Not exactly
China's SCS Strategy Thread
- Thread starter lilzz
- Start date
US is stuck in WW2. They think they can fight another war by putting soldiers in another country & when the dust settles, they will go back home happily where everything remains as it was.
If the Chinese islands are being attacked, the ships and forces are coming from these places that will belong to either South Korea or Japan. The Chinese will hit back and possibly occupy these places. Can Japan or South Korea hit back? South Korea has very high economic ties with China and could be invaded by the Chinese on land, so they will not be very keen on striking back at the Chinese. Japan does not have offensive missiles or a big enough navy to hit back. Also they must consider that most of the Japanese industries are located in a small part of Japan, making the retaliatory strike from China very devastating for Japan, and I am not even talking about nuclear power here. In this case, the U.S. will find two very reluctant partners.
To get an understanding of what roles SCS Islands play in China's SCS defense strategy, read this article by J. Michael Dahm.
J. Michael Dahm is a senior researcher at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (APL) and retired U.S. Navy intelligence officer. Mr. Dahm’s perspectives presented through War on the Rocks are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of APL or its sponsors.
J. Michael Dahm is a senior researcher at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (APL) and retired U.S. Navy intelligence officer. Mr. Dahm’s perspectives presented through War on the Rocks are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of APL or its sponsors.
J. Michael Dahm has written what probably is the best OSINT analysis on China's SCS Islands military capabilities. It has shed the lights on the comprehensive, sophisticated, and resilient informationized warfare capability that China has built on these islands. The author is a former US Navy intelligence officer, so the analysis are rather professional even though they're all based on non-military sources.
J. Michael Dahm
In the information age, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) believe that success in combat will be realized by winning a struggle for information superiority in the operational batttlespace. China’s informationized warfare strategy and information-centric operational concepts are central to how the PLA will generate combat power. These South China Sea (SCS) military capability (MILCAP) studies provide a survey of military technologies and systems on Chinese-claimed island-reefs in the disputed Spratly Islands. The relative compactness of China’s SCS outposts makes them an attractive case study of PLA military capabilities. Each island-reef and its associated military base facilities may be captured in a single commercial satellite image. An examination of capabilities on China’s island-reefs reveals the PLA’s informationized warfare strategy and the military’s designs on generating what the Chinese call “information power.” The SCS MILCAP series is organized around different categories of information power capabilities, from reconnaissance to communications to hardened infrastructure. Kinetic effects will remain an important component of PLA operational design. However, any challenger to Chinese military capabilities in the SCS must first account for and target the very core of the PLA’s informationized warfare strategy—its information power.
South China Sea Military Capabilities Series Documents:
J. Michael Dahm
In the information age, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) believe that success in combat will be realized by winning a struggle for information superiority in the operational batttlespace. China’s informationized warfare strategy and information-centric operational concepts are central to how the PLA will generate combat power. These South China Sea (SCS) military capability (MILCAP) studies provide a survey of military technologies and systems on Chinese-claimed island-reefs in the disputed Spratly Islands. The relative compactness of China’s SCS outposts makes them an attractive case study of PLA military capabilities. Each island-reef and its associated military base facilities may be captured in a single commercial satellite image. An examination of capabilities on China’s island-reefs reveals the PLA’s informationized warfare strategy and the military’s designs on generating what the Chinese call “information power.” The SCS MILCAP series is organized around different categories of information power capabilities, from reconnaissance to communications to hardened infrastructure. Kinetic effects will remain an important component of PLA operational design. However, any challenger to Chinese military capabilities in the SCS must first account for and target the very core of the PLA’s informationized warfare strategy—its information power.
South China Sea Military Capabilities Series Documents:
I wouldn't count on that. Imagine China makes an ultimatum where US troops need to exit South Korea and Japan in, say, 48h, then strikes American bases. I doubt the US let alone South Korea and Japan would fight back.
I think China wouldn't attempt an invasion of the Japanese home islands regardless of what happens. There is no point in it.
I am not sure where to post this piece but since it has implications to the SCS I am posting it here.
It seems elements of the US propaganda department in Singapore has published a hit piece targeting Philippine president Duterte and his deals with China by making insinuations that his partnership has barely produced any meaningful outcome.
I have a feeling that the US will also start to mobilize their 5th column agents across the Philippine political sphere to install another puppet president who would attempt to reverse all the recent partnership deals with China. And with elections fast approaching in 2022 we can expect more negative coverage about Duterte and China in Philippine 5th columnist media. China will need to act decisively if it wants to preserve the positive gains in its partnership with the Philippines.
It seems elements of the US propaganda department in Singapore has published a hit piece targeting Philippine president Duterte and his deals with China by making insinuations that his partnership has barely produced any meaningful outcome.
I have a feeling that the US will also start to mobilize their 5th column agents across the Philippine political sphere to install another puppet president who would attempt to reverse all the recent partnership deals with China. And with elections fast approaching in 2022 we can expect more negative coverage about Duterte and China in Philippine 5th columnist media. China will need to act decisively if it wants to preserve the positive gains in its partnership with the Philippines.
Hi PhSt,
Yes, if you read my previous post if Biden won there will be trouble here in the Philippines. 2022 PRESIDENTIAL election is around the corner, The US will be intervening big time, Duterte only vulnerability is the SCS issue, here the opposition and the US see an opportunity and will be doing this covert activity
1) making bias/ unfavorable survey against China (the question is usually like this, which is better YAO ming or Michael Jordan, US1 CHN 0)
2) MSM and Asian publication like CNA and Nikei news outlet reporting bias news
3) there is report that the promise vaccine from China will not push thru, cause our health dep't will be looking at Pfizer vaccine first as agreed on loan condition to us by the World bank.
4) Our COMELEC (commission on election) agree to use and employ the Smartmatic system (same owner and provider with DOMINION system in the US) for our election in 2022. Here the hidden hand of the US will determine our future president.
Yes China may help, but the US influence is strong especially among the elites and the upper middle class. Duterte had strong support among the masses, but it need tangible result, here China may help with the infrastructure , the COC agreement and the gas/oil exploration.(vaccine is a really good gesture, but it was taken out by our own incompetence and greed)
Now we know what the American is planning to do ,But there is a critical question to be ask, who will be their prefer candidate. There is a lot of potential candidate to pick from but all of them lack the charisma and the electivity of Duterte. With Duterte popularity at an all time high, he hold the key and is holding his card close to his chest. Any attack on him will backfire cause the masses did not trust the media, our media that is owned by the elites and had been expose for it's bias reporting. So the US is in for a surprise, if they openly campaign against Duterte they will be surely burn like they experience last election. Here's what I expect the American will do, they will finance multiple candidate therefore enhancing its chance of winning and in case of a close election to minimize Duterte's choice candidate lead to a single digit and make it possible for Smartmatic to cheat and decide the winner.( US prefer candidate)
Last edited:
I mean, they could just do him in.