I am going to re-upload the slides for both ICBM and SLBM. I hope someone can give a full proper translation. From what I was told and values I could decipher -
1st slide: DF-41
Range - 14000 km
Warheads - 1x (5.5 MT), 6x (650 KT each), 10x (150 KT each)
2nd slide: SLBM
JL-2A?/2B?
Range - 12000 km
Warheads - 1x (250 KT), 3x (60 KT each)
JL-2
Range - Greater than 7400 km?
Warheads - ?
JL-1
Range - 1700 km
Warheads - 1x (200 KT)?
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Just saw this.
Very interesting.
Where did you find these pictures from?
For the "JL-2" panel, it seems to say range is 7,400km-12,000km with 3-6 warheads.
For the "JL-2X" it interestingly lists 12,000km with a more specific warhead/yield count. I wonder if that suggests the range of the "JL-2" is variable depending on how big a payload it carries, whereas the "JL-2X" is able to carry the "full" payload while still attaining the "maximum" range of JL-2.
I remember discussing with Mirage over on CDF a year or so back about what the actual range of JL-2 is, and he made a fairly convincing argument that JL-2 probably had a range enough to cover a good part of CONTUS in at least some forum, from Chinese waters, lest the Navy would not have invested so much into a missile like that and so many 094s to carry them.
It's also VERY interesting that they describe the weight of the different warheads for some of the missiles, e.g.: for DF-41, the 550 MT warhead is said to be 1.6 tons in mass, the 650 KT warhead is 250kg, the 150kt warhead is 165kg...
The presentation does not look un-legit, as there have been some similar PLA presentations over the last year that have been strangely open, but for such numbers about the strategic nuclear deterrence to be unveiled is unprecedented and makes me wonder if it's legit...
It is a problem of size. SSBN have a very confined space. JL-2 is only 13m. JL-2 is more for regional defense against Russia, India and all US bases in the pacific. India does not have the anti-submarine capability of the US and Japan. A 094 might hiding in the Indian ocean right now.
Story is similar to the DF-31 vs DF-31A. DF-31 estimate are between 13m to 16m and the range with 1MT warhead is about 8000 km (or less), while the DF-31A is closer to 18m and has a range of at least 11,000 km with a 1MT warhead. DF-31A length is about half (or less) than that of the DF-5A/B.
But you must understand that China lacks SLBM monsters like the UGM-133 which in theory could carry up to 12 thermonuclear warheads. RSM-56 can carry up to 6 and R-29RMU2 up to 12.
If JL-2 is 13m long (which I think is a reasonable estimate of its length), that is only 0.6m shorter than Trident D5 which has a range of over 12,000 km.
Depending on how big of a payload that JL-2 carries (e.g.: 2 or 3 MiRVs instead of 6), I don't think there is a reason to doubt JL-2 would be able to attain a similarly sized range to Trident D5 based on dimensions alone (but perhaps with a slightly lower equivalent payload).