The other thread is a bit crowded, but here are some updates from this one:
This offensive was called off after the volley they took in the previous days, as a vanguard being mangled in three points, Avdiivka, Oleksandrivka and by Ivanivka - remember the story of the Russians being surrounded by the AFU at Kherson then - especially the first one. If they launched a large-scale offensive, the result would be the same but on a large scale.
As for the general scenario, there's nowhere to run anyway. The Russians are attacking any and all defensive points in Ukraine in a way that has never been seen before, as in Pisky, which is being reported between 600-1700 Russian artillery hits there, imagine what must happen in Avdiivka, Siversk and others. I imagine that the Russians should attempt a full-scale offensive, making a pincer near Donetsk, after completing pincer operations at Avdiivka, coming through Zaporizhzhia, probably against Huliapole and Ochikiv. Kherson will depend on the fragility of the AFU troops, but I imagine that fragile or not, the Russians will still attack.
The Russians in recent days have been infiltrating Ka-52 helicopters, attacking the AFU's rear with "P305" missiles, in addition to Su-25s, in supply depots and command posts. This makes no sense if the Russians are going to maintain the status quo to fight only in Donetsk. Yesterday, Ka-52 and Su-25 attacked more than 15 km behind the lines in the direction of Kryvyv Rih.
Yesterday the DPR claimed that its troops managed to take the trenches at Maryinka, southeast of the city. This is the second largest stronghold in the AFU, so it shows me that the defenses around the Donestk are starting to collapse. Currently, Maryinka and Pirsky are being directly assaulted, while Adviinvka is being bypassed in two directions. I think Pirsky should fall from here to tomorrow, it's time for the AFU to completely withdraw from these positions.
Yesterday's Update:
There are also advances towards Novoluhansk, Soledar and Bakhmut on the northern axis. There are only two regions where the Russians are not conducting active ground operations, which are in Kharkiv and Kherson/Mykolaiv/Kryvyv Rih.
Apparently, the Russians would be carrying out offensive operations in the city of Husarivka. If the Russians are invading this region, it could be an indication that the Russians are trying to get past the AFU defenses around Velyka Komyshuvakha and try again to reach Barvinkove, which was the primary objective in the Izyum theater for some time, until the things go differently in Severodonetsk. The importance of reaching this city is to invade Slavyansk's line of defense from another flank, from West-East and also to be able to go to other new fronts, such as advancing against Pavlovgrad and even Dnipro.
Another axis could be to move from East-West and invade the AFU defenses that are facing North, in Kharkiv, on the south bank of the Donets River.
The Russians are moving more and more equipment to Kherson, especially Msta batteries for the positions. Sounds like a massive offensive by Kherson to me.
I already suspected that