China's strategy in Afghanistan.

Arnies

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I think we're all asking a bunch of closely related questions that can be boiled down to a common core: Is the Taliban sane? The honest answer is that nobody knows yet. Priors would have us say no (leopards can't change their spots and all that), but the Taliban saw what their previous approach got them and should have no desire to go through anything like that again. There's no better answer at this time than "wait and see", unfortunately.

Taliban will never go thru another ordeal like that because Pakistan won't allow it they have already stepped in to consolidate the gains because they need stragetic depth against the threat coming from the LOC border. Taliban also realize the importance in ethbalishing stragetic partnership with Pakistan aligning their policies with them. Taliban wants to develope the country and evolve into a civil government and they are not doing this to please anyone or fearing any consequences because they realize if they have partnership with Pakistan nobody will attempt on them anyways or anyone but for their own interests. All the mineral deals will go ahead because it is linked to their own interests. Pakistan will proceed with having it's stragetic depth and they made clear that they won't allow another disturbance in Afghanistan because it doesn't align with their interests anymore and interlinked with their own stragetic depth
 

Arnies

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What really changed is the political agenda in Pakistan due to the rise of Hindutva terrorist extremists on it's LOC border this is one of the reasons Afghanistan has gained a significiance in Pakistan more than the previous years. It is a sudden political swift caused by the elements and uprising in India. This is a counter-reaction measure in motion that has been solely triggered by these events. They are linked together and in a sense you can say India was behind Taliban's rapid win without realizing it because everything is interlinked like a chain.

With this new found stragetic depth Pakistan gains advantage over these in the LOC border and mounting any hostilites on Pakistan in the future could lead to India losing pretty much everything as a consequence or worse even get counter invaded entirely from top to bottom in a full scale military defeat. This provides with Pakistan not only incredible deterence but full advantage over these across the LOC
 

Maula Jatt

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Taliban will never go thru another ordeal like that because Pakistan won't allow it they have already stepped in to consolidate the gains because they need stragetic depth against the threat coming from the LOC border. Taliban also realize the importance in ethbalishing stragetic partnership with Pakistan aligning their policies with them. Taliban wants to develope the country and evolve into a civil government and they are not doing this to please anyone or fearing any consequences because they realize if they have partnership with Pakistan nobody will attempt on them anyways or anyone but for their own interests. All the mineral deals will go ahead because it is linked to their own interests. Pakistan will proceed with having it's stragetic depth and they made clear that they won't allow another disturbance in Afghanistan because it doesn't align with their interests anymore and interlinked with their own stragetic depth
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And influence of Pak on Talibs is HIGHLY overrated

If it was, first order of business was asking them to stop being so crazy during the 90s which stoped a lot of countries from recognizing them

Whatever Talibs are doing or not doing is for thier own reasons

Pak has leverage/goodwill whatever you wanna call

But they can't/don't control and were for the longest time on the rouge side...

(Also don't want to go too much into it, as it's China's strategy on Afghanistan...)
 
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Arnies

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A good Chinese perspective to read on Afghanistan by Liu Zongyi: "What does the Taliban's coming to power mean to China?"


Liu Zongyi is Secretary-General, China and South Asian Studies Center, Shanghai Institute of International Studies




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China's cooperation is much appreciate but Afghanistan's development project doesn't solely need China but if the China are willing to enter the construction and the development deals will be offered but it is headed by Pakistan and Qatar plus other players will enter to bring any other construction companies if China were to bail-out which is highly unlikely.. The show will go on with great authority and the development phase will kick in
 

Arnies

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And influence of Pak on Afghanistan is HIGHLY overrated

If it was, first order of business was asking them to stop being so crazy during the 90s which stoped a lot of countries from recognizing them

Whatever Talibs are doing or not doing is for thier own reasons

Pak has leverage/goodwill whatever you wanna call

But they can't/don't control and we're for the longest time on the rouge side...

FM Qureshi just landed in Kabul for state visit. Pakistan will recognize them and also that Uzbek-Pak road will also be finished as the deal is important and linked to the Pakistan economy growth.

The goal here is to develope Afghanistan and Pakistan will back it because it is inter-linked with her interests. Taliban are everything but dumb they understand the art of state building. With ISI and Pakistan heavily invested and also interested in the lithium and mineral market of Afghanistan. Pakistan does have influence over IEA and there is an understanding. Because why do you think they visited China and echoed same stances as Pakistan? The media are just in euphoria currently but just give it a week or 2.. Taliban news will vanish.. Back to business and development work for Pakistan With the road construction etc etc.. Pakistan will consolidate her stragetic depth
 

Arnies

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lol do you believe in that? Pakistan realizes that Afghanistan is her way to major world power status hence the importance. Afghanistan is build and designed like a fortress and Pakistan adding that to the cart as stragetic depth by having multiple military bases will elevate her world standing greatly.. From a militarily point of view not economy
 

Maula Jatt

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lol do you believe in that? Pakistan realizes that Afghanistan is her way to major world power status hence the importance. Afghanistan is build and designed like a fortress and Pakistan adding that to the cart as stragetic depth by having multiple military bases will elevate her world standing greatly.. From a militarily point of view not economy
My man I don't know what I am reading but I might get hospitalized with a severe and deadly case of cringe attack...

Peace out ✌
 

Arnies

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Last Updated: 20th August, 2021 20:09 IST

Pakistan Becomes 1st Guest Of Taliban-controlled Afghanistan; Imran's FM Qureshi To Visit​

Pakistan's foreign minister Shah Mahmood Qureshi will be the first guest of the Taliban​


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Arnies

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There was many tweets of Pakistani border guards taking selfies with IEA border control guards it must be strange being a Pakistani border guard control witnessing all of sudden new collegues on the other side of the border and this is what it truly means and looks like when a dynesty falls and another new one entirely replaces it..

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