As some of you may be aware, I have been posting at length since July about the contest between the US/NATO and SCO/CSTO for domination of Central Asia.
I think it is now safe to assume that Obama has recognised that the US will always be a strategic disadvantage in Afghanistan and that any broad Geopolitical gains will come at a too high a price and only sacrifice other US interests in theatres where they would otherwise still enjoy an advantage.
Reading the official releases from the region, it is clear that Moscow and Beijing have had a strong hand in setting the surge agenda and that their own policies for the region for 2011 and beyond and now running in tandam with Obama's exit strategy.
Last weeks statement from the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs puts this as plainly as it has been expressed anywhere and also; most satisfyingly summarises the main points I have been arguing for months.