Its CSIS. Half (all?) of their job is to "mistakenly" leave important things out a report/graphic
Btw good analysis.
China's Defense/Military Breaking News Thread
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Btw good analysis.
White House Spokesperson said no change in policy.
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I think its an open secret that the US will commit to defending Taiwan at this point. Too many "slips of the tongue", too many "slicing of the pie", too many "toeing the line" to not have it be committed policy at this point.
Maybe they're not openly announcing it to avoid an immediate war, maybe they think they can slice the pie enough to permanently prevent China's attempt at unification, but I think the US is now 100% committed to intervention.
What shape that intervention takes I don't know. Some have suggested the US will half-ass it like Afghanistan, some say they will come together like in WW2. I don't think the US knows either... whether it'll look like Gulf-War 1 where they go in with NATO, Vietnam War where they go in basically alone (I don't count their vassal states), Korean War where its a global effort.
I know they prefer Korean War, and they're trying to line up the pieces to make it like that, but the rest of the world is weary of the warmongering US and its proving difficult.
I will only say, never underestimate the US master's willingness to throw away lives. They will attack if they think there's a profit to be made somewhere, even if its hopeless.
Maybe they're not openly announcing it to avoid an immediate war, maybe they think they can slice the pie enough to permanently prevent China's attempt at unification, but I think the US is now 100% committed to intervention.
What shape that intervention takes I don't know. Some have suggested the US will half-ass it like Afghanistan, some say they will come together like in WW2. I don't think the US knows either... whether it'll look like Gulf-War 1 where they go in with NATO, Vietnam War where they go in basically alone (I don't count their vassal states), Korean War where its a global effort.
I know they prefer Korean War, and they're trying to line up the pieces to make it like that, but the rest of the world is weary of the warmongering US and its proving difficult.
I will only say, never underestimate the US master's willingness to throw away lives. They will attack if they think there's a profit to be made somewhere, even if its hopeless.
That's the million dollar question, innit.
I have a feeling that the US won't actually join in a shooting war wrt to Taiwan. If the PLA takes Taiwan in 3 days I don't see the Taiwanese people resisting; their culture isn't particularly martial.
I think intelligence sharing will definitely happen but not much more than that. The risk of escalation is too much for the US; I don't think they are willing to bleed for Taiwan.
antiterror13
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Yeapp, talk is cheap
I think that won't matter if Taiwanese people resist or not, the US will set up a puppet Taiwanese-Government-in-Exile and send their troops into the guns of China regardless.
Well, I don't think the US populace is willing but the politicians and the CEO's of defense companies don't care.
I wonder why US have so much confidence to win a war against China, or win a cold war, or so called trade war.
So much US China expert know nothing about China.
I think it's easy to start a war against China unification, but at what kind of way the US wants to end the war and get along with China on the following days, no matter who win or lose.
So much US China expert know nothing about China.
I think it's easy to start a war against China unification, but at what kind of way the US wants to end the war and get along with China on the following days, no matter who win or lose.
There can't be a "Taiwanese" government-in-exile, as there is no "Republic of Taiwan". The US can set up a 'Republic of China' government in exile but then if they do that I don't see any possibility of diplomatic relation between US and PRC - we are back to pre 1979.
I agree with you - US MIC is a scourge.
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