US F/A-XX and F-X & NGAD - 6th Gen Aircraft News Thread

Shadowdancer

Just Hatched
Registered Member
I have tried to study the HD photo and had some guesses...
View attachment 148297
I have adjusted its brighteness and contrast ratio and got this, two very circular big black dots, maybe this F47 actually has a big V tail?
It could also be concealing the nozzle details as well, it's hard to say now.
Could it also be a A-10 style twin engine up there so USAF can finally retire A-10 without Army complaints.
 

Hyper

Junior Member
Registered Member
While that's true, having too many cooks/contractors and having all this large and slow multi-billion companies talking to each other isn't a recipe for quick and cheap development


Oh you have no idea how fucked Boeing is. Plenty of people have heard of their high profile failures, the 737Max, their safety issues with civilian aviation, SLS and starliner. But there's plenty of other small-medium fuckups that never make the news and there's plenty of them. Ever heard of the T-7, KC-36, their issues with Airforce one, their satellite exploding or the MH-139?
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Some of them are small, but having cracks form on half of your brand new tankers, being 5 years late on a single Airforce one and fucking up so hard that you are 3 years behind schedule on a training plane? And combined with their high profile failures? It's a consistent trend. Which is not to say that Boeing fails at everything, Boeing still makes the F-18 and F-15EX and those programs seem fine for example. But F-18 and F-15EX are old airframes that were originally designed under McDonnell Douglas before the merger. Alot of the new projects Boeing has seems to have issues. I can't see the F-47 going smoothly.
They might engineer a takeover of commercial airline by Airbus. Just like the Intel JV talks.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
Dunno but all I see are declarations, announcements, and some CG renders for it. Until I see it flying, I don't believe anything regarding it's development status

As they say, show me the money plane!

I generally believe that at most, only tech demonstrators have flown so far, and that J-36 has at least 2-3 years lead over it. Wake me up when they show something tangible
 
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Gloire_bb

Captain
Registered Member
Ok, after happy pages of sweet revenge, some first impressions.

1. Photos hide rear, but also emphasize supersonic flight.
2. Canards - supersonic stability (and performance), but also apparently maneuver requirements were maintained. Lile it, hate it - canards will hit high frequency LO. But won't kill it(after all, it's Boeing, i.e. an obvious bird of prey descendant). Low frequency one can still be wastly better than 5th gen. No easy L-band workarounds.
Maneuverability will help such aircraft to operate at low altitudes; it will help it in both wvr(which it probably very much capable of reaching) and contested bvr.

3. Huge(relatively) cockpit and relatively weak, single wheel frontal chassis. Not necessarily, but this plane can in fact be very small, perhaps as small or even smaller than F-16.
5. Wings look rather long.
6.adaptable engines are basic feature of the package.

Summary: likely light(even against expectations, though it was already expected to be smaller than F-22). Given presence of canards and highly advanced (towards efficiency across flight modes) engines, likely meant to fly very far.

Speculations:

4. Fuselage shape smells drone variant(just "remove" cockpit in your imagination). Likely aimed at high incriment dedicated loyal wingman in the future, and almost certainly meant to operate with them normally. Not just "command" them, but be *part* of them. Which will also amplify stealth of manned component - not directly, but through similarity of "blinking" LO airframes.
I wonder how high are Boeing chances here, though, given that USAF is doing everything to prevent vendor lock.

5. Lightness speculation, together with obvious high integration with CCAs, probably means that something has to give.
In F-22, range was sacrificed. In F-35 it was aerodynamic performance(efficiency). Here, I feel it will be IWB depth.
LWs, F-35s and B-21s can carry voluminous payloads.
If you aim at a bay capable of only AIM-260s and future WVR missiles, it can be extremely shallow, or even conformal(bays). APKWS in bay doors?
6. If lightness speculation is true, it's unlikely USAF sees DEW as it's future. Maybe F-35 and B-21 are seen as more suitable.
7. Maneuver performance is still viewed as important.
8. Numbers are seen as important, and general vector of buying 1 7th gen aircraft by 2054 as wrong. Which is very refreshing.

Overall, given how much US fun community now burns and copes(oval office release as misinformation), USAF most certainly managed to surprise community. While it's certainly funny to watch meltdowns, I won't be exactly as optimistic as to expect that USAF doesn't know what it wants, or can't get it.
Yes, it does feel like canarded fighter mafia's sweet revenge. But a very advanced and forward-looking one.
 
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iewgnem

Senior Member
Registered Member
Dunno but all I see are declarations, announcements, and some CG rendersfor it. Until I see it flying, I don't believe anything regarding it's development status

As they say, show me the money plane!

I generally believe that at most, only tech demonstrators have flown so far, and that J-36 has at least 2-3 years lead over it. Wake me up when they show something tangible
My bet is they'll build a couple of prototypes and then the program gets axed, which won't even be a problem because Boeing got the bailout and they'll announce they're skipping 6th gen European style

The root problem is unrealistic and mutually contradictory requirement: America is defining this program as air dominance, or at least air superiority, so by definition it must be at minimum superior to J-36 and J-50. At the same time they also require it, or should I say their financial situation requires them to constrain cost to below F-22.

At this point they don't have much info on J-36 and J-50, and they haven't spent money on it yet, but knowledge of both J-36/50 and program cost will emerge at around the same time, and they're inevitably heading toward a moment where they compare how much they're spending with what it's up against, and have to make a decision on which requirement to abandon, but their pride will prohibit them from abandoning the former, while their finances prohibits them from abandoning the latter, and in either case by that point it'll be way too late to abandon either.

This already happened to NGAD when they put it on pause for Trump to deal with, Trump being Trump has no idea what's going on, but engineering reality hasn't changed.
 

Hyper

Junior Member
Registered Member
My bet is they'll build a couple of prototypes and then the program gets axed, which won't even be a problem because Boeing got the bailout and they'll announce they're skipping 6th gen European style

The root problem is unrealistic and mutually contradictory requirement: America is defining this program as air dominance, or at least air superiority, so by definition it must be at minimum superior to J-36 and J-50. At the same time they also require it, or should I say their financial situation requires them to constrain cost to below F-22.

At this point they don't have much info on J-36 and J-50, and they haven't spent money on it yet, but knowledge of both J-36/50 and program cost will emerge at around the same time, and they're inevitably heading toward a moment where they compare how much they're spending with what it's up against, and have to make a decision on which requirement to abandon, but their pride will prohibit them from abandoning the former, while their finances prohibits them from abandoning the latter, and in either case by that point it'll be way too late to abandon either.

This already happened to NGAD when they put it on pause for Trump to deal with, Trump being Trump has no idea what's going on, but engineering reality hasn't changed.
Other programs will get cancelled before NGAD. Only 3-4 other programs are more important. And at this point that have all the leverage over Boeing.
 
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