I personally i think they just need China and the Philippines to have a very very short but bloody skirmish.
This could be just enough for Washington and Brussels to put on heavy sanctions and tariffs on China like they did with Russia.
China's SCS Strategy Thread
- Thread starter lilzz
- Start date
This could be just enough for Washington and Brussels to put on heavy sanctions and tariffs on China like they did with Russia.
They're on their way of doing that, the ground work had been laid and are waiting for the go signal. BUT before they do, China had an ace on its sleeve, they may take the initiative by announce its total gold holdings that may shake their faith on the western financial system.
Way too optimistic. It's not like they don't know about this too.
How many tons? IF the Chinese announce they had about 40,000 tons or even just 20,000 tons there will be major shock at the currency market and a sudden collapse of the US dollars as an international currency.
Besides the Philippines, Vietnam is also a major player in SCS. Many Vietnamese (including me) are concerned about the Funan Canal and the expansion of the Sihhanoukville naval base. This directly endangered Vietnam's Mekong Delta. Could this be a hostage of China in the matter of SCS ?
I don't think it will be about currency, this will be more about minimal market and consumer base size in a multipolar world.
Hearing to the screeches of western policy elites its clear that with industry 4.0(have to give it a name) products the west is losing its competitiveness. Hence their talks about sanctions and tariffs on Chinese solar, wind, nuclear and EV products.
But if they can close off the US and EU markets for Chinese products, it would mean they will always have 2nd biggest or 3rd biggest consumer base if India gets their industrial/manufacturing sectors going.
The history here is fraught - Cambodia is heavily dependent on Vietnamese seaports for trade flows. In the past, Vietnam has used this as a coercive tool against the Cambodian government. The Funan canal offers Cambodia greater strategic and economic autonomy from Vietnam.
Vietnam's concerns regarding waterflow of the Mekong are legitimate. However, "dual-use" concerns are a little far-fetched - we are well past the days of river gunboats...
The whole question of water rights for countries along the Mekong are very sensitive and will only get more complicated and heated. Perfect opportunity for 3rd parties to stir trouble. China would do well to not get blindsided and should sit down in good faith with Vietnam + Cambodia to strenghten the current framework. But I don't see an outcome where all parties come away happy. One of those difficult sticky situations.
Vietnam Yes, the Philippine NO, respect is earn not given, you have proven yourself by your struggle against the US, while we wallow in misery for being an acquiescence.
I don't understand bro, is there an animosity between the Khmer and the Viet?
No if the Chinese want to, all they have to do is dam the Mekong river and let Vietnam suffer. Bro whether you like it or not you are a part of the Sinosphere and the Chinese didn't want to engage such nefarious thing unless force to.
Yes, many Vietnamese still have a hostile attitude to both China and Cambodia since the 1979 war. And with increased cooperation between them, some fear that we are in the same situation as in the 1970s, with enemies on 2 fronts.
Well the Philippines brags about bombing both Vietnam and Cambodia and they are bringing their american daddy for round 2