The US still has substantial coercieve capacity over denial of trade/investment/technology flows
Those capacities are all double-edged with diminshing desired effect and magnifying self-harm. Business is all about trust and oppertunities. The more you make it a weapon, the less trust there is and the more you restrict, the more oppertunities you kill.
, recognizing Taiwan (and thus sabotaging CN growth rates)
These don't connect. By recognizing the ROC, the US would be seen as incredibly desperate on the international stage and the business with China that drives America's economy would be shrivelled up.
and other miltiary funsies
They're just funsies. China gets to work and builds concrete land in the middle of the ocean while the US makes funsies. It only acts seriously on small weak countries... and that apparently doesn't always work either.
They can block off USD access to small countries with no economic impact but using that against China is crippling their own currency and making it worthless for trade with the largest trading country there is.
The US still has substantial tools to sabotage growth rates
They've used many of them and they've basically all backfired with China defending against their intended effects but the US leaving themselves wide open to eat the double-edged side-effects.
Even in AFG, Taliban casualties were multiples of times higher than US casualties.
Of course they were; they were goat farmers using old AKs. Bringing this point up is moving the goalpost way out of the stadium because nobody thought that the US would be defeated so convincincly with the Taliban in full control before the US is even done evacuating.
LOL, CPI on a 2019-2021 CAGR basis is fine. Imports from China are what, 3% of US GDP (?). The stimulus was spent in the United States, most consumer spending is on non-traded services
When the pandemic struck China in Q1 2020, it hadn't even reached the US yet but took the US GDP growth from ~2.2% to 0.5%. China's economy has a huge impact on the US. But on the other hand, when the US economy cratered, China started and maintained a very strong recovery.
Yeah, who won? Afghanistan economic growth has been far slower than the United States.
Obviously the Taliban won. They control the country. How desperate are you to use economic growth rates to muddle the outcome of a war?
The United States can still ride out its hegemony by starting a war in the Taiwan Straits
Actually, they would look like fools by losing that conflict. Even RAND agrees.
and denying China access to technology intermedaries
Already happening. Doesn't work, never worked. China always breaks through and becomes self-sufficient.
or stopping trade (since China exports more)
China trades with the world. The US initiated the trade war and shot itself in the foot. Meanwhile, China expanded trading partners all over the globe and its trade increased despite a drop in business with the US.
, and thus making sure that China has a demographic crisis and will never surpass the US in GDP
Trade... with a demographic crisis? Doesn't work. You imagined it. If the US could stop it, they are doing everything they can to do it... and failing. That's why they're so desperate. If they had any cards worth a shit left, they'd still be chill ol' Captain America; now the US is like that skinny little freak in a loincloth going on and on all day about getting his ring except the US is going on and on all day about hatred for China.
(esp. since the US is going to brain drain the entire world with millions of migrants while everyone else is in crisis
You mean labor drain. Brain drain turns into brain circulation and hits the US right back, besides, what brain drain will they get from poor migrants?
, money print to export inflation to the rest of the world but stimulating employment and growth at home,
The rest of the world can print money too or they can let USD oversupply cause the exchange rates to tip until the US is worthless internationally.
and improve physical & human capital with community college access/infrastructure/etc).
You must be talking about a different country LOL. The US just wastes money on wars.
The War over Taiwan will cost China more lives and GDP
The war will be over with China the victor before the US even knows how to get on it.
Doesn't even make sense.
as well as banning China from SWIFT and banning China from trade and forcing other countries to ban China from trade if they want SWIFT access as well as
That's a great way to kill SWIFT and make the dollar useless. Giving people USD that can't be traded for Chinese goods is like your boss paying you in currency that can't be used to buy anything made in China. Check the tags and see how restricting that "cash" is. If they did this, it would be great for China, because it gives China all the excuse it needs to start its own international financial system and being a much larger exporter than the US, this system would grow explosively until it became dominant.
the CIA destabilizng China with their hundreds of thousands of agents
China's stable and Hong Kong is stabilizing by the day. Meanwhile, the US suffered massive riots and even an attack on thier own capital building. Must be easy the test they give you to join the CIA LOL
