Ukrainian War Developments

Status
Not open for further replies.

Maikeru

Major
Registered Member
True, but a well armed Argentina is a big threat to Falklands. In 1982 Argentina took Falklands and sunk lots of British warship and shot down lots of British aircraft with very limited ammunition. A heavily armed Argentina armed by Russia is a big threat to Falklands and that will scare Britain into not giving any weapon to Ukraine.
An Argentina armed by China, maybe, an Argentina armed by Russia? Naaaahh.
 

Jingle Bells

Junior Member
Registered Member
i mean South Korea trust Russia infrastructure (No one stealing them) and financial system to store products this in addition to R&D.
prices are not much different than international level.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
It is non-sense that current Economic structure is shaped by EU. In just one Month Turkey is practically largest trading partner of Russia in that part of world.
Well, I myself is not on EU's side. If Russians feel that they don't see EU-Russia relations as important or even beneficial their country, then all the power to them for cutting down ties.

operating 72 cargo flights related to S-400 delivery shows that they have surplus cargo capacity and willing to use it. Syria alone is 1000X of it every year. than add whole Africa. you are underestimating the amount of high quality manpower required to keep aviation products at high tempo operation. reliability and supply chain to make product that is remotely usable in 21st century need huge experience and time. 16 ton engine become 20 ton to make sure plane can keep flying on one engine.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
I think we are talking about totally different things. But sure, Syria did provide a good opportunity for Russia to work out strategic air transportation. The talent pool Russia is creating with this is certainly worth the while.

do you count every part and design that Russia supplied to Boeing , Airbus and various engine manufacturers.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
Again, we are talking about different things. Being a robust supplier of components, parts and designs is not the same as the provider of full final products.

For example, the Japanese semi-conductor industry was once a dominant and world leading all the way to final-product, their supply chain were pretty all domestic, except for the primary resources (petroleum and chemical ores). The US came in and basically destroyed it with a globalized distributed supply chain with pretty much 3 quarter of the industrialized world to finally subdued that robust Japanese industry. The US never gave Japan another chance, instead, they turn the Japanese into a upper stream component provider, forever locking Japan in this US dominated global supply chain.

This is what's going on with US led globalized aviation industry, that took part and design orders from Russia. Have you seen how much market Russian civilian final product (actual planes) lost to Boeing and Airbus.

they are gong to increase production capacity certainly not for global export level but end product is very competitive. there is no competitive analysis done in de-globalization era for aviation products.

Ukraine was primarily in helicopter and marine engines. so that took a decade or two to replace them. As mentioned Russia industrial policy is for different world than the world we have lived until now.

this company is from small town by global standards. so i am not sure why you think they are not investing to build products that take advantage of 5G connectivity.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Russia does not need European money it has plenty of money of its own and from Middleast. what it need from Europe is the competent and skilled people that have left Russian world since 1917 to move back to take jobs and built products outside EU system.
they started working on it with money since 2007. this fundamental conflict between Germanic world and Russian world. the rest are just side actors.
That is the trend of the future, and I'd love to see Russia make good stride in this direction.

USSR does not have strength when you look at quality of leadership they were producing and putting way more investments in Ukraine relative to other places. it is that unbalanced investment that more population of USSR end up near Ukraine rather than in Far East.
Yes, they do lack strategic foresight on this matter.

so you think only fighters and drone that fly at medium altitude are future proof?. there is no gun/rocket/ATGM developed yet that can reliablity take mobile targets from such altitude especially in simultaneous multi-shot engagement. infact with introduction of hypersonic missiles with Mach 10+ speeds, high performance radars and radar satellites. there is less difference between hitting bases far away from battlefield than near to battlefield. cheap widely disperse airbases with high tempo rate much effective than stealth fighters parked thousands kms away that need much more support infrastructure.

I don't know, I hope you are right. We will see.
I myself is big fan of a good CAS. I used to search extensively for good concept/fantasy design of "updated" A-10 and Su-25.
I am just not sure if that's where the future is heading, but your argument seems sound.
We shall see from this war.
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
I don’t see how this helps. These weapons aren’t going to the east. They will be stockpiled in west Ukraine. It will take weeks for the Ukrainians to be trained with these weapons.
Maybe they will send newly naturalized Ukrainian trained troops with them ? These shipments and stockpiles will be high on the list of strike anyway... don't know how many survives before field uses these days. NATO are draining a tons load of cash and equipment in that war that nobody will ever pay back beside the bloods of Russians and Ukrainians.
 

Maikeru

Major
Registered Member
Don't talk about things you have no clue about. There was no treaty for returning Hong Kong. There is only a joint declaration. The treaty just expired on 1997 for majority of Hong Kong territories except a small portion of Kowloon and Hong Kong island. That small portion of Kowloon and Hong Kong island were agreed to return to China by the joint declaration as Deng Xiaoping said so.

