I see nothing but wishful thinking from the US on all of this. I guarantee (there's that word) that in 5-10 years, the US will be more dependent on China than it is now.Some low end productions are moving to Mexico, Vietnam, etc... Strategic sectors like chips will move to Arizona and Texas instead of rely entirely on Korea, Taiwan/China.
Walmart (the cheapest of the cheap) committed $350 billion to source supplies from within the U.S over the next 10 years.
Pandemic and revenge spending drove up US imports during the last 4 years (part of the reason why inflation is so high as people just keep on buying stuff). And you can't unwind 40 years of US - China interdependence over night.
Given the costs and complexities associated with re-shoring, it will be several years at a minimum before the United States begins to see any meaningful movement of manufacturing facilities and equipment to the US; this may speed up if Taiwan war happens sooner. None of this means China will not be important as a manufacturing powerhouse. But lets see what happens in the next 5, 10 years.
Lol I swear they've been saying this stuff since as early as 2010. And in the last ten years since then, year on year, China has recorded record industrial production, FDI, exports, and is by every statistical measure not only getting increasingly integrated in the global supply chain, but also moving up that supply chain at a terrifying speed.Some low end productions are moving to Mexico, Vietnam, etc... Strategic sectors like chips will move to Arizona and Texas instead of rely entirely on Korea, Taiwan/China.
Walmart (the cheapest of the cheap) committed $350 billion to source supplies from within the U.S over the next 10 years.
Pandemic and revenge spending drove up US imports during the last 4 years (part of the reason why inflation is so high as people just keep on buying stuff). And you can't unwind 40 years of US - China interdependence over night.
Given the costs and complexities associated with re-shoring, it will be several years at a minimum before the United States begins to see any meaningful movement of manufacturing facilities and equipment to the US; this may speed up if Taiwan war happens sooner. None of this means China will not be important as a manufacturing powerhouse. But lets see what happens in the next 5, 10 years.
280 billion? They wont be even able to build a good toilet given inflation rate.It's actually a $280 billion bill.
Who are gonna do that research? The p-rnhub stars?There is also about $200 billion for scientific research, including $81 billion for the National Science Foundation, $10 billion for regional technology hubs and $68 billion for the Department of Energy.
Pretty much game over, honestly.
By nominal GDP, which is an inaccurate measure, since any proper evaluation of the RMB would put China (far) ahead of the US in economic output at this point.Despite the recession, I think US GDP figures will get a large boost due to inflation.
That's going to push back the date China overtakes the US by a while
Globalist were also so damn sure that conflict between US - China will never happen because of economic interdependence. Article after article about the McDonald's Gold Arches Theory since early 2010. They are all quiet now. Let's see what happens in 5, 10 years (now that's the word).Lol I swear they've been saying this stuff since as early as 2010. And in the last ten years since then, year on year, China has recorded record industrial production, FDI, exports, and is by every statistical measure not only getting increasingly integrated in the global supply chain, but also moving up that supply chain at a terrifying speed.
By all means, keep going, you schmucks are like reverse voodoo dolls at this point. In another ten years when China accounts for half of worldwide manufacturing you'll still be spouting this trite
Because you compare different things. Annualised growth compared to yoy.It's called western copium
China +4.8% +0.4% = economic collapse
Amerikkka -1.6%, -0.9% = everything is fine
I agree, nominal calculations are inaccurate because the USD is way overvaluedBy nominal GDP, which is an inaccurate measure, since any proper evaluation of the RMB would put China (far) ahead of the US in economic output at this point.
And even then, China may close the nominal GDP gap despite depreciation of the RMB... US will likely shrink this year, China will still grow but at a slower pace.
Yes, and in 5, 10 years when your prediction doesn't come true, you'll regurgitate that trite again and ask for another 5, 10 years. It seems the great decoupling is perpetually 5, 10 years in the future.Globalist were also so damn sure that conflict between US - China will never happen because of economic interdependence. Article after article about the McDonald's theory since early 2010. Let's see what happens in 5, 10 years (now that's the word).