Chinese Aviation Industry

SamuraiBlue

Captain
I attended a seminar held by Flight Global a week before and they state that penetrating an already established market is going to be tough for all new comers since they will have to establish a global service chain as well as a supply chain for parts that will be on time every time.They also talked about training repair staffs and other training facilities which chalks up cost. They continued on the 737 and A320 type planes stating that it would be a very tough market since the two giants has enough capacity to meet more demand. They also talked about the market situation in which large portion is dominated by lessors who are sensitive towards resale value of the plane and are less conscious of initial price if it holds a high resale value 5 years down the road.

They also discussed about the present mainland china passenger airline business in which the domestic lines has a very rough situation in which the military dominates airspace and routes between cities are very thin resulting to constant delays pressuring the airliners of high cost and compensation towards passengers for connecting routes.

Basically politics really doesn't need to get involved in the present global saturated market.
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
I attended a seminar held by Flight Global a week before and they state that penetrating an already established market is going to be tough for all new comers since they will have to establish a global service chain as well as a supply chain for parts that will be on time every time.They also talked about training repair staffs and other training facilities which chalks up cost. They continued on the 737 and A320 type planes stating that it would be a very tough market since the two giants has enough capacity to meet more demand. They also talked about the market situation in which large portion is dominated by lessors who are sensitive towards resale value of the plane and are less conscious of initial price if it holds a high resale value 5 years down the road.

They also discussed about the present mainland china passenger airline business in which the domestic lines has a very rough situation in which the military dominates airspace and routes between cities are very thin resulting to constant delays pressuring the airliners of high cost and compensation towards passengers for connecting routes.

Basically politics really doesn't need to get involved in the present global saturated market.

Even with all that negativity but yet the Chinese domestic plane market are still growing faster than any other.
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
I think you somehow automatically took granted of me for "blaming politicians if ARJ-21 doesn't do well outside of China".

Political resistance is a fact under the table, nobody can deny it. The fact that your notion of "Bombardier, Embraer and Irkut all facing the same challenge" and "nobody wants additional competition" actually serves to support my point. So why debunk my point while essentially agreeing with it?

Neither was I trying to claim ARJ-21 being an impressive aircraft after being delayed for so long, a fact that even a blind person can see.

I wonder why you replied in this way, although I sense why, for that I will just leave it.

My preferred way of expressing the idea of yours, if you allow me, would be "Although possible political resistance is one challenge that ARJ-21 must face in opening over-sea market, the lack of technical and economical advantages is another challenge, even a bigger one."

ARJ 21 doesn't need overseas market. The domestic and captive market is large enough to cover the project cost. It is learning project anyway if they can sell 200 or 300 jet that should be good enough. Right now it might not be competitive with Bombardier or Embraer But they can improve the design using better engine or modify it with stretched version. Anyway the central government will strong armed domestic airline to buy ARJ 21 So they don't need FAA certification.

The main job right now is to earn trust from the public and the world by establishing a good safety record and viable reliability.

Through ARJ 21 China did learn a lot not only in design and manufacturing but in developing testing system for civilian aircraft, certification etc . So your condescending attitude has no place in here. And should not be compared to western country. It is more difficult starting from the ground up

Developing a civilian aerospace industry is a must for china in order to develop a viable private aerospace ecosystem and that include the gas turbine industry . Without it China will be dependent on handful integrated SOE. Talent and manufacturing skill are interchangeable between military and civilian aerospace industry
 
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Brumby

Major
ARJ 21 doesn't need overseas market. The domestic and captive market is large enough to cover the project cost. It is learning project anyway if they can sell 200 or 300 jet that should be good enough.

I am curious. Do you have some empirical data to support your statement regarding volume needed to be "good enough"?
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
ARJ 21 doesn't need overseas market. The domestic and captive market is large enough to cover the project cost. It is learning project anyway if they can sell 200 or 300 jet that should be good enough. Right now it might not be competitive with Bombardier or Embraer But they can improve the design using better engine or modify it with stretched version. Anyway the central government will strong armed domestic airline to buy ARJ 21 So they don't need FAA certification.

The main job right now is to earn trust from the public and the world by establishing a good safety record and viable reliability.

Through ARJ 21 China did learn a lot not only in design and manufacturing but in developing testing system for civilian aircraft, certification etc . So your condescending attitude has no place in here. And should not be compared to western country. It is more difficult starting from the ground up

Developing a civilian aerospace industry is a must for china in order to develop a viable private aerospace ecosystem and that include the gas turbine industry . Without it China will be dependent on handful integrated SOE. Talent and manufacturing skill are interchangeable between military and civilian aerospace industry

good point.
That is the key purpose of ARJ-21.
 

tphuang

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
I think you somehow automatically took granted of me for "blaming politicians if ARJ-21 doesn't do well outside of China".

