The War in the Ukraine

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
The key point here is not that Ukraine can go on the offensive from time to time, it's that these offensives are getting smaller and smaller.

They are expending limited reserves and widening the front makes it worst. They placed all their marbles on this which means if the Russians heat up their offensives on other fronts, they won't have the reserves to plug it. Right now Pokrovsk, Seversk, Ugledar, Konstantinovka, Torestk, Chasiv Yar, Synkovka are starting to look serious, and the defenses around Pokrovsk are collapsing.

On another note, I saw a video claiming Russia is now able to use Iskander strikes against much more time sensitive targets due to improved automation and communication in their chain of command. How much truth is there to this?

They reduced it from six hours to under two minutes.

On to other stuff.

Details on the fatal botched Ukrainian operations in Crimea. Actual video of the event isn't passable due to the floating bodies around.

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FAB-3000 delivered to a Ukrainian target in the Kursk-Sumy region.

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Russian MoD released footage on Iskander strike on a Ukrainian command point that eliminated 4 AFU senior officers.

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The command post of the 22nd Mechanized Brigade of the AFU gets hit in the border by an Iskander-M. Allegedly 15 personnel or officers were killed.

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Su-34 launching FABs on Ukrainian forces in Kursk region and Su-25 spreading their NARS.


Ukrainian D-30 howitzer and Baba Yaga control point destroyed by Krasnopol strikes from the 2nd Artillery Brigade. This unit operates in the Seversk sector.


Ukrainian convoy ambushed by ATGMs and drone strikes in the Kursk front.


Ukrainian tank advancing on the road hits a mine disastrously. Gorlovka in the Torestk direction.


Hero Russian BTR-82A delivers it's mission fast and furious despite heavy fire. Reactions on the background are Ukrainian and footage originally uploaded on Ukrainian channels. This in Urozhayne when it was still in Ukrainian hands and under Russian assault.


Footage on seven Ukrainian sea drones attempting a raid on Sevastopol but gets intercepted and destroyed.

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Captured Marder being examined before towing back to Russia.

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Russians recaptured Martynovka in the Kursk front.

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Ukrainian recovery vehicle towing a severely damaged Maxxpro MRAP. Kursk front.

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Ukrainians still moving reinforcements in, but they are greeted with the destroyed remnants of those previously there.

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Akhmat commander Apti commenting on the situation and confirms recapture of Martynovka. Akhmat units are in Sudzha and fighting there.

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Ukrainian armored group gets a missile strike.

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Tornado-S firing 9M544 missiles at the Kursk front.

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Damaged M1126 Stryker being recovered by Ukrainians in the Kursk region.

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Damaged Russian BMP-1U being restored by repair company. It's a reminder that not everything claimed destroyed is permanently destroyed.

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Iranian made OF-482M shells for the M-46 in the front.

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Another Ka-52 might have been lost. Heck this is a war.

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A French VAB APC being recovered and towed away from the Kursk front after hitting a mine. These vehicle recoveries point to significant losses of equipment in the offensive.

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Su-30SM and Su-35S appear to be dropping FABs with UMPK on Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region. A good development for the Russians as they no longer have all their bombing eggs in the Su-34. Still needs the Su-25 to drop UMPK though.

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New batch of Su-30SM2 being delivered.

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Ukrainian dam in Petropavlovka gets hit by an X-38ML missile.

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ODAB-500 on a Ukrainian position of undisclosed location.

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A Maxxpro is taken out in the Kursk region by drone strike.

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Mi-28NM in action over the Kursk region.

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Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
On another note, I saw a video claiming Russia is now able to use Iskander strikes against much more time sensitive targets due to improved automation and communication in their chain of command. How much truth is there to this?
This is true. I have heard that the decision to use Iskander missiles is made by the commander of the highest level of the force. Only he can authorize the use of Iskander. The Russian doctrine uses the concept of reconnaissance fire system (
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), which is an integrated system for identifying and striking the enemy's most important ground targets so that they can be immediately destroyed as soon as they are detected by strategic-level (satellites) or operational-level (reconnaissance with drones, special forces, and imagery and signals intelligence) means.

The targets are attacked by operational-level weapons systems (ballistic missiles or tactical aviation). The system therefore includes reconnaissance and destruction means (precision weapons), electronic suppression, cyber interference, and command and control.

