How do you miss when you are so close to the target, with wire guided missile to boot?
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
How do you miss when you are so close to the target, with wire guided missile to boot?
I think all ROC TOW are wirelessly guided now including these, not sure if that makes it easier or harder
plawolf
Lieutenant General
Is that 70% what was officially announced? Because the announcer was calling ‘hits’ when shots were just splashing waves. And they are shooting TOWs at targets so close you would expect better than 70% hit rates if they were using their service rifles. Those poor cannon fodders haven’t even got a prayer of a chance in a real shooting war. Their best strategy is to invest in white underwear that can be easily repurposed as flags. Maybe carry a fresh pair in your kit, as the PLA might get confused if you raise brown flags.
It reminds me of that time when the Russians were firing a bunch of ATGM during a demo at the international army games. Lots of misses as well.
Time isn't gentle on these sophisticated missiles.
I think full-scale war between China and the US will also entail this, taken from last week:
The problem is - How? How should China do that without triggering a nuclear exchange with the US? Using ICBMs, even if fitted with conventional warheads, seriously risks being mistakenly viewed by DC as a Chinese nuclear first strike.
In the meantime, China doesn't have strategic bombers that can reach CONUS and return, to begin with.
No cruise missile with big enough range to reach CONUS from mainland China either.
China doesn't have a sufficiently large navy fleet that can overwhelm the US Navy on its own, capture all those US-held bases and islands across much of the Pacific, and sail right off the Californian coast to lob missiles at San Francisco and Los Angeles.
So - How, exactly?
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How did US eventually bring the war to the Japanese mainland during ww2?
Just like US back then, China will at the start only have the ability to deliver token levels of ordinance to the enemy home cities. But as the war goes on, China will have the largest economy in the world consistently churning out new numbers and typed of platforms.
One of the key lessons China could learn from ww2 is the prominence of escort carriers. While China can only build 2-4 supercarriers at a time in large facilities which take years to complete and may be vulnerable to wartime sabotage, China can churn out insane amounts (high dozens) of 075 sized carriers or even smaller, specially optimized escort carriers at a quick rate.
The general plan would be island hopping. Firstly crush the US offensive towards Taiwan, using the momentum from said victory to launch a counteroffensive on the remaining KMT forces, from there on prepare hits on Ryukyu, Guam and any country on America's side. All the while, production of arms, cruise missiles etc would ramp up using China's full industrial capacity.
The higher China can increase it's peacetime budget, the less risky such a strategy would be. Hence, it is so important for lobbies in China to lobby for increased rearmament efforts.
If you're wondering what all these sudden life fire exercise is about, it's nearly time for this year's Han Kuang Exercise so these are warm ups.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
There was me being charitable and thinking maybe someone in the logistics department realised they did a fuck up and found a load of expired missiles, so rather than own up to their fuck up, they decided to organise some unscheduled live fire exercises that just happens to require the exact numbers and types of expired missiles.
solarz
Brigadier
70% hit rate is good enough, just fire 3 shots and you'll have 210% hit rate!
