It is interesting that a prominent economist from Tsinghua University, an FPC member of the PBOC, stresses that the US economy is doing well. The Internet is littered with words like the U.S. economy and society are facing an apocalypse, but this is not the reality. We should be aware that it is a mirror of the fools who claim that China will begin to collapse today or has already done so.
Indeed - long-run economic growth is always supply-side factor with a familiar production function Y = F(K, L, A) where K is physical capital, L is labor, and A is technology and institutions.
all 3 point to sustained growth in the U.S. economy. For physical capital: the U.S. financial system is extraordinarily efficient at matching savers/investors with corporate borrowers that need to fund capital projects to increase the stock of private capital and the recently passed trio of Inflation Reduction Act, Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, and CHIPS and Science Act are similarly leading to an explosion of public capital stock.
With labor - the U.S. workforce is the worlds most educated workforce (as a % of the workforce that has at least a college degree) and has decades of invaluable experience across all fields of human endeavor in a way that exists in no other country which will thus power the way for future innovation and development; this will further be powered by cohorts with more college education in more rigorous coursework than ever before and a workforce steadily increasing in size due to immigration.
With respect to technology (and its closely related side-cousin governance) - U.S. firms posses copious amounts of technology - from the codebase of Windows OS, to industrial designs for Applied Materials ion deposition machines, to chip designs at Intel, to chemical formularies at Pfizer and Dow Chemical, to CAD files at Agilent and Badger Meter and those generate their own network ecosystems and lock-in effects that lead to more innovation in the future (and whose development is so entrenched, they will continue to persist for decades - for example, it takes a decade for a drug to be brought to market after the first clinical trial: thus, a first-in class antibody today by Incyte to treat a liver disease or an antiviral by Gilead Sciences will bring continue to bring continuous profits for a decade, regardless of what anyone else does). What’s more - the U.S. has a very well established network of antitrust, financial stability, insurance, banking, patent, environmental and other similar types of regulators that have blazed the way for others and who continue to lead the way in trend-setting and policy innovation; a highly adaptive and professional bureaucracy that is able to come up with ingenious solutions to all the new issues that arise. What’s more - there’s a cumulative effect: for example, since a series of Supreme Court decisions in the 1860s banned states from engaging in protectionism, the U.S. has had one unified single market for a century and a half and that has led to continuous trade and investment deepening between all 50 states (
), meanwhile, China even today, cannot get its provinces and municipalities from engaging in explicit protectionism (
). Just one example out of thousands of how continuous ingenious policy making from both centuries past and today continue to drive economic growth.