Well it is moving target Now that ASBM has proven to be able to hit moving target. They now said yeah but can they find it first? I guess nothing convince this people until real thing hit Carrier. Here is always the CAVEAT from our friend Andrew Erickson but how are they derive this caveat from attending Zhuhai air show I am just baffles. To begin with China won't release any info on ASBM or satellite surveillance in Air show It does not make sense!
Read carefully and you get sense of hubris
...
With its recent ASBM tests, against moving targets, Beijing seeks to demonstrate a maturing capability and . It seeks to overawe audiences limited in access to technical details and limited in understanding of basic technical principles—and thereby to generate deference that it has not earned operationally. But however sophisticated and successful, these tests are but one element in a far greater equation. First, ASBMs’ effectiveness in practice hinges on a comprehensive reconnaissance and targeting architecture. As datapoints at the last four Zhuhai Airshows I attended impressed upon me, . But it remains a work in progress that has not been validated concretely in critical respects. Second, growing American countermeasures make this at least a two-sided contest.
Those are some really sour grapes there.
I sincerely can't believe they still think China can't spot carriers with satellites if they want to.
Heck there are typically news reports of when a carrier battle group leaves a port and its intended destination.
It isn't easy to hide or make secret something like this. A carrier group has a huge profile.
We know radar satellite imaging is good enough to detect the wake of a ship let alone a huge carrier.
China is one of the leaders in satellite technology, imaging sensors, and AI for computer vision.
So what do they think is an impediment for the capability. These people are sticking their heads into the sand.
Modern satellites don't even have fixed orbits necessarily.
With ion-electric propulsion a lot of imaging satellites have a limited capability to change their orbit slightly.
Particularly military imaging satellites. To detect a carrier you don't need particularly high resolution.
So you could use a bunch of cheap satellites.
