China's Space Program News Thread

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FairAndUnbiased

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Historic launch of James Webb Space Telescope.
Launch in 39 minutes

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is there anything revolutionary about it or is it just a bigger version of Hubble? I think that it is useless to compete in optical/IR space observatories. The gap is large and there's not much value added for another me-too observatory. Instead for better prestige and even practicality it is better to do something that they haven't done, like X-ray pulsar navigation.

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Overbom

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is there anything revolutionary about it or is it just a bigger version of Hubble? I think that it is useless to compete in optical/IR space observatories. The gap is large and there's not much value added for another me-too observatory. Instead for better prestige and even practicality it is better to do something that they haven't done, like X-ray pulsar navigation.

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I would say that JWST is very significant. However, its architecture is really bad. I would like to see more innovation than having another 15yr delay...
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by78

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Yutu-2 lunar rover has traveled 965.85 meters.

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taxiya

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How far are they along development with CZ-9(11) do you think they would have to go for it to be considered so far along that it is not worth it to cancel it?

At present I can see a rationale for working on both CZ-9(11) and (21), but at a certain point in the next couple of years I imagine they'll have to choose between one or the other, and given the noises they've made about 2030s and 2040s launch requirements in terms of frequency and tonnage, I have a feeling they're going to end up with a resuable super heavy first stage that looks something like (21) eventually.

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From 2020, a prospective goal of seeking to be able to conduct a hundred per year around 2035 with the ability to annually launch thousands of tons into orbit, and in 2045 to conduct on demand launches of a thousand launches per year with the ability to launch tens of thousands of tons into orbit a year.

  包为民当天在福州开幕的2020年中国航天大会上,作《航班化航天运输系统的发展与思考》演讲时透露了上述计划。他说,实现航班化航天运输目标分为三个阶段:2025年前为起步建设阶段,主要任务是突破关键技术,形成试验试用系统;2035年实现目标初步建成,年总飞行数百次、总货运千吨级、总客运千人次;到2045年目标全面建成,实现按需发射,每年总飞行次数达千次量级,总货运万吨级,总客运万人次。
I am thinking of the progress of CZ-9(21) and the (latest acceptable) time of moon base building being the determine considerations rather than CZ-9(11) itself.

In a way, I am looking at it as similar to steam and EM catapult. Both were developed in parallel, both reached completeness. Whoever was ready first before the critical time point was chosen. Steam cat and CZ-9(11) are not the favoured ones but may reach maturity and even be used if the favoured one can't meet the absolute deadline. The question is what is if there is a absolute deadline and what will it be.

In case of CZ-9(11) being cancelled due to CZ-9(21) being fast, YF-130 and YF-90 will continue to finish their work as fully ready engines even if they have no rocket to be used. Cancelling them any time from today is too late and waste of all the works done. Actually, these engines are in the second stage (Engineering design) after Conceptual and Key tech phase. YF-135 is in the first stage. So continue working on YF-130 and YF-90 is doing the 2nd stage work for YF-135 which will significantly speed up YF-135.

CZ-9(21) is certainly the final shape of CZ-9. CZ-9(11) was the final shape at the beginning of China's moon program before 2010, but seems to be obsolete after China's space ambition has massively expanded to include many deep space missions, long term operation of permanent moon base and near earth super-structures. Reusable is the only choice.
 

gelgoog

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China spent way too much money on the Super Heavy to dump it I think. Even if it only flies once every other year I think it will be used.
The fact they are already testing actual hardware for it makes this even more inevitable. Unless some kind of N-1 scale disaster happens it won't be cancelled.

I prefer the triple booster Long March 5 replacement 921 rocket with partial reusability to this design since I think Super Heavy rockets are uneconomic in general. The fact is neither Korolev nor Von Braun initially planned to make a Moon mission with Super Heavy rockets. They only did it to save time and reduce risk with going with their initially preferred multiple launch solution. At the time it was a PITA for both the Soviets and the US to get staging and docking to work properly. So launching everything in one go was the preferred solution to get to the Moon quickly.
 
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