Historic launch of James Webb Space Telescope.
Launch in 39 minutes
Livestream
I would say that JWST is very significant. However, its architecture is really bad. I would like to see more innovation than having another 15yr delay...is there anything revolutionary about it or is it just a bigger version of Hubble? I think that it is useless to compete in optical/IR space observatories. The gap is large and there's not much value added for another me-too observatory. Instead for better prestige and even practicality it is better to do something that they haven't done, like X-ray pulsar navigation.
by then China could have the first solar system or interstellar navigation system...I would say that JWST is very significant. However, its architecture is really bad. I would like to see more innovation than having another 15yr delay...
Historic launch of James Webb Space Telescope.
Launch in 1hr 39 minutes
Livestream
I am thinking of the progress of CZ-9(21) and the (latest acceptable) time of moon base building being the determine considerations rather than CZ-9(11) itself.How far are they along development with CZ-9(11) do you think they would have to go for it to be considered so far along that it is not worth it to cancel it?
At present I can see a rationale for working on both CZ-9(11) and (21), but at a certain point in the next couple of years I imagine they'll have to choose between one or the other, and given the noises they've made about 2030s and 2040s launch requirements in terms of frequency and tonnage, I have a feeling they're going to end up with a resuable super heavy first stage that looks something like (21) eventually.
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From 2020, a prospective goal of seeking to be able to conduct a hundred per year around 2035 with the ability to annually launch thousands of tons into orbit, and in 2045 to conduct on demand launches of a thousand launches per year with the ability to launch tens of thousands of tons into orbit a year.
包为民当天在福州开幕的2020年中国航天大会上,作《航班化航天运输系统的发展与思考》演讲时透露了上述计划。他说,实现航班化航天运输目标分为三个阶段:2025年前为起步建设阶段,主要任务是突破关键技术,形成试验试用系统;2035年实现目标初步建成,年总飞行数百次、总货运千吨级、总客运千人次;到2045年目标全面建成,实现按需发射,每年总飞行次数达千次量级,总货运万吨级,总客运万人次。