Ukrainian War Developments

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semiconprof

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Bill Blazo said:
The cause of the ship's destruction matters to some extent, but at the end of the day this is downright embarrassing for the Russians regardless of why it happened (on-board accident, artillery strike, ballistic missile strike, whatever). It just speaks to the fact that they've been disorganized and confused about what they're doing since day one. Why is Ukrainian artillery still allowed to hit targets that far? Where is the Russian Air Force? Vacationing in Sochi? A month into the conflict and the Russians are still not going in there with overwhelming and concentrated force. They've dispersed and divided their troops across multiple fronts, and are now finding it hard to even capture Mariupol (at this point one may honestly doubt if they'll ever capture it, although they'll probably get it). It just feels like amateur hour. The Russians have seriously damaged their strategic credibility with this campaign, because in the West the Russian army has become a laughingstock. And some of that is definitely deserved, though not all. It's just crazy.
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I would venture to guess that Russia kept a large part,, and possibly some of their best force in reserve in case NATO decides a direct military intervention. Yes, the force Russia sent in Ukraine is kind of embarrassing but so far they are still taking over the Ukrainian territory bit by bit. The first Sino-Vietnam War could be the appropriate analogy here.
 
SampanViking

SampanViking

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Overbom said:
Russia has also not committed enough troops

For example their progress to Odessa has been stalled mostly because they lack manpower.

Firepower, force multipliers are all good and nice, but in the end you need warm bodies in an invasion. Putin most probably doesn't want to send conscripts in this "special military operation"
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I suspect that Odessa will be one of the final acts of the Special Military Operation, undertaken when the Russians are able to really concentrate their firepower and the Ukrainian army barely still existing as an operational force.
 
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pmc

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KYli said:
It is going to hurt but Japan can survive without Russian gas. On the other hand, many countries in EU would have an economy meltdown if Russian gas is turned off.
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Japan has alot of wishfull thinking. It does not understand overdependencies and price gouging that will happen to it.
These Middleastern countries support directly and indirectly 1.5b muslims with fastest population growth. thats the reason Hindu India prefer Russian energy. Persian gulf will atleast give some first take clause to Europe due to growing immigrant populaton in Europe but they will absolutely ravage country like Japan. Even the European companies that will lose money due to trade war with Russia will price gouge Japan globally.

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Rettam Stacf

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Richard Santos said:
Zelensky is actually smart to exclude China when pointing fingers because:

1. While EU and Russia might point fingers to each other regarding who should pay for Ukraine’s reconstruction, Chinese firms will likely get a good deal of the contracts whoever pays. Unlike with many other countries, Chinese government has a good deal to say about the deals its companies can offer. Being on china’s good side means whoever pays, the money might go considerably further.

2. You only point fingers at people who are firmly in either camp. You point finger at your friends because you know they will still remain your friends. You point fingers at your enemies because they are your enemies already. Pointing a finger at people sitting on the fence is the kind of stupid idiotic overweeningly self righteous thing that most only America does. Ukraine may have acted stupidly all along, but clearly they still have a little ways to go before they can be that stupid.
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Agree with 1. & 2. But like to add a third point.

3. Ukraine knows direct talk with Russia is not getting anywhere. China is the only nation that is acceptable by both side to be the mediator, and can get Russia to moderate her terms.
 
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Atomicfrog

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supersnoop said:
Probably at least 15 years ago now, I was watching vehicle techs in Pet work on a M113 used for ADATS, lots of black smoke was coming from the exhaust. If it's still around, I'm sure the CF is willing to give it to Zelensky, lol.
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1% of Canadians main battle tanks is less than one tank anyway... same for the fighter planes, transport planes and helicopters... lol ! But we can group all our stuff and pick something like a twin otters or a snowmobile? We can give them a LavIII or two if we are not too greedy, they can get them with the Turkey A400M that they have in Kiev.
 
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