US births have increased compared to 2021 and what's even more, they are increasingly to mothers with college educations
From the US CDC
Births in 2021
January: 277,000
February: 266,000
March: 302,000
Total 1st quarter 2021: 845,000
Births in 2022
January: 294,000 (+6.1%)
February: 275,000 (+3.4%)
March: 306,000 (+1.3%)
Total 1st quarter 2022: 875,000 (+3.6%)
Meanwhile, births in China declined 12% Y/Y in 2021 vis-a-vis 2020 with early provisional data from 2022 suggesting a similar Y/Y drop.
US total births 2021: 3.7M
China total births 2021: 10.6M
At the current rate of China's births dropping in double digit percentages each year but US births increasing in small increments each year, 3.7(1.036)^x = 10.6(1-.12)^x, in 7 years, the number of births in the US will exceed the number of births in China; 4.7 million to 4.3 million