Arab Spring II in Egypt. The potential Civil War.

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SinoSoldier

Colonel
I've never clicked "Like" on so many of plawolf's posts before this thread. He is making many excellent points.

Democracies use elections to remove unpopular governments, not coup d'tats. That is the virtue of a democracy, having a non-violent, systematic way to channel public opinion into new leadership. Change can sometimes come slow in a democracy but it does come, and when it comes, the method by which it comes saves lives over the other options.

The Egyptian coup was a chance for the United States to make a principled stand for democracy. It's easy to support democracy when pro-U.S. leaders win elections. Let's see the U.S. support democracy when a pro-U.S. military establishment topples a leader less friendly to America. That's the real test of where Obama stands on democracy and so far he has failed it.

I believe in the necessity and virtue of freedom of speech, freedom to practice one's religion, and freedom to vote for whatever political party you want. I will defend the right of the Ku Klux Klan to hold a rally on public property, for Alex Jones to rant about the New World Order and how the government is poisoning the water supply with fluoride, or for Mormon or Catholic or Islamic Fundamentalists to preach that atheists are going to Hell. A belief in personal liberty means defending the right of people to disagree with you, even the protests inconvenience you.

Ron Paul made a good point when he said the purpose of the First Amendment protecting the freedom of speech is not so we can talk about the weather, it's to protect sensitive and controversial speech that is likely to draw the scrutiny of whoever is in power.

President Obama and John Kerry and the ambassador and other top officials missed a perfect opportunity to make this argument. It is outrageous that $1.5 billion is taken from American taxpayers and given to the Egyptian military plutocrats to overthrow an elected government.

The Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood hadn't done anything violent decades despite countless provocations from the Egyptian dictatorship. They patiently waited and waited and waited, building their reputation on charities and community organizing, all while having their members arrested and sodomized. They win Egypt's first fair elections and prove to be better charity workers than politicians. The same thing has happened in other countries and the proper response is to oust them in the next elections.

But the military was impatient. It wanted to go back to the old days of using the MB as the bogeyman to justify their autocracy and embezzlement. The military removed Mubarak because he had become a liability, not because the military was genuinely committed in democracy.

Now the United States is aiding and abetting the coup by funding the army and giving only tepid criticism. I cannot express how disappointed I am with President Obama and his staff for his unprincipled, weak response to the Egypt coup d'tat.

True, but in this case the Egyptian people's protests and the subsequent military response goes hand in hand with the very fabric of democracy. I think all of us who live in the West agree that everybody has the right to free speech. I think we agree as well that governments should be ones who make decisions at the whim of the people they serve, not themselves.

In Egypt's case, the pre-military government has clearly not satisfied the people's demands and were being pressured for change, albeit its democratic entrance. A democracy is a government's belief that its people should get what they want, not an excuse for it to enact any policy it desires on the pretext of being granted power via elections. The question here is not whether the MB has done anything wrong or not, but whether the people want them in power or not, and after seeing some 14 million people take to the streets, the answer is very clear. In Egypt's example, waiting for the next election may not be safe enough to ensure that the government in place will be responsible. A clear example of this would be Hitler, who subsequently outlawed all other parties. What the Egyptian military did was in the interests of the people. And THAT, whether you like it or not, is democracy. There will be clashes, but that is only because there will always be the other side. What the military did might have effectively prevented Egypt from going down the wrong pipe and into extremism, which will have a far more damaging effect on its people than the coup. Sure, the MB may have the right to free speech. But the far-more-numerous people have a right to safety as well.
 

MwRYum

Major
I've never clicked "Like" on so many of plawolf's posts before this thread. He is making many excellent points.

Democracies use elections to remove unpopular governments, not coup d'tats. That is the virtue of a democracy, having a non-violent, systematic way to channel public opinion into new leadership. Change can sometimes come slow in a democracy but it does come, and when it comes, the method by which it comes saves lives over the other options.

The Egyptian coup was a chance for the United States to make a principled stand for democracy. It's easy to support democracy when pro-U.S. leaders win elections. Let's see the U.S. support democracy when a pro-U.S. military establishment topples a leader less friendly to America. That's the real test of where Obama stands on democracy and so far he has failed it.

I believe in the necessity and virtue of freedom of speech, freedom to practice one's religion, and freedom to vote for whatever political party you want. I will defend the right of the Ku Klux Klan to hold a rally on public property, for Alex Jones to rant about the New World Order and how the government is poisoning the water supply with fluoride, or for Mormon or Catholic or Islamic Fundamentalists to preach that atheists are going to Hell. A belief in personal liberty means defending the right of people to disagree with you, even the protests inconvenience you.

