Ukrainian War Developments

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windsclouds2030

Senior Member
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Presume you never had war in your country.

Germans did it in example budapest, this strategy expecting that either the enemy willing to kill the civilians, or the city is foreign for the "defenders" without any emoitonal connection.


It will devastating the city and kill many innocent. Nothing else .

Of course it is good for the USA , pleanty of profit opportunity : D

Profit forever !!
And best of all, more than every other advantages... brilliant for war propaganda!

Remember the largest PSYOPS is under progress.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Just as I expected. Great time to make more money for China. In fact, I have a crazy idea.
1. Buy Russian gas. Negotiate with the Russians for a cheaper price (say a 20% discount)
2. Call EU leaders. Tell them that China is willing to sell gas to EU to solve their problems. Give them a 5% discount if they are somehow nice.
3. Sell Russian gas to EU.
4. Make profit without actually doing much.
The only risk of this plan is that the US may expose the trade. To mange that risk, China can import as much gas as it can excavate daily and sell it to EU. Just claim that it is from SCS or something.
you gotta think like a murican:

"China is doing high value added activity by taking the risk of liquefying, storing and transporting the natural gas. If you could do it you would but you can't so you don't. That is why this gas is being sold at merely a 10% premium. Others are asking for even more."
 

Anlsvrthng

Captain
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Time definitely benefits China. Time allows for the GDP ratio to improve, for military modernisation to improve, for comparative technological progress to improve, for greater economic resilience and self-suffiency.
If you expect the USA to be stationary and doesn't react/act that could put China into disadvantage over time.

Example the grinding strategy , that seeking to hurt piece by piece china, like small but significatn sanctions in areas unprepared for it, meantime reallocating supliers to "trusted/safe"countries.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Chinese and Russian aircraft rely heavily on western components which are internationally certified. These will dry up.
I know that 3rd party OEM equivalent parts are often used in refurbished semiconductor equipment. Is there a possibility of that for aircraft if foreign certification isn't necessary?
 

Lethe

Captain
If you expect the USA to be stationary and doesn't react/act that could put China into disadvantage over time.

Example the grinding strategy , that seeking to hurt piece by piece china, like small but significatn sanctions in areas unprepared for it, meantime reallocating supliers to "trusted/safe"countries.

Washington sees a world that is gradually slipping out of its hands, largely (but not solely) due to the rise of China. The US is trying to tighten its grip, but is limited by what is politically palatable both domestically and abroad. There are measures that even American lapdogs like Australia would currently find unpalatable. The only way Washington can avert this gradual loss of control is to engineer a severe disruptive shock to the system that allows it to "reset the board" while it still maintains superiority across a number of domains, and to do so soon. The Ukrainian crisis has already allowed Washington to put an end to any future prospect of European-Russian harmonisation and thereby any prospect of Europe as an independent strategic actor (the EU being a potential challenger to American hegemony). Washington is now doing its best to draw China into this geostrategic conflagration because doing so offers the best prospects for assembling a coalition of wealthy nations willing to suffer the costs of a total break with China and thereby to seriously deflect the current transition of power that is underway. Just as Washington is trying to engineer such a crisis, Beijing's goal is also clear: play for time. China has nothing to gain from becoming more deeply involved in this crisis, and much to lose.
 
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pmc

Major
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Chinese and Russian aircraft rely heavily on western components which are internationally certified. These will dry up.
Russia has maintainance facilities and they have experience with EASA certificate.
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IL96/TU-204 not rely on western parts. This year new IL-96 roll out happening.
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The main production programs of the enterprise were discussed, the main place among which is the production of the Il-96-300 civil airliner and work on the new long-range passenger wide-body aircraft Il-96-400M, which is expected to be rolled out this year. At the same time, the assembly of two experimental light military transport aircraft Il-112V continues.
 

windsclouds2030

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By Elijah J. Magnier @ejmalrai -- a Veteran War Journalist for more than 35 years, own blog at
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Elijah J. Magnier, Veteran War Journalist for more than 35 years 1500x500.jpg

DAY 19 OF THE US - RUSSIA WAR ON UKRAINIAN SOIL:


In over dozens of wars I have covered, I have never seen so much disinformation campaign, speculation and false narratives from "experts" producing so much information with no access of any fact whatsoever of the ground.