Political resistance is a fact under the table, nobody can deny it. The fact that your notion of "Bombardier, Embraer and Irkut all facing the same challenge" and "nobody wants additional competition" actually serves to support my point. So why debunk my point while essentially agreeing with it?

Neither was I trying to claim ARJ-21 being an impressive aircraft after being delayed for so long, a fact that even a blind person can see.

I wonder why you replied in this way, although I sense why, for that I will just leave it.

My preferred way of expressing the idea of yours, if you allow me, would be "Although possible political resistance is one challenge that ARJ-21 must face in opening over-sea market, the lack of technical and economical advantages is another challenge, even a bigger one."

My point is that ARJ-21 is more behind the curve than you think. When a design is almost 10 years behind schedule and not that impressive even if it had met its schedule, mentioning political influence is unwarranted. Even aside from that, politics play almost no role in commercial airliner deals in most cases. Otherwise, there is no chance so many airliners in America are using A320 and A330 series.

For the sake of COMAC, let's hope C919 doesn't go through with the same troubles.
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
I am curious. Do you have some empirical data to support your statement regarding volume needed to be "good enough"?

Sofar ARJ 21 has bagged 300 firm order But the main value of the investment is the experience gained from designing, manufacturing, testing and logistic of the FIRST civilian aircraft designed and built in China.

It take a long time because China has no experience and tradition in building passenger aircraft. The testing alone take 7 years. Ensuring the safety of 100 lives is more difficult than 1 jet fighter pilot
Canada has a long history of building civilian aircraft predated the WWII. De Havilland has a long tradition of building bush aircraft Buffalo then The DASH 7 series before it was amalgamated with Northrup Canada to become the Canadair then it was sold to Bombardier. Before that Canada designed and built the AVRO arrow fighter jet . Here is the interview with AVIC officer courtesy of xyz from CDF explaining why it take so long. Critic to the ARJ 21 is unjustified and misplaced. It show the insecurity of western industry and press.

Actually the design is is not so bad it has shorter range and not so fuel efficient . But that is because it is all metal construction and reflect the Chinese technology in 2002 when the project started

China’s First Homegrown Commercial Jet: Clear Skies Ahead?

Apr 09, 2015



On December 30, 2014, Li Jia Xiang, chief of the Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC), flew on a regional jet liner from Shanghai Pudong to Beijing. But this journey was no ordinary flight.

After it safely landed in Beijing Airport, the jetliner, an ARJ21, had finally earned its Type Certificate from CAAC, which meant the aircraft model had satisfied its basic safety requirements and could enter China’s civil aviation market. It took the ARJ21 — the first commercially available aircraft ever designed in China — six long years to get this entry ticket.

Luo Ronghuai, deputy general manager of the Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China (COMAC) and the chief of the ARJ21 Project, has been deeply involved in the whole process — from design and R&D through manufacturing to flight testing.

What challenges has ARJ21 gone through? Are these made-in-China aircraft safe enough? Who will purchase them? What is the status of China’s second foray into aircraft design, the larger C919? And what impact have these domestically designed and built aircraft on the upstream and downstream industry value chain? China Knowledge@Wharton talked with Luo Ronghuai recently about these questions and others.

Below is an edited version of the interview.

China Knowledge@Wharton: Let’s talk first about ARJ21 in detail. What does the plane look like, and what are the aircraft it will be competing with primarily in the global market?

Luo Rong Huai: The ARJ21 jet is a 70- to 90-seat, short-to-medium range, turbofan powered regional aircraft. It’s the first civil aircraft to which China owns independent intellectual property rights, and it’s also the first time the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration has agreed to accept and approve aircraft applications for flight certification based on the reviews of the Civil Aviation Administration of China.

Its major competition in the world will be [the Embraer] ERJ175 of Brazil and [the Sukhoi Superjet 100] SSJ from Russia, both regional aircraft with 70 to 110 seats.

“Since it was the first time China had designed an aircraft, we had no experience, so there were many experiments. We had to try again and again in order to get the results we wanted.”

China Knowledge@Wharton: The ARJ21 jet liner accomplished its first flight in November 2008. Why did take so long — six years — to obtain its certification?

