PLA Strike Strategies in Westpac HIC

SunlitZelkova

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A report on the need for a new force structure for USAF in the face of a peer-level contested battlespace. I quite like it. Distilled down to first principles, it argues that instead of relying on pure airpower->air control for everything, what USAF really needs is lots of GBAD, lots of standoff strikes, and a smaller fleet of air superiority fighters which only fights when conditions are appropriate. Such a force structure is far better optimized for protracted high-intensity conflict, at the cost of conceding theatre-level control of the air in favor of temporary and contested windows of opportunity.

It's a fundamentally solid argument which recognizes that you can't just bulldoze your way through peer-level opposition by virtue of superior everything. Otherwise the opposition wouldn't be peers, now would they? More importantly, and ironically, it's the exact force structure long employed by the PLA. It's why PLAGF/PLAAF operate so many air defense units. It's why PLARF exists. It's why PLAAF is weighted so heavily on air superiority platforms over strike. It's the right way to conceptualize and fight a genuine peer.

That being said, if you choose to fight a equal opponent on highly unequal terrain—like say, his front yard—then you will lose. Because then it's no longer a contest of equals.

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That is the same think tank that published a paper called "China After Communism: Preparing for a Post-CCP China" which called for Balkanizing China by force and literally deploying American troops to occupy critical regions of the country after its "impending" Soviet-style collapse, among other suggestions like renaming China and disarming it of WMDs.

Whatever it says is unlikely to have any influence on actual USAF planning.
 

lych470

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That is the same think tank that published a paper called "China After Communism: Preparing for a Post-CCP China" which called for Balkanizing China by force and literally deploying American troops to occupy critical regions of the country after its "impending" Soviet-style collapse, among other suggestions like renaming China and disarming it of WMDs.

Whatever it says is unlikely to have any influence on actual USAF planning.

It turns out winning the Cold War was the worst thing that could have happened to the US.

Just because the USSR broke apart doesn't mean China will break apart. The heyday for that kind of thinking was pre-9/11, when the US could bomb any nation on Earth without much consequences. Now, not so much.
 

00CuriousObserver

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Papua New Guinea approves defence treaty with Australia

Under the Pukpuk defence treaty, Australia and Papua are obliged to come to each other’s aid if attacked.

The treaty would also allow as many as 10,000 Papua New Guineans to serve with the Australian Defence Force, under dual arrangements, the statement said.

The landmark treaty still requires ratification from both nations' parliaments.

The agreement was supposed to have been approved when Albanese was in Port Moresby during celebrations of PNG’s 50th independence anniversary two weeks ago.

The two countries agreed a joint communique on the text of the pact, after a meeting of PNG’s cabinet lacked the quorum required to ratify it.

The United States reached a defence pact with PNG in 2023 to counter China's security ambitions.


(excerpts)
 

tamsen_ikard

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Papua New Guinea approves defence treaty with Australia

Under the Pukpuk defence treaty, Australia and Papua are obliged to come to each other’s aid if attacked.

The treaty would also allow as many as 10,000 Papua New Guineans to serve with the Australian Defence Force, under dual arrangements, the statement said.

The landmark treaty still requires ratification from both nations' parliaments.

The agreement was supposed to have been approved when Albanese was in Port Moresby during celebrations of PNG’s 50th independence anniversary two weeks ago.

The two countries agreed a joint communique on the text of the pact, after a meeting of PNG’s cabinet lacked the quorum required to ratify it.

The United States reached a defence pact with PNG in 2023 to counter China's security ambitions.


(excerpts)
I wonder why Indonesia is so silent about Australia having so much influence in their neighbour.

Indonesia is no longer a poor country anymore. They should have the strategic ambition to challenge Australia and secure their own borders too.
 

Almond98

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Why do Papua need defense treaty with australia? What threat they are facing that they think its a good idea to sign a defense agreement with australia? If they think china is a threat then i think they made even worse decision by siding with west.
 

Dante80

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Why do Papua need defense treaty with australia? What threat they are facing that they think its a good idea to sign a defense agreement with australia? If they think china is a threat then i think they made even worse decision by siding with west.
They already have a
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, I don't see how this news is surprising or weird. Integrating their military with Australia more is a somewhat natural choice
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between the two countries. They are part of the Commonwealth Realm after all.
 

DeltaGreen

Just Hatched
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1.This post is the first part in a series I'm writing.

Hello everyone, I've noticed this forum already features many high-quality discussions, but there seems to be a lack of systematic analysis understanding the conflicts in the West Pacific from a higher perspective. I'm attempting to use the framework of Political Level - Grand Strategy - Strategy (Military Strategy) to analyze this and fill this gap.
This approach is intended to complement the many excellent discussions we already have on more granular aspects like campaigns, operations, and specific weapons systems.

