yes it true Kenya's defense budget is only 2% of it GDP and for the Blogs informention we when never consider buying Su, or the Mig 35. when it comes to managing twin engine jets we done for the last 30yrs by the F-5E/F.
the F-16 is a well admire fighter by many but only countries that have an extensive back up airsupport system like AWACS and advance survillance radars can enjoy it. take it from the horse mouth. if your to put the F-16C on a one to one engagments i.e dogfights with a low budget fighter like a Mig 29 of a same upgrade with equally trained pilots it will loss 4:1. this has been proven in the kargil war between the I.A.F MiG 29 vs P.A.F F-16, isreal F-16 vs MiG 23 of syria, India airforce vs USAF in a training they had. Germany air force have also test in among there Mig 29 squdrons. Kenya is not therefore willing to be added to that list.
we in Kenya believe the the F-5 gave birth to the F-16 and a well upgraded F-5 is as good as a F-16 plus minus.with our intense train on the F-5 it will be uneconomical to buy the F-16 to replace or fill the gap of the f-5. this would be basically be digging a hole to cover other hole. the F-18 is in a class of it own it engine and performs out range more western fighters esp.F-16. the Fc-1 as suggested is still yet to prove itself. it is not wise to buy a aircraft that has never been airborne esp. from China. The looming threat we have from mainly Ethopia and there Su-27 is real. they have from time to time wished to have a war with Kenya.Incross border raids and so forth. from Kenyas Military survey atleast a used squdron or 3 F-18A/B (2 A models and 1 B model) have them upgraded with a Chile firm would have changed the balance of airpower.but since the end of user agreements with many F-18 users and most user were not also will to part with there birds Luck was not on our side. we then opted to added more F-5. we have a alot of experince with the F-5 and it is very reliable.
both the parkistanis and isreal were disappointed with the F-16 and decide to build a better copy of it. the pakistanis built the F-17 better know as JF-17/FC-1 Thunder.
I understand where you're coming from. I personally think you're making a couple of unfounded assumptions on the FC-1 (for example Pakistan had very little input into the actual development of the FC-1/JF-17), but I'll leave that to more experienced hands. The Su-27 is an excellent fighter and remains so to this day, frankly the biggest threat an Ethiopian Su-27 could experience is not a Kenyan F-5, upgraded or not, but the lengthy, expensive maintenace work required for Soviet era fighters. I agree though, for a country, where budgetary contraints are crucial considerations, a proven aircraft can be seen as just as important as its technological capabilities. Besides, the FC-1/JF-17 isn't the only 'fighter' available for export from China. The JL-9/FTC-2000 is a 'trainer' in name only, it would be ridiculously easy to convert it into a single engine fighter (which according to rumour, was the idea all along). The J-7E style configuration has proven highly versatile and capable while al the same time, being heavily redesigned to supprt new technologies such as a multi-mode, BVR capable radar and integrated electronics and counter-measures. Additional, at Kenya's request, the WP-14 engine could be used which would greatly improve the excellent handling characteristics of the JL-9.
I personally think, rather than the F-5E, the Atlas Cheetah C/D would have made an excellent to the Kenyan Air Force. Not only would it strengthen ties between Kenya and South Africa, the Atlas is built on solid, recent experience against Cuban MiG-23s in the Border War combined with advanced Israeli technology in a very cost effective package now that South Africa has retired its final Cheetah C last year.