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Brainsuker

Junior Member
Registered Member
I think they're putting a finger or two on the scale to interpret it that way.

The statements given by the government are sufficiently vague that it could relate to anything from procurement methods, elements of institutional cultural practices, and sure, also readiness and training and capability development goals.


Trying to pin it specifically to their narrative here is circumstantial upon circumstantial assumption, whereas it remains better to say "we don't know" as the best answer.
The fact that this article focuses on the 2027 timeline so much (even if they talk about it as being for capability development rather than Taiwan per se), and projecting it as if the Chinese leadership was actually focused on it, also betrays a bit of wishcasting confirmation bias, such that the author probably doesn't even know that they're doing so. Those are not hard deadlines for capability development nor are they milestones per se.

The article based on 2027 because it is Xi Jinping last term as the general secretary of CPC. It can be happen, If Xi want to make his term longer forcefully, but to me, it's only a speculative and personal attack to Xi, to portray him as a dictator.
 

A potato

Junior Member
Registered Member
These things happening 13 years into his reign should tell everyone this isn't a simple "corruption'' case but a widespread mismanagement of HR and a large gap between the military and the party. AR by '27 is not going to happen.

I wouldn't be surprised if CMC is going to be reformed to have 50-50 representation of both the military and the party.
I mean Russia lost severals Generals in combat aswell as the US removing generals over Scandels or differences with political leadership (See Mchyrstal removal). Did it affect their capabilities at all? No Russia is still gaining ground and the US didn't suffer any new setbacks. Leadership changes all the time and for PLA's case it would actually favourble because it allows the new generation to take leadership as they will adapt to the new reality of war.
 
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LawLeadsToPeace

Senior Member
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
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it allows the new generation to take leadership as they will adapt to the new reality of war.
I have seen comments like this one a lot (not attacking you though), and I’m just going to have slightly critique this type of comment. Those who make these comments are only thinking about the lower strategic, operational and tactical levels of war. Zhang Youxia’s former position doesn’t deal with that all. His job is to advise Xi on how the current PLA could achieve the PRC’s national interests and the costs associated with such actions. The officers under his command deal more with the technical aspects of their branches or departments and advise Zhang on the theoretical and material impacts of their branches’ actions and capabilities. Regardless of all of the gizmos and gadgets the PLA has, the human factor is always consistent. This is where Zhang Youxia advises Xi Jinping on.
 

A potato

Junior Member
Registered Member
I have seen comments like this one a lot (not attacking you though), and I’m just going to have slightly critique this type of comment. Those who make these comments are only thinking about the lower strategic, operational and tactical levels of war. Zhang Youxia’s former position doesn’t deal with that all. His job is to advise Xi on how the current PLA could achieve the PRC’s national interests and the costs associated with such actions. The officers under his command deal more with the technical aspects of their branches or departments and advise Zhang on the theoretical and material impacts of their branches’ actions and capabilities. Regardless of all of the gizmos and gadgets the PLA has, the human factor is always consistent. This is where Zhang Youxia advises Xi Jinping on.
Correct me if I am wrong but don't PLA Strategic level Officer function as glorified logistic officers because of the decentralized nature of PLA? If so then I imagine it's not hard for Xi to find a replacement because Zhang can't be the only one in CMC who has a role like this.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
Correct me if I am wrong but don't PLA Strategic level Officer function as glorified logistic officers because of the decentralized nature of PLA? If so then I imagine it's not hard for Xi to find a replacement because Zhang can't be the only one in CMC who has a role like this.

The PLA is really not short of senior officers. It’s a massive organization and there will inevitably be talent that haven’t had their shot at recognition yet because they weren’t winners in the usual internal political jockeying. This btw is also why dismantling a corruption ring in your military leadership ranks isn’t actually that damaging. Even if the people you’re elevating are sufficiently competent or even great at what they do corruption inevitably crowds out the signal you actually want to be looking for when you’re doing promotions.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
To be fair it touches on his favorite subject — which is what total devastation looks like.
Thank you for this. For a moment I was almost afraid that I’d have to give annihilation boy credit for once.

Edit: (actually never mind he’s probably arguing that the PLA’s purges against corruption are the same as Trump’s political purging in which case F that lol)
 

drowingfish

Senior Member
Registered Member
The article based on 2027 because it is Xi Jinping last term as the general secretary of CPC. It can be happen, If Xi want to make his term longer forcefully, but to me, it's only a speculative and personal attack to Xi, to portray him as a dictator.
There is no logic to that argument, if Xi can extend his term beyond 2022 without taking Taiwan, he can extend it beyond 2027 without taking Taiwan...
 
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