Ron Paul made a good point when he said the purpose of the First Amendment protecting the freedom of speech is not so we can talk about the weather, it's to protect sensitive and controversial speech that is likely to draw the scrutiny of whoever is in power.

President Obama and John Kerry and the ambassador and other top officials missed a perfect opportunity to make this argument. It is outrageous that $1.5 billion is taken from American taxpayers and given to the Egyptian military plutocrats to overthrow an elected government.

The Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood hadn't done anything violent decades despite countless provocations from the Egyptian dictatorship. They patiently waited and waited and waited, building their reputation on charities and community organizing, all while having their members arrested and sodomized. They win Egypt's first fair elections and prove to be better charity workers than politicians. The same thing has happened in other countries and the proper response is to oust them in the next elections.

But the military was impatient. It wanted to go back to the old days of using the MB as the bogeyman to justify their autocracy and embezzlement. The military removed Mubarak because he had become a liability, not because the military was genuinely committed in democracy.

Now the United States is aiding and abetting the coup by funding the army and giving only tepid criticism. I cannot express how disappointed I am with President Obama and his staff for his unprincipled, weak response to the Egypt coup d'tat.

Most non-Americans, barring those who're hopelessly brainwashed and not as well-informed as we do, will see the US is democratic domestically, but imperialistic externally. That explains why for the last 68 years the US government has no quern making friends with despots and dictators and military juntas (obviously those in Latin & South America hasn't forget that, or you wonder why they voted anti-US politicians into office?), "so long it serves American interest"..."serves American interest" is the overtone - a logical one, mind you - that's constant in all presidency, and any president who don't adhere to it should be ousted with utmost haste. Of course, whether such "interest" contradict the greater good or the blood and limb of other nation's...well you know better.

It's the same for the NSA programme, as well as US inaction where the Arab Spring got brutally crackdown at Qatar, and it'll be so in Egypt. More so, now that the Muslim Brotherhood come out into the light and fighting, the Egyptian military has an easy target.
 

Geographer

Junior Member
In Egypt's case, the pre-military government has clearly not satisfied the people's demands and were being pressured for change, albeit its democratic entrance. A democracy is a government's belief that its people should get what they want, not an excuse for it to enact any policy it desires on the pretext of being granted power via elections. The question here is not whether the MB has done anything wrong or not, but whether the people want them in power or not, and after seeing some 14 million people take to the streets, the answer is very clear. In Egypt's example, waiting for the next election may not be safe enough to ensure that the government in place will be responsible. A clear example of this would be Hitler, who subsequently outlawed all other parties. What the Egyptian military did was in the interests of the people. And THAT, whether you like it or not, is democracy. There will be clashes, but that is only because there will always be the other side. What the military did might have effectively prevented Egypt from going down the wrong pipe and into extremism, which will have a far more damaging effect on its people than the coup. Sure, the MB may have the right to free speech. But the far-more-numerous people have a right to safety as well.

Democracy is not just doing what the majority of the people want through whatever means are available. Even in direct democracies like Switzerland, the people's preferences are transmitted through the ballot box, not like the barrel of a gun. Democracy means waiting your turn until the next election, not begging the army to remove an unpopular leader.

Egypt before the coup was an embryonic democracy, problematic and poorly led, but one in which future elections were never in doubt. The MB never sought nor had the power to arrest thousands of members of the opposition. The MB never banned opposition parties, even though they themselves had been banned for decades. The military has been torturing MB members since the 1950s.
 

SampanViking

The Capitalist
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My sense of astonishment just has no end.
It is not enough that the US happily condones a military coup against a Democratically elected Government and the imprisonment; out of sight, of its democratically elected President, but now seems happy to sit back and watch the military dictatorship gun down the elected Governments supporters in the street.

More than that is the way that the Corporate Media refer to the massacred civilians purely as "Islamists". Never once; on any channel I have watched, have these people been described as "Pro Democracy Activists" or Pro Democracy Protesters"
Obama expresses his shock and responds by cancelling some joint military exercises. No automatic cut of the military aid budget however, just a vague "we are thinking about it", by an interviewee so junior, they might actually be an intern!

The justification for US policy has been to say that the coup and suppression have been "the least worst option"
I wonder then if anyone can tell me when; in US policy circles, that elected democracy became the most worst option?

Thank you.
 

TerraN_EmpirE

Tyrant King
So what is the US suppose to do? Invade? Support the Muslim Brothers? Cutting off aid burns the relationship with Egypt and sends it to chaos worse then now. The countries economy has been circling the drain for a while. So what does the US do? The Obama administration
Is trying to stay neutral but still the US is being accused on both sides. The core of the Muslim brothers say the coup was ordered in Washington DC. Those who support the coup say the whitehouse is responsible for supporting the now arrested leadership. The wholething stinks like hell and the US is stuck in a catch 22 of ironically being the one power every one wanted to step back and when it did so being the first to be blamed for doing just that.
 

