2025 Victory Day parade thread (workup, 3rd Sept)

AndrewS

Brigadier
Registered Member
China now has low tier, attritable UAV/CCAs of similar vein to the US MQ-28 (Boeing), XQ-58 (Kratos) and YFQ-44 (Anduril) and also high tier CCA which used to be characterised by something like the Dark Sword concept (which may have reached some sort of evaluation in the past).

Most of the US CCA (by definition low tier) are also not quite as ready as the Chinese high tier CCAs. Chinese low tier CCAs seem to be running a slower program where the Chinese emphasis is on high tier CCA.

The difference is the US started showing its programs a decade ago and China pretty much only shows when weapons are active or at the very least, mature enough to be near service. These new CCAs China's showing now appear to be light to medium fighter aircraft sized. They would not be attritable so it's time to hurry up the low tier programs. Either that or China simply isn't showing the low tier ones publicly. Only the airshow stuff that either got rejected or deemed non-security risk to reveal. After all, attritable weapons can be considered strategically more important than the high tier, non attritables.

If you're looking at low-tier attritable CCA, remember that they look very much like "reusable" cruise missiles.

Also, the Chinese version of the Shaheed/Geran was supposed to be displayed, but this has been cancelled due to perceived negative public relations impact abroad.

---

Look at how the Russians have finally gotten around to launching launch salvoes of 600 missiles comprising Geran (~$40K?) and Gerbara (~$10K) piston-engine cruise missiles.

Yes, these are easy to shoot down. But they're so cheap, you don't mind this because it completely soaks up and saturates air defence capability ie. expensive ground-based SAMs and also aircraft launched AAMs.

This is now Russia's primary deep-strike capability against Ukraine, with 1 in 6 reaching their targets.
 

bsdnf

Junior Member
Registered Member
Rewatching Xi Yazhou and Yankee's pre-parade preview program, they used examples from previous parades to illustrate the PLA's level of secrecy:

1. DF-16 was first publicly revealed at the 2015 parade, but it had actually entered service around 2009. Many images believed to be of the DF-15C were actually of the DF-16. The appearance of the DF-17 in 2019 led outsiders to mistakenly believe it was a short-lived transitional product and subsequently forget about it.

2. air-launched YJ-12 was displayed at the 2015 parade, but the H-6 had already been carrying the YJ-12 on missions for some time. However, prior to this, there were virtually no images of the YJ-12 available online, with only one post from 2008 that few people noticed (This image first appeared on this forum in 2013)
cf51ce3999fcc24658a82a4a9d5c3048124355 (1).jpg

3. Meanwhile (2015 Parade) the YJ-21 had already begun test firings.


GyoK8HLaYAE-u47.jpeg
 
Last edited:

gpt

Junior Member
Registered Member
Rewatching Xi Yazhou and Yankee's pre-parade preview program, they used examples from previous parades to illustrate the PLA's level of secrecy:

1. DF-16 was first publicly revealed at the 2015 parade, but it had actually entered service around 2009. Many images believed to be of the DF-15C were actually of the DF-16. The appearance of the DF-17 in 2019 led outsiders to mistakenly believe it was a short-lived transitional product and subsequently forget about it.

2. air-launched YJ-12 was displayed at the 2015 parade, but the H-6 had already been carrying the YJ-12 on missions for some time. However, prior to this, there were virtually no images of the YJ-12 available online, with only one post from 2008 that few people noticed (This image first appeared on this forum in 2013)
View attachment 158631

3. At this point, the YJ-21 had already begun test firings.

1755525315722.png

1755525199162.png

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
sources point to huge number of ballistic and hypersonic tests every year. The advantage lies in the underlying infrastructure: they built an entire vertical industry from academia to motors to test ranges.
 
Top