Elijah J. Magnier - Day 19 of the US - Russia War on Ukrainian Soil - Disinfo #1.jpg
Elijah J. Magnier - Day 19 of the US - Russia War on Ukrainian Soil - Disinfo #2.jpg
Elijah J. Magnier - Day 19 of the US - Russia War on Ukrainian Soil - Disinfo #3.jpg

Elijah J. Magnier - Day 19 of the US - Russia War on Ukrainian Soil - Disinfo #4.jpg
This is how it is working:

Brainwash everybody with an avalanche of information so you sound like an expert and get thousands of followers a day and become "the expert" on "Russia weakness and incapability to occupy Ukraine in one single day".

An example of the narrative:

1. " Russia failed to occupy Kyiv (or Kiev) in two days."

A country, Ukraine, with over 600,000 km2, bigger than France, Belgium and Hollande together; or bigger than Syria and Iraq, should have been occupied in two days according to experts. [Btw, Ukraine is No. 2 largest country in Europe by land area -- according to
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ranks #45 with total area over 600,000 km2 and 43+ million population ]

And after starting with this hypothesis of "failing to occupy Kyiv in 2 days", everything else is based on the first personal misleading disinformation.

2. "Russia failed to advance or register any progress on the ground."

Why the Ukrainians are negotiating then?

I can stay here all day writing about hundreds of examples of false narratives and hypotheses "experts" are building upon their narrative, and many according "to US officials" who are the leaders of this false propaganda against Russia, but won't waste my time and yours.

BOTTOM LINE:

1. Ukraine army has been trained by the US and NATO since 2015.

2. US failure to respect its verbal promise to keep NATO away from the former Soviet Union countries is behind US-Russia clash. Surf the net decades back and you'll find all the warnings since 1997.

3. The US has been provoking Russia to a fight in a third country (Georgia and Ukraine) and supplying weapons to Ukraine after studying the kind of war Russia could start and which forces it can inject into the battle.

4. US and NATO supply Ukraine with adequate weapons to keep Russia the longest possible in the country by mounting guerrilla warfare with anti-tank missiles. Normal because Ukrainian air force and military capability as a classical army were defeated from day two.

5. Russia used gloves in the 1st weeks of this war on many fronts, not on others, and reached Kyiv in 2 days when the US & coalition needed 21 days to occupy Iraq, a country with no support, under heavy sanctions, no resources, no friends & people supported Saddam Hussein's fall

6. Because the US objective to break Russia's prestige regardless of the number of Ukrainian killed, Moscow is changing its military tactics and starting different tactics to compensate its first softer one.

7. Still Russia prefers to end this war negotiating with minimum losses to all

8. If Ukraine leadership has lost the control over their decision that has been totally under the US's thumb (as Afghanistan president self-description of how he has become before being abandoned by the US), then the war will continue and more people will be killed.

9. Why I spoke, and continue speaking, from day one about the false narrative? Because it is a déja vu in other wars triggered by the US in other parts of the world where mainstream media stands behind the misinformation campaign and loses its credibility. Nothing new really.

Many people are lazy, unwilling to look for the reality and find it difficult to understand what triggered this war because everybody is saying "Putin has gone mad". So it is easy to whitewash the US role and not ask:


WHY DOES EUROPE NEED NATO EXPANSION?

WHY EU NEEDS NUCLEAR BOMBS?


Having an army (NATO) with $2.3 BILLION budget paid by many nations is having a US-led army in EU equipped with nuclear to challenge EU states calling for their independence and Russia if challenging the US hegemony. That is what this war on Ukraine soil is all about and nothing else.
 
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56860

Senior Member
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I hope the reddit upvotes were worth it
 
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