Luo: Since it was the first time China had designed an aircraft, we had no experience, so there were many experiments. We had to try again and again in order to get the results we wanted. After the ARJ21’s first flight in 2008, we originally anticipated it would take at most four years to get the aircraft certified –

It took us a long time to study, explore and learn what we needed to know to meet all those certification requirements. For example, there’s an experiment called the “Natural Icing Flight Test” which originally was planned to take place in Xinjiang province [the region in the Northwest corner of China]. However, after flying the aircraft there repeatedly over a period of four years, we had still only completed part of that testing regimen. Finally, we had to look for suitable weather conditions in North America instead.

In order to finish all the flight tests of the ARJ21, for six years, we took the aircraft to the most extreme ends of China: The furthest north, the deepest south, the coldest, the hottest, the windiest and the most humid places in the country. And, we went to the U.S. and Canada to find extremely icy environments – the plan flew all around the Northern Hemisphere.

In addition to the enormous amount of time and resources we spent on overcoming technical barriers, we also gradually built up, for the first time, a team of testing and certification staff. But we’re still small. In Seattle, Boeing has a team of more than 250 people that work on flight test certification. Our Shanghai certification center has only 50 to 60 people, and the CAAC has another 30 to 40 people.

China Knowledge@Wharton: What are these flight tests? Can you give some examples?

Luo: The major target of flight tests is to look at the most dangerous potential moments of the flight, and see how your aircraft performs — for example, a stall, passing through a 27-knot crosswind, or an engine failure, to name a few. Test pilots have to proactively seek out these low-probability events, which only happen once in tens of thousands of hours of flying time.

For example, there’s the “one engine inoperative” test, which refers, unsurprisingly, to a situation when one of the plane’s two engines isn’t working. So, you have to have test pilots shut down an engine in mid-flight to find out if the plane can be flown acceptably in that condition. But that’s only one of many, and these mandatory experiments take thousands of test flights. Only when you have tried to fly a plane under every dangerous condition you could anticipate, and proved that it can handle them, can the aircraft be considered safe to sell and fly commercially.

The type certification we took the ARJ21 through involved testing thousands of individual items. In the end, it added up to 3,418 reports and 300,000 pages, which, if you stacked them up, would be 30 meters high.

Although it was a long process, we have accumulated a lot of valuable experience for future aircraft tests. Having gone through this will make it easier and more efficient when we have to start putting our next aircraft, the large C919, through all these experiments in near future.

“The ARJ21 is the first regional aircraft China has produced based on international standards, and that it has been certified is a milestone for China’s aviation industry.”


China Knowledge@Wharton: What does this certification mean? What impact will it have for Chinese-made planes in future?

Luo: The ARJ21 is the first regional aircraft China has produced based on international standards, and that it has been certified is a milestone for China’s aviation industry. It demonstrates that we’ve successful developed our regional aircraft manufacturing technology.

The global aviation community recognizes the maturity of a country’s aviation industry by its ability to produce new aircraft that can be certified flightworthy. In the ARJ21-700 project, we have accomplished the entire process — from design to manufacturing, experimentation to flight tests. We mastered a bunch of new technology, new materials, new processes, and accumulated a lot of project-management experience, which has also laid the groundwork for future big aircraft projects like the C919.
 
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Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
(Cont)
China Knowledge@Wharton:
Does this certification mean the plane can be delivered right away? Can the aircraft be exported to global markets like Europe and U.S. now?

Luo: Certification and delivery are two very different things. Every plane to be delivered to an airline has to obtain its own airworthiness certificate from the CAAC. At present, the CAAC is checking the first ARJ21-700 plane for this certificate. And the CAAC still has to audit and approve the quality-assurance system, the flight support system, and the continuous airworthiness program. Once all these checks have been done, the first ARJ21-700 plane will be delivered to Chengdu Airline [one of China’s domestic airlines] and formally start to fly, which we anticipate will happen this year.

For any airplane model to be exported to Europe and the U.S., it has to get the approval from local aviation authorities. For example, the FAA has to approve your plane if you want to sell it or fly it in the U.S. While we were working to get the ARJ21 its CAAC certification in China, the FAA conducted a shadow audit, which was mainly to examine the certification ability and methodology of the CAAC.

In that shadow audit, FAA selectively examined some items, like the natural icing flight test, the static original equipment manufacturer test, the maximum brake energy test, VMU test, etc., and sent staff to follow and examine the whole process of test basics, test guideline, methodologies, experiments, equipments and the result. After the ARJ21 got certification in China, the shadow certification also finished, and they will start another audit on recognition.

However, in some countries in Southeast Asia and Africa, certifications issued by CAAC are recognized locally, which means that Chinese-made and certified aircraft can fly in those countries.

