Ukrainian War Developments

Status
Not open for further replies.

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Russia has had plenty of direct or indirect experience with TB2 in Idlib, Libya, Karabakh in 2020. It was an obvious threat since Ukraine bought them, and should have been one of the top Ukrainian capabilities to destroy at the beginning of the conflict. A surprising failure.
I don't think these TB2s are being flown by UKR tbh. They can take off on improvised runways and serviced by UKR but I believe they're being controlled and directed by E-8s in western territory. There's nothing RUS can do about this.

Actually finding an armored convoy isn't all that easy in a large country when your country is being hit on all sides, your radars are down and you don't have your own satellite recon. People can't follow a convoy without getting shot. So how do they even know where a convoy is? data feeding.

You can see this is happening from progress on each front. In the east and near Crimea, RUS forces are having success because nothing can fly nearby. UKR forces don't seem to know where they are and are getting encircled. But in the north and west with air line of sight near borders with the west progress is slow and they're losing much more material.
 

NiuBiDaRen

Brigadier
Registered Member
You see this is stuff that had been planned previously.

I know some people were being pessimistic about Russia, but this could be what you call "two steps forward one step back".

No such thing as negative publicity. China's clearing system is going to get a boost and Russia is more than happy to ride along.

All planned along. Just free publicity for China. What's there not to like?
 

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
I think people are being too harsh on Russia's inability to deal with TB-2 drones. I don't see the current PLA or the US Army doing much better under the same circumstances. By nature these drones are small, fly much lower and subsequently difficult to detect and intercept with existing radar systems. China did export anti-drone radar to Saudi Arabia, but I don't think the Chinese military has put many of them into service.
There's been 3 videos of TB-2 strikes so far. At least one seemed to be against an abandoned convoy.

In the Azerbaijan there were complilations of 5-6 attacks every day. All looked pretty devastating.

Either the Russians are doing something to reduce the number of attacks (ECW?), or the Ukrainians are holding back for fear of reprisals, or something else.
 

BlackWindMnt

Captain
Registered Member
Many of these Russian tycoons have a ton of assets in the West. It is going to hurt them a lot. I always find it interesting that MSM can easily justify to target civilians and confiscate their wealth. Isn't private property sacred.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
It will also remove those tycoons power or sway over Russian internal politics. The tycoons that had geopolitical analyst at work had more than enough time to diversify away from their western assets. I expect a lot of think tanks earning some big cash the next couple of decades.
 

ArmchairAnalyst

Junior Member
Registered Member
If Japan goes nuclear, South Korea won't be far behind, then probably Australia. Iran will ride the wave of trend, Saudis will have to counter with nukes of their own, which will worry Turkey and push them to developing theirs. Germans will realise that they need nukes to stay relevant too, and a myriad moderate countries stuck between/close to nuclear powers will have to start their programs... That's why nobody's rocked the NPT boat so far. If the US wants to stay relevant and have the option of "a splendid little war" ever again, they'll have to wag their finger at Japan now.
If there is a lesson to be learned for any medium to large sized powers by the Russian attack on Ukraine (and many from the US on others countries in the previous decades) is that nuclear deterrent is the only real guarantee in a might is right world.
Israel, Pakistan and North Korea pretty much all confirm this.
I think widespread nuclear proliferation is a given in this decade and the next.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top