The War in the Ukraine

iBBz

Junior Member
Registered Member
Russia starting to scrape the barrel for working tanks.

Interesting that Oryx recorded around 700 Russian tank losses since October which isn't far off the amount removed from storage in that time.


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This is not a proper analysis. It is nonsense. Just because something moved from the spot you are monitoring, does not mean it has been moved to replace a lost asset. This is why modern analysts are considered a joke, because they rely on tech too much, and they are arrogant enough to confuse presumptions with facts. It could be the vehicles were deemed unfit for modernization and got scrapped. It could be they are getting modernized or simply entered combat as support units. It could be they are being used to train the new recruits. It could also be the Russian MOD has decided to modernize their reserves and store them somewhere more safe from satellite imagery, or it could be a move to confuse these so called analysts. The American obsession with satellite imagery knows no bounds. They think they know everything by looking at the world from tens of km above, like a Greek god. And he has the nerve to explicitly ask for money, too!


Russia bombed a children's oncology hospital this time

Not posting footage obviously, but have seen videos of quite a few of dead kid bodies being pulled out from the site

The specific part of the hospital targeted was the chemo wing.. Killing children suffering from cancer this time, that's a new low even for Russia.

Surely this will result in a successful conclusion of the special military operation

Are you sure you saw dead children? The news say 1 doctor and 1 civilian were killed, and 7 children were injured. Can you share the articles by any chance? Maybe I'm not looking in the right place. The Russian MOD says this is an interception gone wrong. This has happened many times before. The Ukrainian air defences are usually placed closer than usual to high value targets due to not having enough to cover large perimeters. Nevertheless, this is a very sad and unfortunate incident. No civilians deserve to be harmed as a result of any conflict.


Could the Russians consider using the Yak-130 to intercept drones like Ukraine's Yak-52 has been doing?

The Ukrainians are using Yaks, likely because they have no other options and are running out of air defence systems. The Russians; however, have many more air defence systems and many more options on the table.



The missile does not appear to be a Kh-101:
View attachment 132146
It looks much more like the AIM-120 used by NASAMS:
View attachment 132147
I think the PAC-3 is more unlikely due to the “wings”. The missile's tail and wings closely resemble the AIM-120. However, I certainly wouldn't rule it out as the sharpness of the image is insufficient to conclude anything.

Other:
View attachment 132150

Unfortunately, it is near impossible to make up the make and model of that missile, or whether it is an anti air or a ground attack missile.

Thats a hell of a lot of damage for a relatively small Aim-120
Air defence missiles can still cause serious damage to buildings. Kinetic energy is mv^2, so if the object is travelling at high speeds, it will still cause significant damage, and the area of the damage would be relatively large if the object is carrying a fragmentation warhead. both of these features are true for most modern air defence missiles, and for obvious reasons. Other factors include high rise buildings having glass walls and non structural walls to make up the compartments inside. Flammable objects could also be inside.
 
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Gloire_bb

Captain
Registered Member
The drones that are being used against Russia and mainly against the Russian interior fly at speeds of 90-180 km/h, I don't think they are slow enough for the Yak-130, with the ability to intercept low-altitude aerial targets in low rated speeds, the aircraft is an alternative solution that may be promising.

The idea of light attack aircraft against UAVs seems like a much less costly solution than using fighters to perform the same function, even if it is to use the R-73 or any other missile, as it would be freeing the Su-30SM and other aircraft capable of more important tasks, saving useful life and preserving the fuselage and reducing maintenance requirements for these aircraft, which reduces the expenses necessary to cover these operations. It's a win-win.
Everyone is so busy optimizing costs against performance as if the task is as good as solved, and burning refineries don't cost as dozens and hundreds of heavy fighter sorties each.
Light subsonic aircraft with limited fuel load, highly influenced by suspensions and lacking normal fighter sensor suit will just be limited in number of intercepts per sorties, especially if drones are well spread and require some search and identification each.
Also, as far as I understand, su-30sm don't have many other tasks now, as they're de facto moved away from the frontline service.
 

lucretius

Junior Member
Registered Member
This is not a proper analysis. It is nonsense. Just because something moved from the spot you are monitoring, does not mean it has been moved to replace a lost asset. This is why modern analysts are considered a joke, because they rely on tech too much, and they are arrogant enough to confuse presumptions with facts. It could be the vehicles were deemed unfit for modernization and got scrapped. It could be they are getting modernized or simply entered combat as support units. It could be they are being used to train the new recruits. It could also be the Russian MOD has decided to modernize their reserves and store them somewhere more safe from satellite imagery, or it could be a move to confuse these so called analysts. The American obsession with satellite imagery knows no bounds. They think they know everything by looking at the world from tens of km above, like a Greek god. And he has the nerve to explicitly ask for money, too!