The center of all this information is the National Defense and Control Center (
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). All the information is circulated, from an A-50, ship, aircraft, drones, satellites, etc. The information collected goes to the NDCC, which is in the group of forces (C2 centers of each Military District/Group of Forces), enters the system and circulates there. It is believed that a megacomputer does all the information screening, with algorithms that direct what each person needs to know.

What has changed since the beginning of the war is that the Russians have now started to
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the Iskander in the ROC concept, which explains the very rapid attacks on sensitive targets during the past year and especially this year. Therefore, an Iskander unit can now obtain all the information from the operational and strategic level assets to carry out the attack with the missiles, this has allowed to shorten the chain of command and reduce the time between the detection of the target and the attack.
 

Soldier30

Senior Member
Registered Member
The Ukrainian army has published footage of the entry of military units into the Kursk region of Russia on August 6. The video shows a battle with a Russian stronghold and shows destroyed Ukrainian equipment and a military medical service vehicle. The Ukrainian army is bringing up reserves, and the Russian army is doing the same. In the video, you can also see the evacuation of a Ukrainian VAB armored personnel carrier in the Kursk region and the evacuation of an International Maxxpro armored vehicle by an M88A2 Hercules repair and recovery vehicle. In some cases, the evacuation is carried out without hindrance. The Ukrainian army has begun to dig in in the Kursk region and is bringing up heavy equipment. According to experts, if the situation does not change within a week, the fighting will turn into a positional war and will drag on for a long time. Against this background, rumors have emerged about the need for a new wave of mobilization in Russia, officials deny its necessity. But according to experts, the 1,500 km long front line, the entry of Ukrainian troops into the Kursk region and the threat to the Bryansk region indicate that there is a shortage of 700,000 personnel, especially units with drones.

 

sheogorath

Major
Registered Member
This stroke of genius could have only come out of a NATO officer's brain. Only they could be so naive as to think "We should invade Russia, because throughout the centuries an invasion of Russian land was a surefire way to have people turn away from their leadership!"

I remember some commandant or another, many decades ago, earnestly thought that if they sieged Moscow "the whole rotten thing would come crashing down" and the Soviets would totally surrender. Just to end with his country split in two.

It has become a tradition at this point.
 

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
Earlier today, a Ukrainian MANPADS team downed a Russian Ka-52 attack helicopter over Kursk Oblast.

First day:
Second day:
Third day:

Thread on the status of stored BTRs in mid-2024 with the collaboration of @CovertCabal. Some trends starting to appear in storage bases regarding older BTRs, and they are very interesting.
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2. Statistics related to territory, according to @malcontentmentT per Russian sources:

- Width of penetration (along internationally recognized border): 59 km
- Depth of breach (confirmed in AFU control): Up to 21 km
- Depth of contested space: Up to 41 km
- Area under control (conquered) AFU: 531 km2
- Area contested: 270 km2
- Total area contested and conquered by AFU: 801 km2

In 4 and a half days (data collected by 13:00) AFU conquered more land than it lost in 4 months: 531 km2 conquered vs 514 km2 lost in April-May-June-July 2024.
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Kursk Offensive Day 5 Update
10 AUG 2024 03:30 PDT

Yellow Zone is Russian claimed

Breach: 58.9 km
Depth: up to 21.2 km
Ukraine control: 531 sq km (high confidence)
Gray area: another 270 sq km
Total area: 801 sq km
 

RedBaron

New Member
Registered Member
⚔️The Russian Army has stopped the advance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the north of the Kursk region and is repelling attempts at breakthroughs, - New York Times
▪️Although attempts by individual units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to advance further into the depths of the Kursk region are still ongoing, Russian troops are managing to restrain them.
▪️Analysts from the Black Bird Group (analyzing satellite images and social media content from the battlefield) note that if in the first 3 days from the start of the offensive it was possible to observe “light successes” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces near Sudzha and border villages, now the offensive has stopped and “they are becoming visible consequences of the Russian response."
▪️Russia also announces an improvement in the situation on the ground and the repulsion of attempts by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to break into the depths of the region.
❗️ At the same time, the newspaper writes, the offensive of Russian troops in the areas of Chasov Yar, Toretsk and Pokrovsk does not stop - on the contrary, in recent days the Russians have announced new tactical successes.

