For reference, no time info, dunno how accurate this is.
View attachment 83439
This explains why Russia is risking it and flying low with their Su-25s and other attack jets and helicopters. They are trying surround Kyiv or secure vital sites around Kyiv with Airborne troops. Those guys will need to hold the ground until mechanized troops from the north arrives to reinforce them. If they can capture the capital and paint Ukraine political leaders as running or retreating from their country's heart, then it will deliver a huge psychological defeat to Ukrainian troops and force great defection and abandonment.
This war was 1/3 over when RuAF secured air superiority. It will be 2/3 over when Kyiv falls. The remaining 1/3 will depend on the will of Ukrainian army to mount an insurgency.
I see many comparing potential Ukrainian insurgency to USSR and US Afghan campaigns. What they all ignore is that Russia and Ukraine are very culturally similar and as such it's citizens won't be as urgent to mount a guerilla warfare and risk extermination and death by the Russians. Russia are not completely outsiders unlike Russia in Afghan or US in Middle East. Russia and Ukraine are literally neighbors and share so many things in common. Ukraine citizens won't be please of the new regime Russia installs but many will learn to live by it instead of sacrificing themselves to resists. The ones who fear persecution will flee to Western Europe as refugees. The ones that stay won't completely mind the new Russian regime.