View attachment 86963
I was referring to the 1 country 2 systems agreement.
 

tphuang

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
Some of these commentaries are getting ridiculous. Please go visit Argentina once in your lifetime before making statements about what they should or should not do. And no, Argentina is not in a hurry to attack Falklands. They got serious economic problems on hand. And I say this as someone who loves argentinian culture.

And also, Russia is not going to have the resources to complete s70 anytime soon. Maybe they should start off by having a better surveillance drone than orlan.
 

Aegis21

Junior Member
Registered Member
A really pessimistic take from Strelkov…


8 YEARS SINCE THE ENTRANCE OF OUR DETACHMENT TO SLAVYANSK

So 8 years have passed since our detachment entered Slavyansk in the "April of hopes" of 2014.
Today, another participant in the defense of Slavyansk, the call sign "KAMAZ", died in Mariupol.

And, unfortunately, despite the fact that with an almost exactly 8 years delay, the Russian Federation openly intervened in the war (by forces "super-sufficient in the 14th", but extremely insufficient after 8 years) - the Victory is still as far away as in the summer of 2014. If not even further.
Looking at the idiotically ridiculous body movements of the Kremlin dwarves, I wonder:
"They are really waiting for the "twelve languages" to come to us again - to help the Ukrainians? Or maybe that's exactly what they want to quickly surrender and go down in History by the gravediggers of Russia and the Russian people? And they are so sweet about this coming role that they are morally ready to go to the tribunal of "dear Western partners" themselves?

Everything turned green in Donetsk. The most favorable weeks for the offensive are missed. There is no mobilization in the Russian Federation and is not yet expected. This means that in the NEXT FEW MONTHS YOU CAN NOT WAIT FOR VICTORY. It's good if at least there are no extremely offensive (and, most importantly, bloody) defeats for Russia.
 

pmc

Major
Registered Member
Well, I myself is not on EU's side. If Russians feel that they don't see EU-Russia relations as important or even beneficial their country, then all the power to them for cutting down ties.
i didnot said they not beneficial. i only said they are not important enough that prevent Russia for creating problems for EU that will ultimately undermine Europe and Euro.
This statement was made early 2013. i am sure there is scientific calculation behind it.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
Putin has said he wants to “catch the Chinese wind in our economic sail” and that desire will grow stronger if China overtakes the United States as the world’s largest economy during Xi’s 10-year term.

Again, we are talking about different things. Being a robust supplier of components, parts and designs is not the same as the provider of full final products.
i agree with this point. but Russians may prioritize manpower in building and upgrading Tu-160M2 or so many other special mission aircrafts and drones. that they thing selling passenger airliness are secondary priority for global markets. It all about the best utilization of labor to put most effective pressure on others.
they built very advanced version for open skies project so advanced that the whole treaty went away now this plane is repurposed for other surveillance roles. the point there is design provisions already to repurpose it. A country with weak engineering skills that depends on others cannot manage it.
1649815449246.png

For example, the Japanese semi-conductor industry was once a dominant and world leading all the way to final-product, their supply chain were pretty all domestic, except for the primary resources (petroleum and chemical ores). The US came in and basically destroyed it with a globalized distributed supply chain with pretty much 3 quarter of the industrialized world to finally subdued that robust Japanese industry. The US never gave Japan another chance, instead, they turn the Japanese into a upper stream component provider, forever locking Japan in this US dominated global supply chain.
Frankly Japan does not have much chance to be independent as its technological base is in narrrow fields and they are certainly not known for software. than you add declining population means not much surplus manpower to train for really complex battlefield.
Japan is also culturally isolated from large part of world.

This is what's going on with US led globalized aviation industry, that took part and design orders from Russia. Have you seen how much market Russian civilian final product (actual planes) lost to Boeing and Airbus.
they will come back to produce more civilian plane as they have the engineering talent .they already investing in aviation in fundamental way. complete engines all the way to titanium valley and composites.
other examples are not really relevant. France is emotionally attached to Airbus despite it has no control how many it can produce and to whom it can sell. when i say emotionally attached it means the decision is not based on sound logic. . same thing happened to Sweden due to its aerospace now we have Chinese Volvo. Dutch had foresight to get rid of Fokker. i think most of weakness in countries manufacturing is when they over invest in Aerospace and let every thing else fall apart.
I don't know, I hope you are right. We will see.
I myself is big fan of a good CAS. I used to search extensively for good concept/fantasy design of "updated" A-10 and Su-25.
I am just not sure if that's where the future is heading, but your argument seems sound.
We shall see from this war.
so far there is no proof that CAS aircraft utility is decreasing. infact they are the only one that sustain multiple sorties per day. i think Su-25SM3 are simple and not too tall like Flankers. much easy to prepare for sortie.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top