He is simply counting tanks left in in Russia's storage bases. They could have been removed to be melted down for scrap for all we know, that's not the point. He's stating what is left and estimating the condition of them.
 

sheogorath

Major
Registered Member
There is this New York Times article that discusses the complicity of Americans executing unarmed Russian prisoners of war inside Ukraine, but it is hidden behind a paywall.

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The article tries to whitewash the american commander but the guy has been identified on Twitter and had multiple tweets bragging about killing every Russian he meets.
 

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
The Ukrainians are using Yaks, likely because they have no other options and are running out of air defence systems. The Russians; however, have many more air defence systems and many more options on the table.
They are doing a great job defending the country.
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Everyone is so busy optimizing costs against performance as if the task is as good as solved, and burning refineries don't cost as dozens and hundreds of heavy fighter sorties each.
Light subsonic aircraft with limited fuel load, highly influenced by suspensions and lacking normal fighter sensor suit will just be limited in number of intercepts per sorties, especially if drones are well spread and require some search and identification each.
Also, as far as I understand, su-30sm don't have many other tasks now, as they're de facto moved away from the frontline service.
The Su-30SM is carrying out tasks for Russian operational groups in Ukraine, likely shooting down ZSU reconnaissance drones. The task assigned to strategic rear air defense is being done mainly by helicopters, some SAMs and anti-aircraft artillery, the first two being divided to be used to carry out tasks for Russian operational groups, leaving few units available to hunt enemy drones that are launched against Russian territory.
 

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
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Ukraine and Poland Have Signed a Security Agreement: the Document Enables the Interception of Russian Missiles and Drones​

Poland will consider providing Ukraine with at least one additional MiG-29 squadron (minimum 14 fighter jets).

For the first time among the bilateral security agreements already signed, the document enables the interception of missiles and drones in our country's airspace fired in the direction of Poland.
The timing was as precise as possible.
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Russian strike takes out Ukrainian BMP-2.

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Ukrainian partisan activity takes out AFU or TCC vehicle in Odessa.

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Russian specialists extract parts from SCALP and Storm Shadow missiles.

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Israeli RADA MHR radar taken out by Lancet. The RADA was provided by Lithuania and is a modern GAN based AESA radar. This in the Kharkhiv front in the Liptsy area. MHR stands for Multi Hemispheric Radar. This, when used with SHORADS were meant to deal with threats like the Lancet. Unless the Lancet deals with it first.

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Ukrainian women fighting back trying to recover a man from being "volunteered" by the TCC.

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UMPB D-30SN hits a Ukrainian PVD in Kherson.

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Hideout used by Ukrainian troops taken out by a Krasnopol. Soldiers were tracked into the building. Kharkhiv front.

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Ukrainian crossing gets TOS'ed.

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Ukrainian engineering vehicle gets Krasnopoled by a MSTA-S.

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FAB arrivals on Ukrainian positions in the Kharkhiv front.

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Multiple missile strikes arriving on the Artem ammunition factory in Kiev. Air defense seems absent.

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Russians captured Yasnobrodovka. By the Center Group of Forces.

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Ukraine launches massive UAV attack on Russian cities but Russian AD alleges shooting them down.

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Fire breaks out in a Russian oil depot as a Ukrainian kamekaze drone arrives. Fire has been put out since. Volgograd region.

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2S4 Tyulpans working on Ukrainian fortifications in the Vremevsky direction.

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Another M777 becomes victim to a Lancet. And another. Both in the Kharkhiv front.

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This could be an Orlan observing a FAB strike but my bet is that it's lasing for X-38ML missiles hitting this Ukrainian PVD.

 
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