Simply put, the political level tries to describe the ultimate goals pursued by a nation. It answers two fundamentally identical questions: What do we want? And what are we working and fighting for?
For example, from the end of the Cold War until now, the United States' political goal has consistently been to maintain its superpower status and the world order most favorable to itself. China's political goal has consistently been the faster and higher-ceilinged development of its own comprehensive national power and the enhancement of its position within the world order.

Strategy refers to the pathways and means in different domains, serving to achieve political ends. Strategy is divided into domains, such as Economic Strategy, Technology Strategy, Cultural Strategy, Ecological Strategy, Military Strategy, etc. It answers the question: What means should we use in areas like economy, technology, etc., to achieve our ultimate goals?
For example, from the end of the Cold War until the mid-2010s, the United States' economic strategy domestically relied on loose monetary policy and stimulating consumption, while internationally it promoted free trade and globalization. China's economic strategy was driven by investment and exports, and internationally it actively integrated into free trade and globalization.

Grand Strategy is a concept that emerged relatively late. It attempts to rationally allocate resources among various strategic domains, thereby generating more comprehensive means to achieve political objectives. It answers the question: How should we comprehensively integrate and prioritize our efforts in domains like economy, technology, etc., to generate a more synthesized pathway for achieving our ultimate goals?
Perhaps due to my own limited capability, I find it very difficult to summarize the Grand Strategy of both nations during this period. It might also be because Grand Strategy functions more as a transitional layer between Politics and Strategy, less independent. My preliminary attempt is: from the end of the Cold War to the mid-2010s, the Grand Strategy of the United States was to expand its sphere of influence and promote its own order. Whereas China's Grand Strategy was to develop in a compliant and peaceful manner within this order.
 

tamsen_ikard

Senior Member
Registered Member
1.This post is the first part in a series I'm writing.

Hello everyone, I've noticed this forum already features many high-quality discussions, but there seems to be a lack of systematic analysis understanding the conflicts in the West Pacific from a higher perspective. I'm attempting to use the framework of Political Level - Grand Strategy - Strategy (Military Strategy) to analyze this and fill this gap.
This approach is intended to complement the many excellent discussions we already have on more granular aspects like campaigns, operations, and specific weapons systems.

Simply put, the political level tries to describe the ultimate goals pursued by a nation. It answers two fundamentally identical questions: What do we want? And what are we working and fighting for?
For example, from the end of the Cold War until now, the United States' political goal has consistently been to maintain its superpower status and the world order most favorable to itself. China's political goal has consistently been the faster and higher-ceilinged development of its own comprehensive national power and the enhancement of its position within the world order.

Strategy refers to the pathways and means in different domains, serving to achieve political ends. Strategy is divided into domains, such as Economic Strategy, Technology Strategy, Cultural Strategy, Ecological Strategy, Military Strategy, etc. It answers the question: What means should we use in areas like economy, technology, etc., to achieve our ultimate goals?
For example, from the end of the Cold War until the mid-2010s, the United States' economic strategy domestically relied on loose monetary policy and stimulating consumption, while internationally it promoted free trade and globalization. China's economic strategy was driven by investment and exports, and internationally it actively integrated into free trade and globalization.

Grand Strategy is a concept that emerged relatively late. It attempts to rationally allocate resources among various strategic domains, thereby generating more comprehensive means to achieve political objectives. It answers the question: How should we comprehensively integrate and prioritize our efforts in domains like economy, technology, etc., to generate a more synthesized pathway for achieving our ultimate goals?
Perhaps due to my own limited capability, I find it very difficult to summarize the Grand Strategy of both nations during this period. It might also be because Grand Strategy functions more as a transitional layer between Politics and Strategy, less independent. My preliminary attempt is: from the end of the Cold War to the mid-2010s, the Grand Strategy of the United States was to expand its sphere of influence and promote its own order. Whereas China's Grand Strategy was to develop in a compliant and peaceful manner within this order.
I feel like you are kind of a novice in this kind of analysis. Like someone who has just started and thinks he already knows more than experienced veterans.

I have been following the US-China tussle for decades now. And one thing I can tell you, the US has no grand strategy. The US is divided, distributed, distracted by so many things that it is incapable of having any kind of strategy.

What it has are various power brokers with various kinds of ideas. Some of them have some infleunce in a certain time period and they do things. Then someone else gets more influence and they implement their own ideas.

And on and on it goes.
 
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