Here is a random question - Just how good are modern fighter aircraft at withstanding enemy weapons fire?
Obviously a solid missile hit will kill most planes, but what about cannon and small arms fire?
I remember that during testing, the USAF actual shot a F22 with 20mm(?) cannon round, and it survived the test just fine (although I couldn't find any details on just how much damage was sustained if anyone has a good source).
As dedicated CAS birds are retired from service world wide, CAS is increasingly being taken by multi-role fast jets originally designed for air superiority.
I wish to know, as much as it is possible with open source material, just how much of a risk ground fire poses to these multi-role jets?
Great question, spurred likely by the A-10 reputation as a very robust A2G platform, and the A-10 is very heavily fortified, and has a fabulous gun! but, the A-10 is like a Christmas tree on radar, big square fuse, big square vertical stabs and big blocky wing and to add the whipped cream and cherry on top, two HUGE engine nacelles to house those beautiful jet engines???
Now the A-10 is low and slow, much like the Spad from Vietnam, the good old A1E was also a robust airframe, and operated low and sllllloooooooowwwwwwww!, yeah even an AK round in the right place would put you out of business, possibly for good!
Same for the A-10, but the A-10 can take a lot, but it only takes one lucky shot. For example, a friend now deceased, was shot down by the Sandanista's, flying down the beach in the worst Thunderstorm he had ever been in, barely able too see, and following the tree line for navigation, airplane started to run rough, he immediately added carb heat, thinking carb ice, but as he flared to land on the beach, he looked over to the tree line and about 30 Sandinistas, jumping up and down and celebrating!!!
Took him captive they did??? Yes, about 6 months in a South American prison, lots and lots of big bucks, involved of the Federal Govt who denied any prior knowledge and only provided the most perfunctory help, and later prosecuted him. ONE, count em 1 bullet, through the aircleaner, and into and through the carb, yep, I took the carb down and had to look for the bullet entry hole, he laughed and laughed, (Me) after about 5 minutes thinking, theres no bullet hole in this carb, but there was. (Me), it came right up the pipe, through the air-cleaner, and he laughed so hard he almost rolled in the floor.
So to answer your question with 100% accuracy is that there in NO way to predict with any accuracy what the ODDs are, about the same ODDs as surviving a drive by shooting, and the A-10 is vulnerable, because it has to be low to do what it does best?? any serious anti-aircraft is going to be deadly against the A-10, ditto the Harrier, prolly the same for the F-4, F-100, A-7E, or blah blah blah!
In contrast the F-35 with its sensor fusion, Low Observability, HIGH ALTITUDE, excellent OPTICAL, and other sighting, extreme stand-off range wiil not doub be very difficult to find and target, and a kill, well that is almost improbable, maybe unlikely???
but when you give up the high ground to go old school and get down in the dirt??? then and only then will it share the same very high risk, and it will be very capable down low, but you won't do that unless you buddy is down there and at risk.