The War in the Ukraine

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Stealthflanker

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Those seems to remain useful in Black Sea tho. as recce asset and maybe limited strike. Russians seems to not have increased the rate of air operations.
 
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FADH1791

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Looks like Zolotoye is encircled. If that frontline falls then the Russians can attack Lyschansk from the south dooming the Ukrainian forces there. It’s rumored there is about 25k fighters in Lyschansk. Plus there is movement towards Bakmut. The fighting the past few days has been intense and Ukrainian resistance is slowly collapsing. I wonder if we are any close to mutiny within the Ukrainian military as they are facing horrific losses, poor leadership and supply issues.
 
Fedupwithlies

Fedupwithlies

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RottenPanzer

RottenPanzer

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FADH1791 said:
Looks like Zolotoye is encircled. If that frontline falls then the Russians can attack Lyschansk from the south dooming the Ukrainian forces there. It’s rumored there is about 25k fighters in Lyschansk. Plus there is movement towards Bakmut. The fighting the past few days has been intense and Ukrainian resistance is slowly collapsing. I wonder if we are any close to mutiny within the Ukrainian military as they are facing horrific losses, poor leadership and supply issues.
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There has been some "mutinies" of AFU in the past few weeks, even tho they were pretty sporadic and only a handful and at best dozens of soldiers that mutinied, even then, it's happening

Recent southfront report analysing the progress of Russian forces throughout the front, tho some of the informations has been few days late

 
RottenPanzer

RottenPanzer

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Heard a report that Russian Pantsir and Tor Air Defense Systems were destroyed during the recent Ukrainian attack on Snake island, anyone could further confirm this information?
 
supercat

supercat

Major
Please provide relevant commentary or thoughtful analysis to accompany articles or URLs.

The Return of Industrial Warfare​

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In short, US annual artillery production would at best only last for 10 days to two weeks of combat in Ukraine. If the initial estimate of Russian shells fired is over by 50%, it would only extend the artillery supplied for three weeks.
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Conclusion​

The war in Ukraine demonstrates that war between peer or near-peer adversaries demands the existence of a technically advanced, mass scale, industrial-age production capability. The Russian onslaught consumes ammunition at rates that massively exceed US forecasts and ammunition production. For the US to act as the arsenal of democracy in defence of Ukraine, there must be a major look at the manner and the scale at which the US organises its industrial base. This situation is especially critical because behind the Russian invasion stands the world’s manufacturing capital – China. As the US begins to expend more and more of its stockpiles to keep Ukraine in the war, China has yet to provide any meaningful military assistance to Russia. The West must assume that China will not allow Russia to be defeated, especially due to a lack of ammunition. If competition between autocracies and democracies has really entered a military phase, then the arsenal of democracy must first radically improve its approach to the production of materiel in wartime.
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