China's Defense/Military Breaking News Thread

Status
Not open for further replies.

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
2:51:34 Patch "the J20 is significantly superior to just about every single United States aircraft in production right now"
After what went down in the J-20 thread, this comment from him definitely feels like a sh*tpost, unless I misunderstood him in that he thinks F-22 (not in production) is still superior to the J-20.

In metrics that matter I still think f-35 is at least on par, if not ahead of J-20 in terms of avionics.
 

Staedler

Junior Member
Registered Member
Honestly, this does make me genuinely worried about the lower number of VLS cells (64) on the Chinese 052Ds compared to their American and Japanese counterparts (96). Because no matter how accurate, powerful and resilient your radar sets and fire control suites are, I think the volume of firepower that every ship can put out is also a key factor in reliably dictating a battle's outcome.
Patch mentions the Burke's VLS only being able to energize 1 cell per 4 for a salvo. So Burke's initial salvo is divided by 4 right off the bat which drops that salvo size from the full 96 to 24. Then they factored in spares and missiles lost in the pre-flight phase to drop it to 16.

The Chinese UVLS operates somewhat different in exhaust formats etc. so I don't know if that divide by 4 applies at all to the 052D. If I recall correctly the UVLS has individual exhausts unlike the Mk41 so that's one hint that the PLA may potentially have access to more for the initial salvo.

Did the US really shutted down most of their production lines such that airframes and submarines are not enough and had to be overused?
For some cases it is because of production lines being shut down; Toaster mentions the SSN-22 Connecticut being disassembled for parts to repair the SSN-23 Jimmy Carter because the companies/yards that produced them have shutdown. But that doesn't fly for the other stuff. VA-class subs are still being built for example.

My personal view after hearing their discussion is the US force simply wasn't built for these sorts of tempos. They're dealing with a major surface fleet & air force challenge from the PLA that isn't remotely comparable to what other nations are putting out. So their force structure might have worked in the post-USSR collapse world but not so much in the current day.

I_Y8_H8 touches upon something similar when he talks about Taiwanese procurement. He says Taiwan's current force structure (thought up in the 1990-2000s) makes perfect sense if they were fighting 2005 PLA. The problem is the PLA has moved so extremely far beyond that level.

That was a fr1ck1ng massive surprise to hear, honestly. I have always put the F-35 on high regard, lol.

Looks, I don't want to mean anything rude to Patch, but I just hope that he is not saying that to gaslight the SDF because of the J-20 vs F-22 incident that happened late last August.
As far as I recall, this is something Patch was saying even before that incident happened. He was saying J20 was superior as system/platform/overall etc. but that the F22 was tactically/individually better. Some folks took a lot of issue with that. I don't think his position has changed at all on the topic.

Found this live stream comment when Patch, Blitzo, Toast and Y8 were talking about the Indian military:

View attachment 103515

I recalled this video by Liu Xiaofei from November last year:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

To sum it up:


At that time, I found that statement by a seemingly very important former military official rather difficult to believe.

But now, man, I see...
Patch made a comment about the Indian military being made of the stuff they talk about (poo). Toaster and the rest were saying pretty much the same thing. It just confirms what I've gleaned about the Indian military for all these years. It's a joke.

Hard not to see it even from an outsider's point of view. Abysmal procurement and maintenance. Almost complete lack of domestic industry that can service existing equipment or innovate new platforms. Extremely visible poor morale in their troops. Military service functioning as a handout / safety net for the chronically hungry. India's been having these issues for how many decades now? And they've never made any move to actually fix their problems. At this point you have multiple generations of the military from top to bottom that has grown up in this sort of culture. This sort of rot becomes almost impossible to break from within.

If you look at their indigenous military procurement, it's a complete disaster. So I think of India's military in the same vein as Myammar, Thailand, and Vietnam's.
 

BMUFL

Junior Member
Registered Member
But then, you got people who make bank on Youtube using DCS and C:MO e.g. Grim Reapers & Growling Sidewinder. So that does tell something, I guess.
Well, pitting arbitrary aircrafts against each other in BVR fight and/or WVR knife fight is entertaining. But it's not reflective of real life. DCS is well known for having questionable missile kinematics, such that stock AMRAAM is ineffective past ~12 NM, meanwhile the third-party SD-10 from JF-17 module outperforms it by a country mile.
Did the US really shutted down most of their production lines such that airframes and submarines are not enough and had to be overused?
Well, cold war was over, and it was "the end of history". I think people back then truly believed that the Liberal International Order has triumphed over the godless commies.
Looks, I don't want to mean anything rude to Patch, but I just hope that he is not saying that to gaslight the SDF because of the J-20 vs F-22 incident that happened late last August.
IIRC because people kept pestering him for classified informations, informations that will land him in a federal penitentiary for a long, long time.

And as @BoraTas said,
Probably true in a WESTPAC context. The F-22 is really short-range and is a hangar queen, and lacks IRST. The F-35 has it better but still lacks proper IRST, has a medium-power radar, and is still somewhat short-range. The J-20 is really WESTPAC specific. Long range, massive radar, has IRST, and can be fast. Its stealth characteristics might be weaker but I think the overall concept is really sound for WESTPAC.
It's probably true in WestPac context. However, war is not won by comparing airframe against airframe. Circlejerking over aircraft performances is exact opposite of how one is supposed to study this problem.
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Found this live stream comment when Patch, Blitzo, Toast and Y8 were talking about the Indian military:

View attachment 103515

I recalled this video by Liu Xiaofei from November last year:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

To sum it up:


At that time, I found that statement by a seemingly very important former military official rather difficult to believe.

But now, man, I see...

Why do you find it surprising? How else could something like Galwan happen if they didn't drink their own koolaid?
 

