The War in the Ukraine

TK3600

Major
Registered Member

TK3600

Major
Registered Member
It is finally happening after more than a year of heavy fighting. Ukraine made the rational decision of retreat. Might be better to retreat earlier but any later than this would be a disaster.

After freeing up much of troop in Bukmut for both sides, there is enough troop for next phase. Where will be target of next maneuver?
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
Hmm, seems that the 4 months long grinder in Bakhmut is coming to an end. The Ukrainians are blowing up their last positions in the city.

Are they blowing positions to make it easier to come back and retake Bakhmut ??? It will make rebuilding easier... or they try to trap Wagner troops?

If they continue defending, where they will go after blowing them up ?
 
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Dark Father

Junior Member
Registered Member
Are they blowing positions to make it easier to come back and retake Bakhmut ??? It will make rebuilding easier... or they try to trap Wagner troops?

If they continue defending, where they will go after blowing them up ?
Tactical reasons according to some sources on Twitter. I do not know what those ''tactical'' reasons are. Maybe they have stored weapons and other materiel in those buildings and now they are pulverizing them to prevent those weapons from falling in Russian hands?

 

baykalov

Senior Member
Registered Member
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Russian ground forces ‘bigger today’ than at start of the war in Ukraine

US European forces commander General Christopher Cavoli openly acknowledging that the US is coordinating plans for the upcoming Ukrainian offensive.

While Russia has suffered thousands of losses in its war against Ukraine, a senior US military commander in Europe told lawmakers Wednesday that they have plenty more firepower left in their arsenal.

“The Russian ground force has been degenerated somewhat by this conflict, although it is bigger today than it was at the beginning of the conflict,” Gen. Christopher Cavoli, the commander of US European Command, told the House Armed Services Committee.

“The Air Force has lost very little, they’ve lost 80 planes. They have another 1,000 fighters and fighter bombers,” he said. “The Navy has lost one ship.”

Asked about Russia’s submarine patrols in the Atlantic, Cavoli said that “much of the Russian military has not been affected negatively” by its invasion of Ukraine.

“[T]he Russians are more active than we’ve seen them in years, and their patrols into the Atlantic, and throughout the Atlantic, are at a high level, most of the time at a higher level than we’ve seen in years,” he said. “And this is, as you pointed out, despite all of the efforts that they’re undertaking inside Ukraine.”

All of this comes as the US and its partner nations prepare for a spring counteroffensive by Ukrainian forces. The leaked documents painted a pessimistic view of the US’ confidence, saying Russia could soon have air superiority and that Ukraine’s medium-range air defenses will be “completely reduced by May 23.”

The documents which were dated February and March this year detailed a number of shortfalls among the Ukrainian military, predicting that the conflict would ultimately result in a stalemate between the two sides.

But on Wednesday, Cavoli seemed to offer a different assessment.

“[A]ccording to the modeling that we’ve very carefully done with them, the Ukrainians are in a good position,” he said. “They have some weaknesses that I prefer not to talk about in public … But we are confident — in terms of their surprise and things like that. of course, we’ve worked on all that with them.”
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Russian forces made further progress into Bakhmut

All the Ukrainian fronts in Bakhmut have rapidly collapsed and what remained are pushed and collated into the citadel fortress in the west side which is now the last remaining toehold. Both remaining supply routes to the north and south are either cut off or under severe fire. The citadel itself is getting the FAB treatment or with the TOS thermobarics thrown in.
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
One of the S300 TEL reported as destroyed along with the Gepard


The Gepard has its radar down but the turret is aimed at the direction of the Lancet which suggests the Gepard operator is trying to engage the Lancet manually with his eyeballs.

It is possible the Gepard's radar no longer works, which is no surprise given it's age, or when it does, it may have trouble tracking the drone with the drone's RCS and slow speed, which can be an issue with Dopplers.

I think the Lancet kills in Kherson can be attributed to BARS Kaskad and the Zaporozhye kills to obtf Kaskad both of which are ace units when it comes to artillery and drone use.
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Road conditions to Bakhmut is that bad. Ukrainian armored vehicle which is damaged, abandoned and stuck in the mud, is being pulled out by another vehicle.


Russian quadcopter using thermals, drops a bomb into a Ukrainian MTLB, which is effectively destroyed. No occupants are seen on the vehicle.


2S1 Gvozdika SPG gets hit by a Lancet. One of the crew members appears to be running away as he becomes aware of the attack.


MiG-31 in flames and crashed. Pilot ejected. Most likely cause is plane failure.

 
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