Great points, I would counter though that NATO has spent the last 60 years formulating a strategy to take out the old traditional system that the Russians have had for so many years so perhaps reforms were needed.
Even historically, armies needed NCOs to allow unit cohesion, who knows what other lessons this war might reveal.
Well that’s a great point as well. It’s always an evolutionary race between both sides. Just as NATO worked on how to fight the Soviets and then Russians, so too did the Russians work on how to fight NATO.
A big factor in why the VKS has performed so far below expectations (even if most expectations were probably unrealistic to start with) was because it was tailored to fight NATO first and foremost. They didn’t need 90% of their frontline combat aircraft to be multirole because against NATO, it would be a win if they can keep NATO aircraft from attacking their ground troops.
The BTU shift was also tailored to fight NATO. They were designed to use focused firepower to punch through NATO tank lines of superior tanks using numerical and firepower superiority, and then leverage their mobility to flank and stay away from NATO heavy armour and cut them off from supply and logistics so they can be pinned in place and pounded to oblivion by massed artillery from a safe distance.
The concept itself was sound, and was used to great effect in 2014 and in Syria. The problem was that Russia didn’t want to invest in the hardware or the training that made BTU what they are across the board, instead just re-structured existing formations to resemble BTUs with existing equipment and limited retraining on how to fight effectively under the new structure.
So is it any wonder they ran into all sorts of problems when they used those watered down BTUs like proper BTUs and expected them to perform like proper BTUs?
Also, I think it was unwise to convert all your core frontline combat strengths into BTUs even if they had the time and money to do it properly.
BTUs are the tip of the spear. You still need the rest of the spear to fight effectively!
Had they properly reformed and committed to the investment needed to make their army into proper BTUs, they would have been fine. How they focused on only converting the part of the army they could have afforded to into BTUs and used the rest of the army to properly support those elite units, they would have been fine.
The Chinese saw the problems with the way the Russians did their BTU modernisation in the limited joint exercises they did together. But the Russians themselves didn’t see the dangers because they rigged all their exercises. From army games to tank biathlon, it was always the Russians who won every time. Now Russian soldiers are paying with their lives because of that earlier arrogance.
And before we pile in too much on the Russians, I think NATO isn’t much better when it comes to arrogance.
China is improving in leaps and bounds because they don’t care who it is that does something better. So long as it is indeed better, than it is worth learning from, no matter if it’s the Russians or Americans or Japanese or even Indians.
When was the last time anyone from the west pointed to something Russia, or god forbid, China does better and say, wow, we can really learn from that! And actually learn from it and make major changes to the way they do things?
Just as this war is turning into a painful learning experience, I think the same would be true for NATO if they go head to head against Russia or China in direct combat.