Ukrainian War Developments

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Abominable

Major
Registered Member
Even if it wasn't well planned, my critique of Russia is mostly about the state of its military

Aircraft are flying blind and then get shot down. Helicopters flying blind without cover. Formation convoys moving in Ukranian roads like they would move in parades in Moscow. Drones/air support is almost non-existent existent

Very few troops committed, only 50k (with 100 on reserve + rotated). They need 200k extra troops to make proper fronts and secure their supply lines
As long as Ukraine has manpads helicopters and low flying aircraft are always going to be vunerable.

If Russia or China had been handing out modern manpads like candy to Iraqis and Afghans before America invaded, they'd have similar problems.

Deploying 200,000 into enemy territory would burn up a lot of food, water, fuel and so on. Deploying a small number forward and keeping the rest as rearguard keeps supply lines protected.

I've not seen any reason to believe that Russians had shortages of soldiers so far, whenever they've moved forward it's been fast.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
It seems that Ukranian defensives lines in DPR and LPR are in state of collapse. Mind you, these are the strongest and most battle-
hardened Ukrainian military units.
Depending on the progress of the Crimean front, there could be a potential encirclement attempt

"MOD RUSSIA: “LPR troops advanced 30 km and captured the settlements of Bakhmutovka and Grechishkino.” — Ministry of Defense"

"MOD RUSSIA: “Group of DPR troops advanced another 6 kilometers in the direction of Novomaiskoye.” - Russian Defense Ministry"
 

horse

Colonel
Registered Member
Still very unlikely but I could see a situation where China plays peacekeeper and forces a settlement, given how Russia is now completely out of options with the west. It would be a huge step away from traditional chinese diplomacy though.

Yeah, agree. I can see it too now.

If Putin ask Xi for a favour, China has to help Russia out if Russia wants it.

The economic side of things, China does not care. China will treat Russia like anyone else, because they doing business.

China will not give Russia any special deals, and China will not take advantage of Russia. It is just business. If they want to do business, that's fine. Note that, China probably will give Russia a special deal, temporarily. LOL. Given the current situation in Europe.

For Russia getting closer to China, economically speaking, it makes sense. China will double its economy in 15-20 years. That means any Russian trade into China can double too. That is a better deal that Europe can do.

Still, got to understand what the man Putin tried to do. He wanted to get closer to Europe, and was rejected. He tried his best and failed.

Sooner or later, got to give it up and get on with things.
 

Helius

Senior Member
Registered Member
Speaking of improvising due to changing battlefield conditions, I would like to dedicate this post to the the VDV reinforcements coming from Belarus to relieve their brothers dropped in the first wave at Antonov Airport by air assault:
View attachment 83647
Ye olde tank descent

View attachment 83648

View attachment 83649

View attachment 83653

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Notice the Tigr in this picture still have the parachute roof rack installed

And now for the best example of battlefield improvisation we've seen in this war, a fierce infantry fighting vehicle straight from Belarus:
View attachment 83651
z smart.jpg
 

LCR34

Junior Member
Registered Member
It seems that Ukranian defensives lines in DPR and LPR are in state of collapse. Mind you, these are the strongest and most battle-
hardened Ukrainian military units.
Depending on the progress of the Crimean front, there could be a potential encirclement attempt

"MOD RUSSIA: “LPR troops advanced 30 km and captured the settlements of Bakhmutovka and Grechishkino.” — Ministry of Defense"

"MOD RUSSIA: “Group of DPR troops advanced another 6 kilometers in the direction of Novomaiskoye.” - Russian Defense Ministry"
Things looking grim for Ukraine.
 

sndef888

Captain
Registered Member
It seems that Ukranian defensives lines in DPR and LPR are in state of collapse. Mind you, these are the strongest and most battle-
hardened Ukrainian military units.
Depending on the progress of the Crimean front, there could be a potential encirclement attempt

"MOD RUSSIA: “LPR troops advanced 30 km and captured the settlements of Bakhmutovka and Grechishkino.” — Ministry of Defense"

"MOD RUSSIA: “Group of DPR troops advanced another 6 kilometers in the direction of Novomaiskoye.” - Russian Defense Ministry"
How accurate is this? I even saw something like severodonetsk had surrendered but maps are not updating the eastern front
 

9dashline

Captain
Registered Member
There's literally no benefit to Beijing hosting Zelensky. It will be spun as evil China colluding with Russia.

He was given the option of Minsk or Moscow. Or whatever bunker he's in. If that is unacceptable then the terms Russia puts forward certainly will be.
The Zel never heard of Telegram app? Internet down?
Whats wrong with an Iridium sat phone?
 
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