see when it actually comes out.
 

delft

Brigadier
The Tu-154 was as safe as Western aircraft until twenty years ago when maintenance deteriorated sharply.
 

Quickie

Colonel
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!


New lubricant allows Chinese fighter planes to perform in extremely low temperatures

English.news.cn 2011-11-04 21:47:42 FeedbackPrintRSS

BEIJING, Nov. 4 (Xinhua) -- China has developed a new lubricant that will ensure its third-generation fighter planes can start their engines instantly and take off in extremely low temperatures, the country's armed forces announced Friday.

According to an unnamed scientist working in a fuel research institute of China's Air Force, the specialized lubricant can also enable fighter engines to continue working for longer hours in very high temperatures.

Specifically, the new-version lubricant is designed for use at extremes of temperature both 20 degrees higher and 20 degrees lower than its predecessor.

The advance involves adjusting the viscosity of the solution so that it doesn't freeze. The new lubricant is based on basic oil molecular structure refined from thousands of ester structures, according to the scientist.
 

LesAdieux

Junior Member
Chinese Planes Good for Industry: Ryanair CEO

The CEO of Irish low cost carrier Ryanair believes the emergence of new aircraft manufacturers is good news for the airline industry and passengers.

“The Boeing and Airbus duopoly is ending,” said Michael O’Leary in a CNBC interview following the release of second quarter earnings.

O’Leary believes Comac, a Chinese manufacturer, will emerge as a major rival to the traditional players from Europe and the US over the next five years, in large part because of problems at Airbus and Boeing.

Citing major delays and uncertainty surrounding the delivery of Boeing planes as a key reason for Ryanair looking further afield for its new planes O’Leary indicated the US manufacturer could not rely on his business for ever.

“The major problem is delivery delays from Boeing and Airbus due to the delays they are experiencing with new, bigger planes” said O’Leary.

The comments came as Ryanair posted forecast-beating profits for the group's second quarter despite high oil prices and shares in the airline opened higher by 5 percent on Monday.

Second quarter profits before tax came in at 404 million euros versus a Reuters expectation of 393 million euros, leading O’Leary to raise profit guidance for the full year by 10 percent.

O’Leary said he is grounding 80 planes over the winter to protect yields and expects to benefit as more and more passengers fly low cost at the expense of the major flag carriers.

Ryanair traffic in November fell by 15 percent.

He also expects to pick up business from the takeover of BMI by the owner of British Airways IAG.

Virgin Airlines are attempting to scupper that deal with a rival bid but O’Leary expects BMI’s low costs routes to be taken out of the market allowing Ryanair to “mop up” that traffic.
 

delft

Brigadier
@LesAdieux:
I like to see the source of an article. Internal evidence suggests in this case it is Reuters.
 

Deino

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Since it doesn't really fit into the "heavy transports" tread ... and even if a bit dated by now; I still like it ! :p
 

Attachments

  • Y-12F 1. flight 29.12.2010 - 02.jpg
    Y-12F 1. flight 29.12.2010 - 02.jpg
    116 KB · Views: 30
Top