China demographics thread.

Appix

Senior Member
Registered Member

China population: marriages fall in latest blow to Beijing’s push for couples to have more children​

  • Jiangsu province saw the number of marriage registrations drop for a fifth consecutive year in 2021, with a 5.16 per cent fall compared to 2020
  • It is the latest blow to China’s plans to encourage more couples to have children after the number of births dropped for the fifth consecutive year in 2021​

Fewer Chinese people chose to get married last year, while on average those that did postponed the age at which they tied the knot, further adding to the population crisis stemming from a plunging birth rate.

The number of marriage registrations has been declining since 2013, while data recently released by a number of local authorities confirmed a continuation of the downward trend.
It is the latest blow to China’s plans to encourage couples to have more children after the number of
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In the eastern coastal province of Jiangsu, the number of marriage registrations dropped for a fifth consecutive year in 2021, with a 5.16 per cent fall compared to the numbers seen in 2020 confirmed by the Jiangsu Province Civil Affairs Department.

In the city of Hefei in the eastern Anhui province, the number of couples getting married in 2021 dropped by 4,065, or 6.6 per cent compared to a year earlier, which represented the seventh consecutive yearly decline since 2014.

Compared to a peak in 2014, the number of marriages in Hefei dropped by 41 per cent last year.

In Hangzhou, the capital city of the eastern Zhejiang province, despite a small increase in the number of couples getting married last year compared to 2020, the figure was one of the lowest in a decade at more than 20 per cent down from 2011.

In May 2021, China announced it would allow each
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in a marked departure from its previous two-child limit after Chinese mothers gave birth to just 12 million babies in 2020, down from 14.65 million in 2019.

Last year, Chinese mothers gave birth to just
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an 11.5 per cent drop from 12 million in 2020, with the national birth rate falling to a record low of 7.52 births for every 1,000 people in 2021, from 8.52 in 2020.

Nationally, the number of marriage registrations in the first three quarters of last year dropped slightly from the first nine months of 2020, but it was crucially 17.5 per cent down from the same period in 2019.

Divorce rates, though, have dropped arguably as a result of a
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requiring couples to wait before the process can be finalised, but many people say the new rule interferes with their freedom.

The number of divorces had been on the rise for the previous two decades until 2020.
In Jiangsu province, nearly 40 per cent of divorces filed in 2021 were retracted or seen as retracted due to incompletion.

In Anhui, the number of divorces fell by more than half in 2021, compared to a year earlier.
Similar trends appeared in other cities, including the city of Yueyang in Hunan province and Wenzhou in Zhejiang. Societal changes in China are also seeing people getting married at an increasingly older age.

In 2020, people aged over 30 accounted for 46.5 per cent of all marriage registrations nationally compared to 2005, when 47 per cent were aged between 20 and 24.

In Xiangyang city in Hubei province, the average age for a man to be married for the first time was 35.23 in 2021, compared to 33.96 for women. This is almost six and seven years older than their counterparts in 2016, when men and women got married at 29.41 and 27.27 on average, respectively.

Last year in Wenzhou, men entered marriage for the first time at an average age of 29, compared to 26.7 for women, both slightly up compared with a year earlier. However in Jiangsu province, the average age for women was 26.5 and 28 for men, much younger than in 2017, when people got married closer to their mid-30s.

However, the widely circulated figure that people in Jiangsu got married for the first time at the average age of 34 could be false, according to independent demographer He Yafu, who added that the calculation must have included people who remarried, which raised the average.

“The falling new births resulted in a decreased number of marriages, which will subsequently lead to a decline in future births,” He said. “Of course, other than a lower number of young people, the dropping marriage rate has also led to the dropping numbers of marriage registrations.”

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manqiangrexue

Brigadier
Just gets worse and worse and its only going to get successfully worse and worse given that the number of women of childbearing age in China just keeps plunging
Good thing China's urban expansion is based off of migration from rural areas rather than unsustainable non-stop population expansion. And with the fast rise of automation in China, growth no longer depends on having young bodies to do labor. With a slight population drop, resources per capita increases. And despite all that, China's population has a huge time cushion to mellow into an optimal number as birth rates are in no danger of dropping the population to some odd 300 million like some rabid salivation competitor imagining that China's demographics will weaken it.
 

9dashline

Captain
Registered Member
Good thing China's urban expansion is based off of migration from rural areas rather than unsustainable non-stop population expansion. And with the fast rise of automation in China, growth no longer depends on having young bodies to do labor. With a slight population drop, resources per capita increases. And despite all that, China's population has a huge time cushion to mellow into an optimal number as birth rates are in no danger of dropping the population to some odd 300 million like some rabid salivation competitor imagining that China's demographics will weaken it.

Out of all the problems China faces, the so-called demographic problem is a nonstarter... I don't know why so many people even waste time talking about this false dilemma...

In fact overshoot, both in terms of global overpopulation and overconsumption is the root of all modern problems in the world today
 
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Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
Just gets worse and worse and its only going to get successfully worse and worse given that the number of women of childbearing age in China just keeps plunging
Sleepy you are too similar to your previous iterations. How about having an update on your software to version 2.0 before making new alts?
Its getting boring having to listen to your same "arguments" for the 265th time.

To summarise, delete your alt, update your software, and then come back again
 

Totoro

Major
VIP Professional
Out of all the problems China faces, the so-called demographic problem is a nonstarter...

In fact overshoot, both in terms of global overpopulation and overconsumption is the root of all modern problems in the world today
Number of people is not a problem in it self. If china had one billion people instead of 1.4 billion it has now, ( with people who were 2-3 times richer than they are now) that wouldn't be a problem in itself.

But getting from 1.4 billion to 1 billion in just 50 something years is a problem, no matter the richness.

That change should be much slower. Done over 200 years or more, not 50. If it's done quickly then the age structure of those 1 billion people can't be nearly as productive or efficient as it could otherwise be.
 

ZeEa5KPul

Colonel
Registered Member
Number of people is not a problem in it self. If china had one billion people instead of 1.4 billion it has now, ( with people who were 2-3 times richer than they are now) that wouldn't be a problem in itself.

But getting from 1.4 billion to 1 billion in just 50 something years is a problem, no matter the richness.

That change should be much slower. Done over 200 years or more, not 50. If it's done quickly then the age structure of those 1 billion people can't be nearly as productive or efficient as it could otherwise be.
Given the shift in Chinese government policy from anti-natal to pro-natal, I don't think any prediction of what Chinese demography will look like 50 years from now has any validity.
 

ansy1968

Brigadier
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Hypocrites.
@AssassinsMace Sir Not only in the US BUT all over the Western world, the main culprit is high cost of living , heavy student debt and high cost of owning a house. Millennials can't afford to have families and they can't expect help from their gov't. At least China is addressing the core issue while Brandon is asleep, we may see in this decade an American lost generation.
 
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