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⚔️Russian Army Launches Operation to Encircle Ukrainian Armed Forces in Kharkiv Oblast
▪️This is stated in new panicked reports from Ukrainian military analysts.
▪️Russian troops have advanced in the areas of Stelmakhovka and Peschanoye in the direction of Oskol in the Kupyansk direction and are trying to encircle the Ukrainian Armed Forces groups holding positions in the area of these settlements.
➖"The Russians are trying to encircle the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces near Stelmakhovka and Peschanoye. North of the latter settlement, the enemy will try to reach the heights to the north after encirclement, which will give them new opportunities for further advance on Kolesnikovka," writes the Deep State resource working for the GUR in a recently published report.

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⚠️ The results of the fourth day of hostilities in the Kursk Direction

Since the beginning of the AFU's operation in the Kursk Oblast, they have been able to capture an area equivalent 412km2 (-30km2 compared to yesterday). The losses incurred since the beginning of the operation for the AFU consists of:

1,120 personnel
140 armoured vehicles, including 22 tanks, 20 APCs, 8 IFVs, 88 AFVs
2 engineering vehicles
13 motor vehicles
2 medium ranged air defence systems
6 field artillery pieces and 1 MLRS system

The Russian Armed Forces are beginning to push back against the AFU and reducing the ability of their DRGs to pierce through defences, however, this has not yet stopped.

✅ The situation is not yet in Russian favour, the balance is changing. Near Malaya Lokyna and Sudzha, the AFU was forced to roll back. Additional attacks towards Rylsk were stopped.

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Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
⚔️The Russian Army has stopped the advance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the north of the Kursk region and is repelling attempts at breakthroughs, - New York Times
▪️Although attempts by individual units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to advance further into the depths of the Kursk region are still ongoing, Russian troops are managing to restrain them.
▪️Analysts from the Black Bird Group (analyzing satellite images and social media content from the battlefield) note that if in the first 3 days from the start of the offensive it was possible to observe “light successes” of the Ukrainian Armed Forces near Sudzha and border villages, now the offensive has stopped and “they are becoming visible consequences of the Russian response."
▪️Russia also announces an improvement in the situation on the ground and the repulsion of attempts by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to break into the depths of the region.
❗️ At the same time, the newspaper writes, the offensive of Russian troops in the areas of Chasov Yar, Toretsk and Pokrovsk does not stop - on the contrary, in recent days the Russians have announced new tactical successes.

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⚔️Russian Army Launches Operation to Encircle Ukrainian Armed Forces in Kharkiv Oblast
▪️This is stated in new panicked reports from Ukrainian military analysts.
▪️Russian troops have advanced in the areas of Stelmakhovka and Peschanoye in the direction of Oskol in the Kupyansk direction and are trying to encircle the Ukrainian Armed Forces groups holding positions in the area of these settlements.
➖"The Russians are trying to encircle the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces near Stelmakhovka and Peschanoye. North of the latter settlement, the enemy will try to reach the heights to the north after encirclement, which will give them new opportunities for further advance on Kolesnikovka," writes the Deep State resource working for the GUR in a recently published report.

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⚠️ The results of the fourth day of hostilities in the Kursk Direction

Since the beginning of the AFU's operation in the Kursk Oblast, they have been able to capture an area equivalent 412km2 (-30km2 compared to yesterday). The losses incurred since the beginning of the operation for the AFU consists of:

1,120 personnel
140 armoured vehicles, including 22 tanks, 20 APCs, 8 IFVs, 88 AFVs
2 engineering vehicles
13 motor vehicles
2 medium ranged air defence systems
6 field artillery pieces and 1 MLRS system

The Russian Armed Forces are beginning to push back against the AFU and reducing the ability of their DRGs to pierce through defences, however, this has not yet stopped.

✅ The situation is not yet in Russian favour, the balance is changing. Near Malaya Lokyna and Sudzha, the AFU was forced to roll back. Additional attacks towards Rylsk were stopped.

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Russian forces will need to man the border more strongly and ISR assets need to be used to stop that kind of incursion, it's not 30 soldiers in a lone truck, it was quite a big force involved. They have done well to do that build up without getting detected before attacking.
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
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