China Knowledge@Wharton: After certification, what will you have to do next in terms of commercial efforts? And how long do you expect it will to recoup the high costs invested in this project?

Luo: Aircraft production is an industry with massive investment, high risks, and slow returns. It’s a long journey from experiments in labs to formally producing a plane, and after that to win a piece of the aircraft market. And it can take years beyond to achieve commercial success.

At present, we’ve received 308 orders for the ARJ21. After the delivery of the first one, COMAC hopes to quickly reach an annual output of 15 aircraft, and, longer term, to increase that to 50 planes a year.


For the ARJ21, we set three goals: The first one was technical success, which was met when we obtained type certification. The second one was market success: producing the aircraft with cost controls, commercial value and earning brand recognition in the market — and then winning a certain market share. The third one was commercial success: selling aircraft that are competitive in the marketplace, and that can bring economic benefits for airline companies. At this moment, we have a long way to go before we hit goals two and three.

China Knowledge@Wharton: You mentioned that it takes a great deal of money to build a new aircraft, and that the returns are slow. Given that, why should China still try to get into this industry? Also, what percentage of this project involves independently developed Chinese technology?

“Aircraft production is an industry with massive investment, high risks, and slow returns. It’s a long journey from experiments in labs to formally producing a plane, and after that to win a piece of the aircraft market.”

Luo: To make our own aircraft will activate many upstream and downstream industries in areas such as materials production and high-end equipment manufacturing. We can also gradually build up a base of local suppliers in related industries, which is suitable in the context of the current stage of China’s aviation market.

Regarding independent technology, for the ARJ21, our primary suppliers include four domestic ones and 19 global companies. We also have nearly 100 secondary suppliers in China. Global airplane manufacturers like Boeing don’t design engines, and they don’t make rivets either; they purchase parts from many suppliers instead. Boeing has nearly 10,000 suppliers globally for its parts. For our planes, COMAC is the general designer, and we integrate the best technology available globally into them.

However, or next plane, the large aircraft C919, which is still in development, will have a higher level of domestic involvement. There are 36 Chinese research institutions taking part in the project, as well as more than 200 Chinese companies, including 16 material suppliers and 54 potential parts suppliers. Meanwhile, 16 global suppliers, among them GE, Honeywell and CFM, have built joint ventures with domestic companies on avionics, flight controls and other airborne systems.


China Knowledge@Wharton: Can you talk a little more about the C919 and how it’s progressing?

Luo: The C919 is a 150-seat, single-channel, narrow-body aircraft, which will compete with the Boeing 737 and the Airbus 320. This is a class of aircraft that’s most in demand in China and the global civil aviation market.

So far, the C919 has finished the project demonstration phase, the demonstration of feasibilityand predevelopment, and it’s now moving into the engineering development stage. Assembly has begun on the first craft, and it’s expected that we will conduct its first flight by the end of 2015. Then, we will move into the flight-test certification process.

China’s major airlines, including China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Hainan Airlines and some aircraft leasing companies have already ordered C919s. Huaxia Financing Leasing Co. has just signed a contract with us to purchase 20 C919s, which has boosted our client list up to 18 companies, and 450 total orders for the aircraft.

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Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
As I said before get it out the door first then improve the design for better efficiency and mileage. That is pragmatic Waiting for everything until it get everything perfect you end up like Tejas

SINGAPORE: Comac works to optimise ARJ21
  • 17 February, 2016
  • BY: Mavis Toh
  • Singapore
Comac says it is working to optimise its ARJ21 regional jet, and that changes could be incorporated into production aircraft within the next two to three years.

Since delivering the first production jet to launch customer Chengdu Airlines last November, the manufacturer has been scrutinising possible design changes to make the aircraft more efficient, Comac’s general manager for sales and marketing Dang Tiehong tells Flightglobal at the Singapore air show.

“We want to improve the performance of the aircraft, for example by relooking at the material used and the weight, as well as performance of the system.”

Dang says works are currently at an early stage, but is confident that changes made can be incorporated within three years.


The Chinese manufacturer is also working to deliver the first business jet variant of the aircraft in 2018.

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taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
My point is that ARJ-21 is more behind the curve than you think. When a design is almost 10 years behind schedule and not that impressive even if it had met its schedule, mentioning political influence is unwarranted. Even aside from that, politics play almost no role in commercial airliner deals in most cases. Otherwise, there is no chance so many airliners in America are using A320 and A330 series.

For the sake of COMAC, let's hope C919 doesn't go through with the same troubles.
For that, I totally agree.

ARJ-21 was late than its competitors already from its beginning. It is more of a startup/first-try-learning project as Hendrik said.
 
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