The War in the Ukraine

Tam

Brigadier
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Two Ukrainian armored columns assaulted Gorlovka, shelled by the Russian 132nd Brigade with devastating results.


This Mastiff has seen better days.


Russian BTR-82 under fire. Crew abandons it but as Russian tanks arrive at the position, crew gets back to the BTR and speeds away.


Ukrainian soldiers confused as to where that shot that knocked out their APC comes from. This is in the Soledar front.


M777 taken out by Lancet.


M777 struck in the Zaporozhye region.

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Spectacular kamekaze diving attack by Geran drone in the Kharkhiv region.

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Tam

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Analysis on that attempted interception of the Storm Shadow cruise missile by a Pantsir SAM battery.
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In any case I already posted about pieces of Storm Shadow in one of my previous posts, although we can't be sure if its the same one the Pantsyr shot down. I would be quite careful whether or not the video posted of the Pantsyr is actually of the incident and not something substituted for opsec reasons. I would also be careful if the Russians would release the exact specs of the Pantsyr in public as it would be used against it. As there are different versions of Pantsyrs there maybe undocumented or secret improvements among them as the system is gradually improved.

As for dealing with radar horizon issues, just put the AD radar on top of a building or hill.

On separate news added.

The VSU must be heavily moled if the Russians knew about such a meeting that they would target it with an Iskankder.


An Akasya taking out a Ukrainian ammo depot would have been using a Krasnopol.


The Russians must be pretty serious about this if they sic an Iskander missile into it, then sanitized it with TOS thermobarics. Aftermath of the Iskander strike at the Ukrainian bridgehead at the Antonovsky Bridge.


Ukrainian vehicles getting shelled at Bakhmut sector.


Take down of AN/TPQ-50 counterbattery radar by Lancet from the VDV.

 
D

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This is a big relief to me. Paywall, but tldr Ukrainian command's best-case goals for this year are to push Russia to the border of Crimea and then force them to accept cease fire and Ukraine getting some kind of western security guarantee in exchange for letting Russia keep Crimea.
I was very worried for a long time that Ukraine would look to reconquer Crimea if its counteroffensive succeeded, and that this could lead to a protracted but tense stalemeate and potentially nuclear use, or even worse the destabilization of Russia. But it looks like even in their best-case scenario they plan on letting the Russians keep it in exchange for favorable ceasefire terms. If this is accurate then China's interests are nearly fully secured here regardless of what happens.
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Geran strikes over Kharkhov.


Ka-52 kill.


Lancet strike at a heavily camouflaged Ukrainian howitzer.


UR-77 Meteorit mine clearing vehicle making a direct attack at Ukrainian positions. Such a big explosion maybe an indication it hit a local ammo depot.



Ukrainian tanks and shelters under artillery attack at Belgorovka.


DPR's Sparta Battalion hitting Ukrainian positions and mortar nests.

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Mirek

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This is a big relief to me. Paywall, but tldr Ukrainian command's best-case goals for this year are to push Russia to the border of Crimea and then force them to accept cease fire and Ukraine getting some kind of western security guarantee in exchange for letting Russia keep Crimea.
I was very worried for a long time that Ukraine would look to reconquer Crimea if its counteroffensive succeeded, and that this could lead to a protracted but tense stalemeate and potentially nuclear use, or even worse the destabilization of Russia. But it looks like even in their best-case scenario they plan on letting the Russians keep it in exchange for favorable ceasefire terms. If this is accurate then China's interests are nearly fully secured here regardless of what happens.

The Ukrainians are in for a nasty surprise if they think they’ll be able to dictate terms to the Russians at the negotiating table.
 

Anlsvrthng

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This is a big relief to me. Paywall, but tldr Ukrainian command's best-case goals for this year are to push Russia to the border of Crimea and then force them to accept cease fire and Ukraine getting some kind of western security guarantee in exchange for letting Russia keep Crimea.
I was very worried for a long time that Ukraine would look to reconquer Crimea if its counteroffensive succeeded, and that this could lead to a protracted but tense stalemeate and potentially nuclear use, or even worse the destabilization of Russia. But it looks like even in their best-case scenario they plan on letting the Russians keep it in exchange for favorable ceasefire terms. If this is accurate then China's interests are nearly fully secured here regardless of what happens.
Not the scenario matter, but the actual realistic possiblity.

It is like a plan, sounds like " I want to be millionaire, and if I will be there I will buy a yacht and so on".

The challange is not to describe the target, but to reach it.
 
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