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
Patch made a comment about the Indian military being made of the stuff they talk about (poo). Toaster and the rest were saying pretty much the same thing. It just confirms what I've gleaned about the Indian military for all these years. It's a joke.

Hard not to see it even from an outsider's point of view. Abysmal procurement and maintenance. Almost complete lack of domestic industry that can service existing equipment or innovate new platforms. Extremely visible poor morale in their troops. Military service functioning as a handout / safety net for the chronically hungry. India's been having these issues for how many decades now? And they've never made any move to actually fix their problems. At this point you have multiple generations of the military from top to bottom that has grown up in this sort of culture. This sort of rot becomes almost impossible to break from within.

If you look at their indigenous military procurement, it's a complete disaster. So I think of India's military in the same vein as Myammar, Thailand, and Vietnam's.
It's probably in large part due to the way India became a country, through protest and not through sweat and blood like so many others getting rid of their colonial shackles. This leads to a low agency in building out their military as the people are pacifists and non-confrontational at heart, thats why in the border skirmishes India is so loud, but doesn't carry the requisite stick.

It also doesn't help that their chief threat in the region (Pakistan) have a woeful military record against India leading to complete lack of sense of urgency, with their current military sufficient to deal with a potential Pakistan invasion and nuclear weapons to deter everyone else, why bother? (They should, their military would crumble like a pack of cards against anyone serious)
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Patch mentions the Burke's VLS only being able to energize 1 cell per 4 for a salvo. So Burke's initial salvo is divided by 4 right off the bat which drops that salvo size from the full 96 to 24. Then they factored in spares and missiles lost in the pre-flight phase to drop it to 16.

The Chinese UVLS operates somewhat different in exhaust formats etc. so I don't know if that divide by 4 applies at all to the 052D. If I recall correctly the UVLS has individual exhausts unlike the Mk41 so that's one hint that the PLA may potentially have access to more for the initial salvo.


For some cases it is because of production lines being shut down; Toaster mentions the SSN-22 Connecticut being disassembled for parts to repair the SSN-23 Jimmy Carter because the companies/yards that produced them have shutdown. But that doesn't fly for the other stuff. VA-class subs are still being built for example.

My personal view after hearing their discussion is the US force simply wasn't built for these sorts of tempos. They're dealing with a major surface fleet & air force challenge from the PLA that isn't remotely comparable to what other nations are putting out. So their force structure might have worked in the post-USSR collapse world but not so much in the current day.

I_Y8_H8 touches upon something similar when he talks about Taiwanese procurement. He says Taiwan's current force structure (thought up in the 1990-2000s) makes perfect sense if they were fighting 2005 PLA. The problem is the PLA has moved so extremely far beyond that level.


As far as I recall, this is something Patch was saying even before that incident happened. He was saying J20 was superior as system/platform/overall etc. but that the F22 was tactically/individually better. Some folks took a lot of issue with that. I don't think his position has changed at all on the topic.


Patch made a comment about the Indian military being made of the stuff they talk about (poo). Toaster and the rest were saying pretty much the same thing. It just confirms what I've gleaned about the Indian military for all these years. It's a joke.

Hard not to see it even from an outsider's point of view. Abysmal procurement and maintenance. Almost complete lack of domestic industry that can service existing equipment or innovate new platforms. Extremely visible poor morale in their troops. Military service functioning as a handout / safety net for the chronically hungry. India's been having these issues for how many decades now? And they've never made any move to actually fix their problems. At this point you have multiple generations of the military from top to bottom that has grown up in this sort of culture. This sort of rot becomes almost impossible to break from within.

If you look at their indigenous military procurement, it's a complete disaster. So I think of India's military in the same vein as Myammar, Thailand, and Vietnam's.
I think this is very unfair to the Vietnamese military, which is combat proven and has shown a tenacity even greater than Ukraine's in a conflict against multiple enemies far more brutal than Russia while achieving far more in terms of kills (including collaborators), aircraft shootdowns, etc.
 

ZeEa5KPul

Colonel
Registered Member
Found this live stream comment when Patch, Blitzo, Toast and Y8 were talking about the Indian military:

View attachment 103515

I recalled this video by Liu Xiaofei from November last year:
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

To sum it up:


At that time, I found that statement by a seemingly very important former military official rather difficult to believe.

But now, man, I see...
Dear Santa,

Please, please, please let the Indians try something.
 

Staedler

Junior Member
Registered Member
I think this is very unfair to the Vietnamese military, which is combat proven and has shown a tenacity even greater than Ukraine's in a conflict against multiple enemies far more brutal than Russia while achieving far more in terms of kills (including collaborators), aircraft shootdowns, etc.
Certainly in the past the Vietnamese were quite formidable. But my peripheral impression is that they've significantly degraded since those days. These days the Vietnamese military seem more interested in running businesses and using their connections to the government to get preferential treatment against other private sector companies. I've heard of their military stealing gas from vehicles/vessels, misreporting activities, etc. I haven't investigated it in any detail, but it looks to me like the Vietnamese are coasting off of their reputation forged during the wars with the US, France, and China. It's not the same army as the one that was forged in the blood crucible of the independence war.

I think that's a pretty normal trajectory for victorious armies to take. The Chinese army forged by WW2-Reunification-Korea had degraded severely by the time of the Gulf War.
 
Last edited:

Staedler

Junior Member
Registered Member
A point to add, thanks to a strong leader like Jiang Zeming to push PLA away from running businesses
Yea, I would also like to add that I can see a future where the Vietnamese military reforms itself and become much more capable again just like the PLA did.

I can't see the same happening for India, Myammar, and etc. Unlike Vietnam, they don't have a history of military excellence. I'm trying to think of what sorts of cultural and social-economic changes would have to happen for a country like India to have a competent military. It will be difficult.
 
Last edited:
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top