Franklin

Captain
I'm surprised that so many of the members here believe that American foreign policy is genuinely about promoting democracy, human rights, freedom or upholding international law. What does the support that America gives to the Gulf monarchies have to do with democracy ? What does supporting Israel have to do with human rights ? What does backing Karzai in Afghanistan have to do with freedom ? Are the drone strikes and invasions over the past decade that America has done in conformity with International law ? America's foreign policy is like the foreign policy of all major powers past, present and future. Its not about spreading ideology but its about gaining influence. Democracy, human rights, freedom or international law are just tools that they use to punish those who oppose them a reward those who tow their line.
 

SampanViking

The Capitalist
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
So what is the US suppose to do? Invade? Support the Muslim Brothers? Cutting off aid burns the relationship with Egypt and sends it to chaos worse then now. The countries economy has been circling the drain for a while. So what does the US do? The Obama administration
Is trying to stay neutral but still the US is being accused on both sides. The core of the Muslim brothers say the coup was ordered in Washington DC. Those who support the coup say the whitehouse is responsible for supporting the now arrested leadership. The wholething stinks like hell and the US is stuck in a catch 22 of ironically being the one power every one wanted to step back and when it did so being the first to be blamed for doing just that.

Well that is certainly the line being peddled within the Beltway at the moment, but it is rather too late for the US; with all its historical baggage, to plead Real Politique.
Is this US Exceptionalism on drugs?
Support for Democracy and the Democratic Process cannot be conditional on the right party winning, otherwise it is not Democracy - period!
You cannot have moral inconsistency in these matters, you cannot morally castigate countries that oppose you and downplay on those that support you, if your policy is built on a sense of moral righteousness.
It is however the media spinning that cramps the stomach muscles the most. The spinning that has cast hardened Islamist terrorists in Syria as "Pro Democracy Activists" and is now trying to spin genuine Pro Democracy Activists in Egypt as Islamist Terrorists.
 

MwRYum

Major
It is however the media spinning that cramps the stomach muscles the most. The spinning that has cast hardened Islamist terrorists in Syria as "Pro Democracy Activists" and is now trying to spin genuine Pro Democracy Activists in Egypt as Islamist Terrorists.

True, however, most are too ignorant or idiotic to think twice before gobble it all up. That's exactly what happened in Hong Kong as well, where radical democrats' active provocation against the law enforcement long being spinned by the local media as "righteous acts" that finally, the police is having enough of that nonsense, and so last Sunday, when the pro-establishment camp brings in squads of genuine thugs against the "fake" thugs of the radical democrats, the latter got whooped and the police let them got bloodied a little before moving in. Now the same "fake" thugs plans to cosplay the standing protesters made famous in Turkey the coming Sunday.

That's enough of my off-topic...anyway, we are the very few and far between that can see through the craps the media put out as "objective news materials" these days.
 

delft

Brigadier
True, but in this case the Egyptian people's protests and the subsequent military response goes hand in hand with the very fabric of democracy. I think all of us who live in the West agree that everybody has the right to free speech. I think we agree as well that governments should be ones who make decisions at the whim of the people they serve, not themselves.

In Egypt's case, the pre-military government has clearly not satisfied the people's demands and were being pressured for change, albeit its democratic entrance. A democracy is a government's belief that its people should get what they want, not an excuse for it to enact any policy it desires on the pretext of being granted power via elections. The question here is not whether the MB has done anything wrong or not, but whether the people want them in power or not, and after seeing some 14 million people take to the streets, the answer is very clear. In Egypt's example, waiting for the next election may not be safe enough to ensure that the government in place will be responsible. A clear example of this would be Hitler, who subsequently outlawed all other parties. What the Egyptian military did was in the interests of the people. And THAT, whether you like it or not, is democracy. There will be clashes, but that is only because there will always be the other side. What the military did might have effectively prevented Egypt from going down the wrong pipe and into extremism, which will have a far more damaging effect on its people than the coup. Sure, the MB may have the right to free speech. But the far-more-numerous people have a right to safety as well.
Pepe Escobar points in his article of today (
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) to an Egyptian website (
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, in Arabic ) that he says describes a poll of 10 days ago in which 69 % of the interviewees declared themselves against the military coup of July 3. Is 31 % not opposed a democratic justification? For a massacre?
 

pissybits

Junior Member
Here's a very good analysis of what's going on in Egypt and the the media's coverage of it. This panel is as objective as any focusing on the recent events in Egypt that I've seen.

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Watch it!
 
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