Thailand buying submarines would be a huge waste of money. The military had to reach back 70 years to find an example of when sea trade was interrupted. The Iran-Iraq War from 1980-1988 is the only other example I can think of in which maritime trade was seriously affected.
The only countries with the power to threaten Thailand's sea trade are the United States, China, and Malaysia. If Thailand goes to war against the first two, a few submarines are going to be destroyed before they are used. A war against Malaysia is extremely unlikely as both governments have good relations. They have no territorial disputes with each other. They have tons of business with each other that would be cut off during a war, providing a good reason to not go to war.
And if there is never a war, the 1 billion USD used to buy the submarines, plus all the money for training, maintenance, and operations, will be wasted.
Think about alternatives for that $1 billion. That could be a major highway with international standards to improve safety. Traffic accidents are one of the leading causes of death in Thailand. It could build a medical school to produce more doctors for overcrowded hospitals and Thailand's huge medical tourism industry, thus bringing more money to the country. It could build schools and train teachers to relieve overcrowding. You don't have to look back 70 years to find an example of overcrowded roads, schools, and hospitals. They're happening right now. Money spent on submarines is an insurance plan against a highly unlikely event. Money spent on infrastructure and social services has a guaranteed payoff.
Thailand buying submarines would be a huge waste of money. The military had to reach back 70 years to find an example of when sea trade was interrupted. The Iran-Iraq War from 1980-1988 is the only other example I can think of in which maritime trade was seriously affected.
The only countries with the power to threaten Thailand's sea trade are the United States, China, and Malaysia. If Thailand goes to war against the first two, a few submarines are going to be destroyed before they are used. A war against Malaysia is extremely unlikely as both governments have good relations. They have no territorial disputes with each other. They have tons of business with each other that would be cut off during a war, providing a good reason to not go to war.
And if there is never a war, the 1 billion USD used to buy the submarines, plus all the money for training, maintenance, and operations, will be wasted.
Think about alternatives for that $1 billion. That could be a major highway with international standards to improve safety. Traffic accidents are one of the leading causes of death in Thailand. It could build a medical school to produce more doctors for overcrowded hospitals and Thailand's huge medical tourism industry, thus bringing more money to the country. It could build schools and train teachers to relieve overcrowding. You don't have to look back 70 years to find an example of overcrowded roads, schools, and hospitals. They're happening right now. Money spent on submarines is an insurance plan against a highly unlikely event. Money spent on infrastructure and social services has a guaranteed payoff.
The...Thai Navy...or the Pakistan Navy? God...the Viets and the Indians got to be annoyed and scared :/
The...Thai Navy...or the Pakistan Navy? God...the Viets and the Indians got to be annoyed and scared :/