kwaigonegin
Colonel
Omg this year has been a flat top frenzy!
And its still not over!
I think it's cyclical in nature because carriers take such a long time to build and commission. You'll see the initial frenzies then followed by a lull couple years as the next one is slowly being build and the initial one going on a 2-3 years pre commissioning and fitting out period.
After CVN 78, the JFK won't be ready till at least 2018 and commission in 2020. Same thing with PLAN... after Liaoning I see at least until 2016 at the very earliest before PLAN launches another carrier. QE will launch sometime next year but most likely until 2016 before commissioning into the fleet. INS Vik same thing as well.
I think toward the end of this decade we'll see even more carriers coming online. By then you'll have Ford fully commissioned, JFK pretty much ready to join the fleet, same with R01, r02 nearing completion and possibily Liaoning's sister ship. I would surmise PLAN will at that time would have also started cutting steel for their first true CV. Same with India. The INS Vikrant will be commissioning about the same time as these carriers as well.
There'll probably be a bunch of 'smaller' vessels 20-40K joining their respective fleets as well in the form of LHAs LPD or heli/Stovl carriers.