Yeah, Ukrainian general staff has reported increasing the number of brigades in the Z-Oblast, so now it's an active front. It seems that Russian sources report even more forces than the Ukrainians admit.
Although taking Ugledar/Vuledar would be pretty beneficial for the Russians as they can start to outflank the Donbass arc from the South and improve the positions in the left wing of Z-Oblast.
So far there is no offensive in my opinion. The conservative approach would be a broad-front frontal attack everywhere, with forces gradually inserted to slowly roll the Ukrainians back on the Svatove-Kreminna front until they can retake Lyman. In the center, the Siversk pocket would have to be developed until the front is straightened up. Ukraine would have to lose to battle of Bakhmut and retreat to Chasiv Yar or whatever their secondary defense line is.
I don't think Russia would like to outflank the Donbass arc from the North. This would require the re-opening of the Kharkiv' front and a lt of work to get back the Izyum Salient. All spring-summer they attempted to get at the twin cities S-K from the Izyum salient and the woodlands & broken terrain proved to be impassable and easy for the Ukrainians to defend.
