China MAD option

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
huh, I do not see how 200-200 nukes could alarm the US...

Why does it alarm anyone that North Korea or Iran having a handful of nukes. Back in the early part of the Cold War the US looked at China much worse than how they view North Korea today.
 

escobar

Brigadier
Hi this is my first thread here
as you all have realized that China possess only mininum nuclear deterrece force
of only 100 - 400 nuclear warhead with only a dozen currently capable of striking continental USA
while the US and russia has more than 1500 nukes, those small arsenal is highly vulnerable to

massive nuclear first strike, not to mention US missile shield that is constantly getting better
threatening to neutralize China small nuclear retaliation.

So my question what is China plan in ensuring MAD?
is it possible for China to unleash armageddon by striking non US targets in the unlikely case of

US first strike?
For example by striking US neighbour of mexico, and let the radioactive wind does it job to ensure

texas is no longer habitable
or by striking world rainforests for example amazon rainforest that produces 25% or world oxygen

or perhaps by striking russia in which some experts thinks will unleash its massive nuclear

missiles not only to China but to the all of the nuclear armed states in retalation
what is your opinion on this? because for the life of me I cannot think of any logical reasoning
why China insist on minimum deterrence doctrine

Minimum deterrence doctrine is based on the belief that nobody is mad enough to start a nuclear war. So why invest huge sums in nuclear weapons?
 

escobar

Brigadier
Why does it alarm anyone that North Korea or Iran having a handful of nukes. Back in the early part of the Cold War the US looked at China much worse than how they view North Korea today.

because NKorea president and iran's hostility. this is not the case of China.
 

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
because NKorea president and iran's hostility. this is not the case of China.

You don't think anyone views China as hostile? Why do people complain about China have one aircraft carrier while when you look at the countries that do have carriers, the vast majority of them are allies to one another? Same logic as nukes. They don't want the enemy to have any capability or be able to inflict any casualties on their side. They want overwhelming superiority. There was a poster in here that I don't see anymore that said the Taliban having snipers was unfair. The US doesn't have snipers in Afghanistan? What was the scandal of pictures of US snipers urinating on the bodies of their kills? So how does the Taliban having snipers constitute being unfair? Because it's not a face to face fight? What about those US snipers? What about Chris Kyle who got fame for his sniper kills in Iraq and Afghanistan? MAD doesn't only mean "mutual assured destruction." It's the unreasonable thinking behind it and those that think it's okay. That's why you have people who think China's limited nuclear capability of a couple hundred is alarming despite they have thousands.

The irony of this thread is people are trying to apply reason when MAD is about unreasonable and illogical thinking.
 

escobar

Brigadier
You don't think anyone views China as hostile?

We were talking specially about the fact that china's limited nuclear capability raising alarms the US, not in general terms.

Why do people complain about China have one aircraft carrier while when you look at the countries that do have carriers, the vast majority of them are allies to one another?

Do you really think the pentagon is afraid of CV-16? Do not take seriously western media with their sensational title.

They don't want the enemy to have any capability or be able to inflict any casualties on their side. They want overwhelming superiority.

Nobody wants to deal with a powerful enemy, but there is what we would like and the reality.
 

Lion

Senior Member
Imagine if china nuclear stockpile is actually one thousand and they declared to the world the actual number. What will you think of the reaction of those major powers?

I think that why China never declared the actual amount of its nuclear stockpile.
 

bajingan

Senior Member
Minimum deterrence doctrine is based on the belief that nobody is mad enough to start a nuclear war. So why invest huge sums in nuclear weapons?

But when US and russia have more than 1500 ICBMs and China has only 250 nukes according to Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, potential enemies might be tempted to launch a disarming first strike since the US nuclear doctrine is based on disarming nuclear first strike against a much larger nuclear force (soviets) during the cold war, it encourages potential enemies to commit a grave miscalculation, I cannot see how minimum deterence force helps keep China safer at all
 

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
We were talking specially about the fact that china's limited nuclear capability raising alarms the US, not in general terms.



Do you really think the pentagon is afraid of CV-16? Do not take seriously western media with their sensational title.



Nobody wants to deal with a powerful enemy, but there is what we would like and the reality.

Herman Cain, a 2012 US Presidential candidate did not know China had nukes while running for the Republican nomination for President. There are people who to this day don't know China has nukes. I remember before the Wen Ho Lee scandal I would hear people all the time say if China had nukes the Chinese would start World War III. China has had nukes since 1964. Meaning they're alarmed over China in general terms and they still saw China as a global threat thinking the country didn't have nukes. Did Iraq under Saddam Hussein ever have the nukes that were said to be an imminent threat and the reason to go to war? The media and those in the government knew the truth and they started a war.
 

TerraN_EmpirE

Tyrant King
Mace even at the US Sino worst moments the party congress never had a rousing unified "Death to America!" chant.
And the Chinese government is not written with the destruction of another nation written into there founding documents. The Iranian nuke is a threat as it places the entire middle east in to a whole new level of instability. Additionally Iran is one of the worlds leaders of terrorist sponsorship. If Iran has nukes then the IRGC has nukes and if they have a nuclear option then so does just about every nasty nasty. As for NK they have nuclear weapons. This opens the trouble as its a president it says the UN can do nothing, says any third world dictator can and has every right to nuclear arms. No matter what there agenda or how they treat there citizens. It also opens the possibly that other Asian nations out of china will feel compelled to go nuclear, that raises tensions.

As for if China revealed a massive warload of nuclear weapons it may only force a bigger soft power offensive
 

escobar

Brigadier
Imagine if china nuclear stockpile is actually one thousand and they declared to the world the actual number. What will you think of the reaction of those major powers?

How can you deter someone if he don't know what you are capable of?

I think that why China never declared the actual amount of its nuclear stockpile.

They already said that: "among the nuclear-weapon states, China possesses the smallest nuclear arsenal."
The US and russia who have the means to know whether it's a lie or not believe this is true.
 
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