Blackstone
Brigadier
True that. Full Stop. Regime changes are even less good for the ousted leaders, and the credible threat of it has a quality all its own.
China's strategy in Korean peninsula
- Thread starter Phead128
- Start date
In the editorial, the author also declared that the "People's Liberation Army (PLA) will launch attacks to DPRK nuclear facilities on its own. A strike to nuclear facilities of the DPRK is the best military means in the opinion of the outside world." The northeastern Chinese provinces of Liaoning and Jilin share borders with North Korea. These two provinces and Heilongjiang are part of the Shenyang Military Region, one of seven military regions of the People's Liberation Army.
I think, the author (a Chinese military observer who did not know that Shenyang Military region had merge to North) does not have any qualification to comment. He or she is very outdated.
I think, the author (a Chinese military observer who did not know that Shenyang Military region had merge to North) does not have any qualification to comment. He or she is very outdated.
Just another of many efforts to divide and conquer, or a day dream. Typical narrative of "China hate NK, NK threats China, China loves SK and US, Russia will switch if given a chance etc". Delusional at the best. I dare to say who pays his salary.
Zero Hedge commentators proposed that this was the result of American hackers. For instance, the term "freak out" is an unusual word choice, and while the page is visible on Google cache, it's not visible on Chinamil. More likely, North Korea will attempt some sort of weapons test, perhaps a live nuclear ballistic missile test tomorrow, and it may be shot down by American point defense.
AssassinsMace
Lieutenant General
Zero Hedge is a fun read but their political positions influence what they write. Meaning they're not loyal to the facts. And remember that many journalists especially internet journalism write more for influencing policy decisions so they're not reporting the news, they're trying to create the news. So I can see this article as either telling what China to do or attempting to drive a wedge between China and North Korea because the more isolated North Korea is, the more likely a collapse is coming.
I made a similar post on CDF, but essentially my thoughts are that NK is indeed a threat to China and it needs to be taken care of. I think China has done a great job of convincing the world that NK is other people's problem, and it's time to cash in on that. Here's my x-posted comment from 2 days ago:
Events since then:
1) Trump has begun moving assets toward the Korean peninsula
2) The Chinese press is vaguely supporting the American position while declaring Trump a man who'd "honor his promises" via a Global Times op-ed, which we know is usually just a bluster-filled tabloid but the western press seems to take seriously
3) Fear is rising in SK that Trump may go rogue and attack NK
My x-posted commentary on the more recent development:
Events since then:
1) Trump has begun moving assets toward the Korean peninsula
2) The Chinese press is vaguely supporting the American position while declaring Trump a man who'd "honor his promises" via a Global Times op-ed, which we know is usually just a bluster-filled tabloid but the western press seems to take seriously
3) Fear is rising in SK that Trump may go rogue and attack NK
My x-posted commentary on the more recent development:
plawolf
Lieutenant General
Problem with that idea is geography.
Just look at the massive headache Syrian refugees are causing all of Europe and the violence and unrest the conflict had fuelled in Turkey.
The golden rule of life also applies to countries - don't shit where you live.
Even if China can contain the war to NK only, it will still face a flood of refugees coming into and either a conquered US client state stuffed to the gills with US troops and bases, or a chaotic failed state on its boarder.
The US has a long and proud history of walking away after creating a giant mess militarily. That mess would be China's problem afterwards.
It would not bog down the US or drain its resources or power, quite the contrary, it would become a source of instability that China would eventually be obligated to sort out.
I can see China being happy to help manoeuvre the US into fighting a pointless war with one of America's land neighbours. But to invite US military action in Korea is to go looking to create problems for yourself.
The only viable military option with NK is total conquest and complete nation building afterwards. Anything less will just make a bad situation worse.
China has no intention of investing the time, resources and blood needed for such a massive undertaking. And no one else has the capability or willpower for an undertaking on that scale.
As Iraq II showed, without a viable post conflict exit strategy, it is pure folly to charge into a war.
I think it can stated a bit more simply Wolfie.
I see or hear nothing that leads me to believe that the basic stance of China today is any different from that of 1950.
This means that while the Cease Fire along the DMZ is far from perfect, it is at least acceptable.
If however the balance of power changes or even looks to be about to change against China's interest, I cannot see China having any other option, but to proactively support the full reunification of the peninsular under Pyongyang.
All else; I would say, is either disinformation or wishful thinking from MSM pundits.
I see or hear nothing that leads me to believe that the basic stance of China today is any different from that of 1950.
This means that while the Cease Fire along the DMZ is far from perfect, it is at least acceptable.
If however the balance of power changes or even looks to be about to change against China's interest, I cannot see China having any other option, but to proactively support the full reunification of the peninsular under Pyongyang.
All else; I would say, is either disinformation or wishful thinking from MSM pundits.