Trade War with China

Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou faces extradition to the United States. What will happen next? What are the likely scenarios for the case?

The next legal steps are as follows. The United States has 60 days from Ms. Meng's detention on December 1 in Vancouver to file a formal extradition request with the Canadian authorities. Then Canada's Justice Department would have 30 more days to weigh the request. If Canada's government approves it, the extradition case would be heard in a Canadian court. The court would decide its next course of action purely on the basis of evidence presented in court. So, there are three possible scenarios.

First, the US formally sends its extradition request to Canada but the Canadian government rejects it. Second, Canada accepts the request. A trial for extradition begins and goes on for months. It's possible that after a long legal battle, the court may rule in the Huawei CFO's favor due to lack of credible evidence. And finally the third scenario: The court approves the request of extradition to the US. Still, even if extradition is granted, Meng would have several options to appeal the verdict in Canada. And this again would take several months.

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plawolf said:

The savy move was to grant her bail. Taking her in the first place was the height of petty shortsighted stupidity.

This is turning into the classic American extortion tactic of first creating a problem and then offering to resolve it in exchange for concessions that Americans thinks is negotiating.

You won’t hear it in the western MSM, but such brazen thuggishness only serves to undermine American credibility around the world.

In future, I would wager US allies are at a minimum going to do background checks on any US arrest request to make sure they don’t get suckered into another American hostage grab.

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hkbc said:

The thing is they still have to either extradite her or let her go, if they let her go then as Canada is a "rule of law" country you could see the deflamation, false imprisonment, loss of earnings or any of a litany of lawsuits fly against Canada its not as if she doesn't have the money!

If they extradite her it will be a show trial

And the circus will roll on, sure the MSM won't be televising that blockbuster, the Savvy move was hers by asking for a gagging order.

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plawolf said:

Sovereign immunity means governments cannot be sued.

You might be able to sue the prosecutor, but only if there was some serious procedural and/or ethical breaches in how they prosecuted the case and/or why they brought it. But there seems slim hopes of there even being grounds to sue on either count to pass even a preliminary hearing.

It is reported that it can take up to 12 years to fully exhaust all legal avenues if both sides exercise all their available appeals and challenges. So this won’t end quickly unless either the US or Canadian governments let it end quickly.

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AndrewS said:

My view is that it will be dependent on the trade deal. We already saw this with the ZTE episode. And Trump has publicly suggested she be part of the 90day trade deal.

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sleepy said:

Detaining 2 measly Canadians is not enough. To shellshock Canada back to its sense, probably need to arrest far more Canadians and with strong possibility of death sentences.

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sleepy said:

Different than ZTE because the forcefully taken ZTE official by US carried with him sensitive documents related to Iran transactions. ZTE cannot deny anymore. Those documents should have never carried oversea.

Huawei taken precautions, meng on purpose does not travel to US anymore and most likely won't carry sensitive Huawei document US needed. So, Huawei can just keep on denying it.

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AndrewS said:

I'm not referring to the legal technicalities.

This will just be part of the deal, because China wants Huawei to be let off.

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