Ukrainian War Developments

[lapain]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1503094784763781122

If the story is uttered by the likes of the Financial Times, then it can be confidently discarded as propaganda.

Washington has already proven countless times that it is the George Costanza of geopolitics.

 

[FriedButter]

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Podolyak said he sees any agreement between Kiev and Moscow as being in the form of a “multi-component” document. It should include provisions on the termination of the war, the terms and time schedule of the withdrawal of the Russian forces, the guaranteed terms of the peace agreement, and a detailed description of compensation mechanisms, he stressed, as recovery efforts would likely amount to “billions of dollars.”

This basically sounds like an unconditional surrender with the tack on the occupation of Ukraine by Russian troops for x time and reparations from Ukraine.

 

[Anlsvrthng]

Another source of funding for oligarchs' superyachts is uncovered:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1503084360815108103

Full BS.

Military parachutes are robust and very dependable equipments, and everyone has spare parachute in the events of the main doesn't open.

And generally, to become a paratrooper you need at least 11 jump (used to ) and during full military training it is easy to clock hundreds of jumps.

Any equipment malfunction will be sorted out fast in the process.


Just a reminder, only trained paratrooper could fold a parachute, and during the folding process everyone needs to check the condition of the parachute,coording and backpack. It is not a factory made thingy that came in a box , you pick it up and jump from the aircraft with it.

 

[Overbom]

Process of encirclement has began
"Updated approximate military situation, Russian Armed Forces are now pushing southwards after the capture of Izyum City, Ukrainian forces in Donbass are in a though situation as there is a possibility of them getting encircled."

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1503090315133083650

 

[yongpengsuen]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1503088067879608324

 

[Maikeru]

First of all, decoupling is a lot more than just oil.
What was seen recently is nothing compared to what we are just beginning to see now.
Decoupling is still far worse for the smaller economy in a global world.

Secondly.
North Sea oil only became economically viable after the Middel East oil crises.
The same could be said for the Arctic and other remote places with untapped remaining oil.
Old enemies could become new allies and so on.
Pure speculation though (but still interesting).
That the EU is already set on slowly facing out Russian energy is not.
The rest is already decoupled and might remain so for the foreseeable future.


Both wealthy and large economies today?
Not destroyed, sure. But not exactly thriving either.
(still better than North Korea with its almost completely isolated tiny economy though)

On the sanctions front:

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2nd and 3rd order effects of sanctions should not be underestimated.

 

[nixdorf]

The western economy was almost completely decoupled from the Soviet Union and most satellite states for more than four decades during the cold war. Even during the oil crises in the seventies which hit the western world much harder than the current energy crises.
The world is different today of course but decoupling is the most likely outcome if Russia doesn't work out a bilateral solution with Ukraine. No way around it. Everybody lose but Russia the most.
Add rearmament, renewed nuclear deterrence, policy and alliance reaffirment, public sentiments and so on and things do look grim and set in stone for what might follow.
Those that think that everyone will simply forget in a couple of months with everything going back to normal are only fooling themselves.

It cannot be resolved bilaterally. Just because Ukraine surrenders doesn't mean the US is going to roll back the sanctions. They've been dreaming about this for decades, and now they have it, they're going to keep it there as a bargaining chip. Russia will be isolated for decades until they need them against China and then they'll have all this to offer them: lifting of sanctions, giving back their reserves and so on. This doesn't end well for either Russia or China.

 

[Maikeru]

Full BS.

Military parachutes are robust and very dependable equipments, and everyone has spare parachute in the events of the main doesn't open.

And generally, to become a paratrooper you need at least 11 jump (used to ) and during full military training it is easy to clock hundreds of jumps.

Any equipment malfunction will be sorted out fast in the process.


Just a reminder, only trained paratrooper could fold a parachute, and during the folding process everyone needs to check the condition of the parachute,coording and backpack. It is not a factory made thingy that came in a box , you pick it up and jump from the aircraft with it.

Doesn't appear to have worked for this Russian pilot:

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[KYli]

A few weeks ago, we banned a member for advising assassinated Zelenskyy. Now, everyone in reddit and even many newspapers are advocating assassinating Putin.

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[foxmulder]

If the story is uttered by the likes of the Financial Times, then it can be confidently discarded as propaganda.

Washington has already proven countless times that it is the George Costanza of geopolitics.

View attachment 85175

Seriously, this level of misinformation something else and from "reputable" sources