Well, its clear to which countries you're ascribing the above scenarios to, but is that really the case in reality?
Take Israel. In Lebanon, prior to the ceasefire Israeli troops had already reached the Litani river. But territory was never their objective, decimating Hezbollah was. And can one really argue they didn't complete their objective, when after the war Hezbollah was so badly mauled they weren't able to help Assad in any capacity and are now cut off from Iran? Hezbollah started the war supposedly as the world's most powerful militia, they now arguably have a combat capability just slightly above most Mexican drug cartels with that slight edge being owed to whatever's left of their missile arsenal that Israel hasn't destroyed.
On top of that, Israel is in the process of bisecting Gaza and has completely occupied the Golan heights, an objective they've pursued for decades, which the new Syrian government is unlikely going to get back unless Turkey decided to strong arm Israel into returning it, which they're unlikely to do. Frankly as much as we all hate to see it, if Israel really wanted to complete the settlement of the West Bank, who's stopping them at this point?
On the other hand, the Russo-Ukrainian war is still ongoing after 2 years, soon to be its 3rd year. Sure, Russia is winning right now, but victory is being achieved with a slow grind through the southeastern part of Europe's poorest nation, plus they still haven't managed to recapture the sliver of territory that Ukraine captured from them, going as far as to request North Korean assistance in order to do so.
With the Israelis, the geopolitical consensus is even if they wanted to do the most diabolitical shit to the Palestinians, nobody is standing in their way at this point. Whereas with Russia, questions still remain about how much more resources they need to devote to achieve total victory over the Ukrainians, what their definition of "total victory" is, and if they're satisfied with just conquering Donbas or if they still want all of Ukraine up until the Dnipro.
I think its clear in this scenario which side has largely completed their objectives and which side is technically in a stalemate despite gaining ground.
