Does anyone have data on when have the previous batch 052D ships been first observed in the dock (been laid down) and when have those ships been launched? How many months did it take from being laid down to being launched?
Sadly most of the PLAN warships haven't been reported the accurate dates when they had the first steel cut or keel laid down. And in many cases the modules were first built in the workhouses distant away then moved to the shipyard.Does anyone have data on when have the previous batch 052D ships been first observed in the dock (been laid down) and when have those ships been launched? How many months did it take from being laid down to being launched?
No way could even China make 052Ds in 6 months during peace time.
I think it’s more reasonable that the 6 months observed time is time from when modules are being joined to launch.
Much of the construction time would have been fabrication of the core modules. But because those are typically done in sheds, we don’t get any independently verifiable dates for how long that takes.
But are you sure those ships took the same spot? weren't there like 4 hulls at the same time, in various stages of construction, within that huge dock?
I dunno, 6 months from being laid down to launch sounds a bit too fast. But i'd certainly appreciate if someone actually had timestamped photos of new construction 052d being moved into the dock after that same spot was freed by a launched ship.
Okay, google earth helped. There's quite a few images of Dalian, a consistent set.
There's one pair of ships that's accurate to a month, as there's imagery the next month showing the dock is empty. So ships were laid down in September 2018 and launched in december 2019. Roughly 15 months.
There's another pair for which there's half decent imagery available, where first parts were observed laid down around march 2017. launch isn't visible on the GE, as it was between two updates, one in february and other in september 2018. But, we do have other photograps, showing laucnh of two 055 from Dalian in July 2018. So those are most likely those two ships. Again, 16 months from being laid down to launched.
But given that these latest images from dalian show a construction that hasn't started only recently but they show something that looks almost half finished, i'd say there's a high chance those two ships will be launched before the end of 2022.
And given that they're positioned in the second half of the dock, there's some chance dalian will repeat what they did before, with adding two more ships in the front.
Actually what dalian seems to have done previously is lay down two ships at the back, then laid down two more in the front. then started to build the front ones really slowly. In the meantime, the back two ships got launched and two more ships were laid down at the back. built fully at higher construction speed then launched. and only then did the two ships in the front get finished and launched.
What are you comparing the width with?A rough comparisonView attachment 80832